# CAR's eastern front flares as the AAKG fights on past the disarmament deals
> FACA and allies clashed with the Azande Ani Kpi Gbe in Haut-Mbomou, driving civilians into DRC and South Sudan; the UPC and 3R disarmed in 2025 but Bozizé's CPC and new militias keep the war alive

**Meta:** type: story · date: 2026-06-10 · heads: Ce qui a cassé, Comment les guerres finissent vraiment · 8 takes · 3 lenses · 4 regions

## Summary

[CAR](/fr/entity/central-african-republic)'s war persists on its eastern margins despite progress on disarmament. In January 2026 the Azande Ani Kpi Gbe (AAKG) clashed with [government forces](/fr/entity/faca) and allies in Zémio, Haut-Mbomou, causing civilian casualties and mass displacement into [Drc](/fr/entity/drc) and South Sudan. The UPC and 3R signed disarmament deals with President Touadera in July 2025, and 1,200+ combatants have demobilised since — but UN experts question their durability, and the [Coalition of Patriots for Change](/fr/entity/cpc) led by ex-president François Bozizé remains a significant threat. [Russian](/fr/entity/russia)-backed ex-Wagner forces, now folded toward Africa Corps, are deployed across provincial cities and near mines. Crisis Group warns the army itself risks further fragmentation. Touadéra won a third term in December 2025 with 53%+.

## By the numbers

- Jan 2026 — AAKG-FACA clashes in Zémio, Haut-Mbomou.
- 1,200+ — combatants disarmed and demobilised since July 2025.
- July 2025 — UPC and 3R sign disarmament agreements with Touadéra.
- Dec 2025 — Touadéra re-elected with 53%+ for a third term.
- DRC + South Sudan — destinations of cross-border displacement.

## Why it matters

CAR is a test of whether Russian security backing plus partial disarmament can stabilise a fractured state — or merely freeze it. Continued AAKG fighting and a still-armed CPC under Bozizé show the deals have not reached the peripheries, while army fragmentation and Russia's deepening role keep the conflict and its civilian displacement live.

## What to watch

- Whether the AAKG and CPC are drawn into any wider disarmament.
- The shift from Wagner to Kremlin-run Africa Corps and its cost/performance.
- Cross-border displacement straining DRC and South Sudan.
- FACA cohesion and the risk of further fragmentation.

## Regional takes (batched by bias / lens)

### unlabelled
- **UN Security Council Report — CAR briefing** (Global, en) — The Security Council's February 2026 CAR briefing record — the official baseline on the security situation, the disarmament process and MINUSCA, against which the eastern clashes and displacement figures can be set.
  Source: https://www.securitycouncilreport.org/whatsinblue/2026/02/central-african-republic-briefing-and-consultations-20.php
- **CFR Global Conflict Tracker** (United States, en) — 
  Source: https://www.cfr.org/global-conflict-tracker/conflict/violence-central-african-republic
- **BTI 2026 — CAR country report** (Germany, en) — 
  Source: https://bti-project.org/en/reports/country-report/CAF
- **Wikipedia — Central African Republic Civil War** (Global, en) — 
  Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Central_African_Republic_Civil_War
- **Wikipedia — Coalition of Patriots for Change** (Global, en) — 
  Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coalition_of_Patriots_for_Change
- **UN News** (Global, en) — 
  Source: https://news.un.org/en/story/2026/02/1167036

### army-fragmentation risk
- **International Crisis Group** (Belgium, en) — Warns that the Central African armed forces themselves risk further fragmentation, with Russian-backed units and local militias pulling in different directions — a structural fragility behind the eastern flare-ups that the disarmament deals do not touch.
  > "Averting further fragmentation of the Central African Republic's armed forces."
  Source: https://crisisgroup.org/africa/central-africa/central-african-republic/central-african-republic-averting-further

### atrocity-prevention
- **Global Centre for the Responsibility to Protect** (United States, en) — Documents the January 2026 AAKG-FACA clashes in Zémio (Haut-Mbomou) that caused civilian casualties and mass displacement into DRC and South Sudan, and questions the longevity of the 2025 UPC/3R disarmament without genuine follow-through.
  > "Clashes in Zémio caused civilian casualties and mass displacement into the DRC and South Sudan."
  Source: https://www.globalr2p.org/countries/central-african-republic/

## Across the graph
- Entities: Car Conflict, Central African Republic, Faca, Cpc, Russia

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