# Board of Peace 'recalibrates' at Cyprus as Gaza phase two stalls on Clause 8
> 73,001 killed, famine confirmed, $17B pledged but 1% disbursed; Hamas offered a heavy-weapons inventory on June 12 and was told no by June 16

**Meta:** type: story · date: 2026-06-15 · heads: 戦争はどう終わるのか, 誰が決めるのか · 11 takes · 4 lenses · 6 regions

## Summary

[Trump's](/ja/entity/united-states) 20-point Gaza plan is stuck on Clause 8, Hamas disarmament. Of the
plan's 20 points, only disarmament remains unresolved. [Hamas](/ja/entity/hamas) on June 12 offered a
compromise: it would provide an inventory of heavy weapons rather than surrendering them.
UN envoy Mladenov rejected the offer on June 16, adding demands for tunnel maps and private
arms. [Israel](/ja/entity/israel) has committed 3,338 ceasefire violations since October 2025, killing 1,000+
Palestinians, and maintains roughly 65% operational control of Gaza territory. The
[famine](/ja/n/fao-wfp-hunger-hotspots-june2026) is confirmed: 43,400 children face severe
malnutrition. The Board of Peace, meeting at a Cyprus resort June 24-25, is described as
"recalibrating." Of $17 billion pledged at the February 19 inaugural meeting (Kuwait $1B, UAE
$1.2B, Saudi Arabia $1B, Qatar $1B, US $10B), roughly 1% has transferred; Gulf donors are
holding disbursement pending the disarmament and withdrawal conditions that phase two cannot
yet meet. [Trump](/ja/entity/united-states) appointed 15 members of a National Committee for the
Administration of Gaza (NCAG) under Dr Ali Sha'ath and tasked a two-star general to build an
international stabilisation force, but troop contributors are withholding commitments on
mandate.

## The split

[Israel](/ja/entity/israel) and Washington frame the problem as Hamas's refusal: Clause 8 is non-negotiable
and no reconstruction money flows until heavy weapons are verified. [Hamas](/ja/entity/hamas) and [
Palestinian](/ja/entity/palestine) civil society frame the sequence as impossible: disarm while under Israeli
occupation and active strikes, before withdrawal. [Jordan](/ja/entity/jordan) reinstated military conscription
in February 2026 and has declared Israeli attempts to forcibly transfer Palestinians a
"declaration of war." Arab donor states pledged billions conditional on outcomes the plan
cannot guarantee. The Board of Peace "recalibrating" in Cyprus signals the group itself
does not know how to break the Clause 8 deadlock.

## By the numbers

- 73,001+, total killed in Gaza since October 2023.
- 43,400, children at severe malnutrition risk (famine confirmed).
- 3,338, Israeli ceasefire violations since October 2025 cease-fire agreement; 1,000+ Palestinians killed.
- ~65%, of Gaza territory under IDF operational control.
- June 12, Hamas compromise offer (weapons inventory); June 16, Mladenov rejection.
- $17B, pledged at Board of Peace February 19; ~1% transferred as of May 2026.
- $70B+, estimated Gaza reconstruction cost.
- June 24-25, Board of Peace Cyprus resort "recalibration" session.

## Why it matters

Clause 8 is the keystone the entire 20-point architecture rests on. Without it, the NCAG
cannot govern, the stabilisation force has no mandate, and reconstruction funds stay frozen.
The $70B reconstruction gap is itself a geopolitical fact: Gulf donors control the money,
not Washington, and they will not release it until conditions that Israel and Hamas cannot
agree on are met. The famine adds humanitarian urgency the diplomatic timeline cannot
match.

## What to watch

- Whether the Cyprus Board of Peace session produces a revised Clause 8 formula.
- Any revised Hamas counter-offer on disarmament modalities.
- Whether any country formally commits troops to the stabilisation force.
- Monthly Palestinian casualty counts as the indicator of whether the ceasefire is holding.

## Regional takes (batched by bias / lens)

### unlabelled
- **Wikipedia (Gaza peace plan)** (Global, en) — Documentary record of the 20-point plan and its phase-two architecture, the National Committee for the Administration of Gaza, the international stabilisation force, the Board of Peace and the disarmament timeline.
  Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gaza_peace_plan
- **Council on Foreign Relations** (United States, en) — Reference guide to the deal's terms and sequencing, the demilitarisation requirement, the technocratic administration and the unresolved questions over who polices Hamas's weapons.
  Source: https://www.cfr.org/articles/guide-trumps-twenty-point-gaza-peace-deal
- **The Hill** (United States, en) — 
  Source: https://thehill.com/policy/international/5688828-trump-gaza-peace-plan-phase2/
- **The Washington Institute** (United States, en) — 
  Source: https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/getting-phase-2-gaza-red-lines-and-recommendations
- **Times of Israel** (Israel, en) — 
  Source: https://www.timesofisrael.com/topic/gaza/
- **Haaretz** (Israel, he) — 
  Source: https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news
- **Middle East Eye** (United Kingdom, en) — 
  Source: https://www.middleeasteye.net/
- **The National** (United Arab Emirates, en) — 
  Source: https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/mena/

### Israeli mainstream
- **The Jerusalem Post** (Israel, he) — Frames disarmament as the test the whole plan rests on, a Board of Peace plan presented in March that Hamas called unacceptable, leaving Israel's demand and Hamas's refusal as the core impasse of phase two. Notes IDF maintains roughly 65% operational control of Gaza territory.
  > "Phase two's real test is whether Hamas disarms, a demand the group has flatly rejected as unacceptable, leaving the plan's security pillar unbuilt."
  Source: https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/article-883447

### pan-Arab
- **Al Jazeera** (Qatar, ar) — Emphasises Hamas's grievance that Israel committed 3,338 violations of the October ceasefire, killing 1,000+ Palestinians, while demanding the group disarm. Notes Hamas's June 12 compromise offer, a heavy-weapons inventory rather than surrender, and Mladenov's rejection June 16.
  > "Hamas says it cannot be asked to disarm while Israel keeps striking Gaza; a June 12 compromise on weapons inventory was rejected within four days."
  Source: https://www.aljazeera.com/where/gaza/

### Gulf establishment
- **Arab Weekly** (United Kingdom, en) — Reports that $17 billion was pledged at the Board of Peace inaugural meeting (Kuwait $1B, UAE $1.2B, Saudi Arabia $1B, Qatar $1B, US $10B) and that as of May 2026 only roughly 1% has actually transferred to reconstruction accounts, with Kuwait and Saudi Arabia making disbursement conditional on Hamas disarmament and Israeli withdrawal.
  > "$17 billion was pledged for Gaza at the Board of Peace in February; barely 1% has transferred, held up by the very conditions the plan cannot yet meet."
  Source: https://thearabweekly.com/board-peace-17-billion-pledged-gaza-us-forges-ahead-despite-misgivings

## Across the graph
- Related: [[netanyahu-coalition-exposure]], [[gaza-ceasefire-aid-shortfall]], [[idf-postwar-strain]], [[fao-wfp-hunger-hotspots-june2026]]
- Entities: Gaza War, Hamas, Israel, United States, Palestine

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Canonical: https://rbtfl.xyz/ja/n/gaza-phase-two-hamas-disarmament