# Sheinbaum's security cabinet reports homicides down 46% — as disappearances climb
> Daily killings at a 12-year low under Harfuch's strategy, but the rising missing-persons count undercuts the headline

**Meta:** type: story · date: 2026-06-16 · heads: ما الذي تعطّل, كيف تتغيّر الحياة · 8 takes · 3 lenses · 1 regions

## Summary

[Claudia Sheinbaum](/ar/entity/claudia-sheinbaum)'s security cabinet, led by Secretary [Omar Garcia Harfuch](/ar/entity/omar-garcia-harfuch), reported on
16 June 2026 that intentional homicides have fallen 46% since September 2024 — a daily average down
from 86.9 to 47.3, the lowest in twelve years. The strategy logged 56,000+ high-impact arrests,
about 420 tons of drugs and 2,407 clandestine labs dismantled since October 2024, with eight states
accounting for 54% of killings. Critics, led by Animal Político, counter that disappearances keep
rising — roughly 11,000 a year against a registry near 133,000 — arguing the homicide metric masks
violence rather than ending it. The data underpins [Mexico](/ar/entity/mexico)'s rebuttal to US claims the
[cartels run the country](/ar/n/sheinbaum-rocha-moya-injerencia).

## By the numbers

- 46% — drop in intentional homicides since September 2024.
- 86.9 → 47.3 — daily homicide average (12-year low).
- 56,000+ — high-impact arrests since October 2024.
- ~133,000 — registered missing persons (still rising).

## Why it matters

Security is Sheinbaum's most-watched domestic metric and her shield against US pressure. A genuine
homicide decline strengthens her hand at home and abroad; the climbing disappearance count is the
counter-evidence that lets critics argue the violence has shifted form, not subsided.

## What to watch

- Whether the homicide trend holds and disappearances stabilise.
- Independent verification against INEGI and civil-society registries.
- How the figures feature in US-Mexico security disputes.

## Regional takes (batched by bias / lens)

### unlabelled
- **Secretaría de Seguridad (gob.mx)** (Mexico, es) — Official security-secretariat release on the National Security Strategy: a 46% drop in intentional homicides since September 2024, with arrest, seizure and lab-dismantling totals — the government's primary data.
  Source: https://www.gob.mx/sspc/prensa/estrategia-nacional-de-seguridad-reduce-46-los-homicidios-dolosos-representa-39-homicidios-menos-cada-dia
- **Infobae** (Mexico, es) — 
  Source: https://www.infobae.com/mexico/2026/06/16/harfuch-presenta-resultados-de-seguridad-homicidios-a-la-baja/
- **Milenio** (Mexico, es) — 
  Source: https://www.milenio.com/politica/homicidios-dolosos-bajan-46-gobierno-sheinbaum
- **Excélsior** (Mexico, es) — 
  Source: https://www.excelsior.com.mx/nacional/homicidios-dolosos-disminuyen-46-en-mexico-harfuch
- **El Siglo de Torreón** (Mexico, es) — 
  Source: https://www.elsiglodetorreon.com.mx/noticia/2026/homicidios-bajan-pero-desapariciones-aumentan-mexico.html
- **El Informador** (Mexico, es) — 
  Source: https://www.informador.mx/mexico/seguridad-homicidios-dolosos-bajan-46-por-ciento-harfuch-20260616-0001.html

### security data / analytical
- **Ejecentral** (Mexico, es) — Parses the figures, accepting the homicide decline as real while situating it against the methodology and the categories the government emphasises, giving a data-literate read rather than a celebration.
  > "Homicides fall 46% under Sheinbaum: what the figures actually show."
  Source: https://www.ejecentral.com.mx/nuestro-eje/homicidios-bajan-46-en-gobierno-de-sheinbaum-que-muestran-las-cifras

### independent / skeptical
- **Animal Político** (Mexico, es) — Counters the headline by stressing that disappearances keep rising — the registry near 133,000 — and that an intensified-arrests strategy can suppress homicide tallies without resolving violence, questioning what the metric hides.
  > "The Sheinbaum government intensifies detentions — but disappearances keep climbing."
  Source: https://grupoanimal.mx/explicaciones/gobierno-sheinbaum-intensifica-detenciones

## Across the graph
- Related: [[sheinbaum-rocha-moya-injerencia]], [[cjng-desintegracion-mencho]]
- Entities: Claudia Sheinbaum, Mexico, Omar Garcia Harfuch

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Canonical: https://rbtfl.xyz/ar/n/sheinbaum-homicidios-46-junio-2026