# The H2 2026 ballot map: Russia, Brazil, Israel and a dozen more go to the polls > From Algeria in July to South Sudan's long-delayed vote in December, who votes, when, and where power actually turns over **Meta:** type: topic · date: 2026-01-09 · heads: 誰が決めるのか, 長期戦 · 6 takes · 4 lenses · 3 regions ## Summary The second half of 2026 packs a dense, geopolitically loaded ballot calendar. Per the published national-election record, [Russia](/ja/entity/russia) holds State Duma elections on 20 September; [Sweden](/ja/entity/sweden) votes 13 September; [Morocco](/ja/entity/morocco) on 23 September; [Brazil](/ja/entity/brazil) runs a presidential first round on 4 October ([Lula](/ja/entity/lula), 80, seeking a fourth term, near-tied with a Bolsonaro-clan candidate, runoff 25 October); [Israel](/ja/entity/israel)'s Knesset election, Netanyahu's first since 7 October and the 2026 Iran war , falls 27 October; the [United States](/ja/entity/united-states) midterms on 3 November put the whole House and a third of the Senate in play. Smaller but consequential: Latvia, Bosnia, New Zealand, Bulgaria, Algeria, and long-delayed votes in Guinea-Bissau, Gambia and South Sudan ([誰が決めるのか](/ja/head/who-decides)). Dates are scheduled, not guaranteed, snap calls and postponements are live. ## The split Western trackers (CNN, Ballotpedia) rank by impact, foregrounding the US midterms and Brazil. Israeli liberal coverage (Haaretz) treats 27 October as existential for Netanyahu and the post-war order. Americas analysts (AS/COA) read Brazil as a coin-flip referendum on Lula. The contested cases sit outside Western framing: Russia's Duma vote is a managed exercise, not a competitive one; South Sudan's December date has slipped repeatedly and may slip again. Per-election depth (e.g. [Israel sets 27 October vote, Netanyahu's first ballot since 7 October and three wars](/ja/n/israel-knesset-october-2026)) lives in child nodes. ## By the numbers - 13 Sep, Sweden parliamentary. - 20 Sep, Russia State Duma. - 4 Oct, Brazil presidential first round (runoff 25 Oct). - 27 Oct, Israel Knesset. - 3 Nov, US midterms: 435 House + 35 Senate seats, 39 governorships. - 22 Dec, South Sudan presidential/legislative (long-delayed). ## Why it matters Within five weeks, voters in Russia, Brazil, Israel and the US, four pivotal states, render verdicts on incumbents managing war, economic crisis and democratic backsliding. The cluster of autumn votes could reset alignments on Ukraine, the Middle East and trade simultaneously. ## What to watch - Israel: whether the 27 October date holds or a snap dissolution pulls it earlier. - Brazil: first-round margins and whether it goes to a 25 October runoff. - US: control of the House and Senate, and the governorship map. - Delayed African votes (South Sudan, Guinea-Bissau, Gambia), postponement risk. ## Regional takes (batched by bias / lens) ### unlabelled - **Wikipedia (2026 national electoral calendar)** (Global, en) — The consolidated calendar of scheduled national votes with dates, the documentary base for the H2 2026 schedule below (dates subject to official electoral-commission confirmation and possible snap calls). > "Sweden 13 Sep; Russia State Duma 20 Sep; Brazil 4 Oct; Israel 27 Oct; United States 3 Nov." Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_national_electoral_calendar - **Wikipedia (2026 Israeli legislative election)** (Global, en) — Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Israeli_legislative_election - **Ballotpedia (Elections calendar)** (United States, en) — Source: https://ballotpedia.org/Elections_calendar ### US explainer / which votes matter - **CNN Politics** (United States, en) — Ranks the year's most consequential elections and explains the stakes, useful for separating high-impact contests (US midterms, Brazil, Israel) from routine renewals on the calendar. > "A guide to the most important elections of 2026." Source: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/09/politics/2026-election-calendar ### Israeli liberal / Netanyahu's stakes - **Haaretz** (Israel, he) — Frames Israel's 27 October vote as Netanyahu's 'last stand' and the first ballot since 7 October 2023 and the 2026 Iran war, the H2 contest with the most live geopolitical weight. > "Netanyahu's last stand: the first election since October 7 and the wars that followed." Source: https://www.haaretz.com/haaretz-explains/2026-04-30/ty-article-magazine/.premium/netanyahus-last-stand-what-to-know-about-israels-upcoming-election/0000019c-212c-d5b8-ad9c-f1af69370000 ### Americas policy / Brazil tracker - **AS/COA** (United States, en) — Tracks Brazil's 4 October presidential race, Lula seeking a fourth term at 80 against a Bolsonaro-clan candidate, polling near a dead heat into a likely 25 October runoff. > "Lula and a Bolsonaro-backed candidate run effectively tied ahead of Brazil's October vote." Source: https://www.as-coa.org/articles/poll-tracker-brazils-2026-presidential-election ## Across the graph - Children: [[israel-knesset-october-2026]] - Related: [[israel-knesset-october-2026]] - Entities: Russia, Brazil, Israel, United States, Morocco, Sweden --- Canonical: https://rbtfl.xyz/ja/n/election-calendar-h2-2026