rbtfl.
Macron's confidence rating rebounds to 26%, a one-year high

Macron's confidence rating rebounds to 26%, a one-year high

A diplomacy-driven bounce, with PM Lecornu matching him exactly, as the final year of the term opens

Leaders· easing Qui décide·Le glissement silencieux ·7 takes ·mis à jour 24 juin 2026

Summary

An Elabe poll for Les Échos (online 2–3 June 2026, n=1,001) found 26% trust Emmanuel Macron to tackle the country's problems, up 6 points on May and his highest since May 2025. PM Sebastien Lecornu landed the identical 26% (+3), a rare exact synchronization. In the personalities ranking, RN's Jordan Bardella led at 38%, ahead of Édouard Philippe (33%) and Gabriel Attal (32%). The rebound coincides with Macron's run of diplomacy — the Macron lands a record €93bn at Choose France, half of it a SoftBank AI bet haul, the Rwanda memorial, and the Trump signs the US–Iran deal at Macron's Versailles dinner — as he enters the final year of his term before the spring 2027 presidential election. Absolute confidence in France remains low.

By the numbers

  • 26% — Macron's confidence rating (+6 on May).
  • 26% — Lecornu's identical figure (+3).
  • 38% / 33% / 32% — Bardella, Philippe, Attal in the personalities ranking.
  • 1,001 — sample, surveyed 2–3 June 2026.

Why it matters

A six-point jump gives Macron rare political breathing room, and the read is that foreign-policy wins, not domestic reform, drove it. But 26% is still a minority, and Bardella's commanding lead signals where the 2027 contest is heading regardless of the bounce.

What to watch

  • Whether the bounce survives once the diplomatic news cycle fades.
  • Lecornu's trajectory as the government faces the autumn budget.
  • Bardella and the RN's standing as 2027 nears.