# The H2 2026 ballot map: Russia, Brazil, Israel and a dozen more go to the polls
> From Algeria in July to South Sudan's long-delayed vote in December — who votes, when, and where power actually turns over

**Meta:** type: topic · date: 2026-06-24 · heads: Qui décide, Le jeu long · 6 takes · 4 lenses · 3 regions

## Summary

The second half of 2026 packs a dense, geopolitically loaded ballot calendar. Per the published
national-election record, [Russia](/fr/entity/russia) holds State Duma elections on 20 September; [Sweden](/fr/entity/sweden) votes
13 September; [Morocco](/fr/entity/morocco) on 23 September; [Brazil](/fr/entity/brazil) runs a presidential first round on 4 October
([Lula](/fr/entity/lula), 80, seeking a fourth term, near-tied with a Bolsonaro-clan candidate, runoff 25
October); [Israel](/fr/entity/israel)'s Knesset election — Netanyahu's first since 7 October and the 2026 Iran war
— falls 27 October; the [United States](/fr/entity/united-states) midterms on 3 November put the whole House and a third
of the Senate in play. Smaller but consequential: Latvia, Bosnia, New Zealand, Bulgaria,
Algeria, and long-delayed votes in Guinea-Bissau, Gambia and South Sudan ([Qui décide](/fr/head/who-decides)). Dates
are scheduled, not guaranteed — snap calls and postponements are live.

## The split

Western trackers (CNN, Ballotpedia) rank by impact, foregrounding the US midterms and Brazil.
Israeli liberal coverage (Haaretz) treats 27 October as existential for Netanyahu and the post-war
order. Americas analysts (AS/COA) read Brazil as a coin-flip referendum on Lula. The contested
cases sit outside Western framing: Russia's Duma vote is a managed exercise, not a competitive
one; South Sudan's December date has slipped repeatedly and may slip again. Per-election depth
(e.g. [Israel sets 27 October vote — Netanyahu's first ballot since 7 October and three wars](/fr/n/israel-knesset-october-2026)) lives in child nodes.

## By the numbers

- 13 Sep — Sweden parliamentary.
- 20 Sep — Russia State Duma.
- 4 Oct — Brazil presidential first round (runoff 25 Oct).
- 27 Oct — Israel Knesset.
- 3 Nov — US midterms: 435 House + 35 Senate seats, 39 governorships.
- 22 Dec — South Sudan presidential/legislative (long-delayed).

## Why it matters

Within five weeks, voters in Russia, Brazil, Israel and the US — four pivotal states — render
verdicts on incumbents managing war, economic crisis and democratic backsliding. The cluster of
autumn votes could reset alignments on Ukraine, the Middle East and trade simultaneously.

## What to watch

- Israel: whether the 27 October date holds or a snap dissolution pulls it earlier.
- Brazil: first-round margins and whether it goes to a 25 October runoff.
- US: control of the House and Senate, and the governorship map.
- Delayed African votes (South Sudan, Guinea-Bissau, Gambia) — postponement risk.

## Regional takes (batched by bias / lens)

### unlabelled
- **Wikipedia (2026 national electoral calendar)** (Global, en) — The consolidated calendar of scheduled national votes with dates — the documentary base for the H2 2026 schedule below (dates subject to official electoral-commission confirmation and possible snap calls).
  > "Sweden 13 Sep; Russia State Duma 20 Sep; Brazil 4 Oct; Israel 27 Oct; United States 3 Nov."
  Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_national_electoral_calendar
- **Wikipedia (2026 Israeli legislative election)** (Global, en) — 
  Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Israeli_legislative_election
- **Ballotpedia (Elections calendar)** (United States, en) — 
  Source: https://ballotpedia.org/Elections_calendar

### US explainer / which votes matter
- **CNN Politics** (United States, en) — Ranks the year's most consequential elections and explains the stakes — useful for separating high-impact contests (US midterms, Brazil, Israel) from routine renewals on the calendar.
  > "A guide to the most important elections of 2026."
  Source: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/09/politics/2026-election-calendar

### Israeli liberal / Netanyahu's stakes
- **Haaretz** (Israel, he) — Frames Israel's 27 October vote as Netanyahu's 'last stand' and the first ballot since 7 October 2023 and the 2026 Iran war — the H2 contest with the most live geopolitical weight.
  > "Netanyahu's last stand: the first election since October 7 and the wars that followed."
  Source: https://www.haaretz.com/haaretz-explains/2026-04-30/ty-article-magazine/.premium/netanyahus-last-stand-what-to-know-about-israels-upcoming-election/0000019c-212c-d5b8-ad9c-f1af69370000

### Americas policy / Brazil tracker
- **AS/COA** (United States, en) — Tracks Brazil's 4 October presidential race — Lula seeking a fourth term at 80 against a Bolsonaro-clan candidate, polling near a dead heat into a likely 25 October runoff.
  > "Lula and a Bolsonaro-backed candidate run effectively tied ahead of Brazil's October vote."
  Source: https://www.as-coa.org/articles/poll-tracker-brazils-2026-presidential-election

## Across the graph
- Children: [[israel-knesset-october-2026]]
- Related: [[israel-knesset-october-2026]]
- Entities: Russia, Brazil, Israel, United States, Morocco, Sweden

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Canonical: https://rbtfl.xyz/fr/n/election-calendar-h2-2026