rbtfl.
⋯
LeadersConflictsDefenceComputeModelsEnergyTradeMineralsShippingMoneyDebtFood all trackers ▸
The H2 2026 ballot map: Russia, Brazil, Israel and a dozen more go to the polls

The H2 2026 ballot map: Russia, Brazil, Israel and a dozen more go to the polls

From Algeria in July to South Sudan's long-delayed vote in December — who votes, when, and where power actually turns over

Leaders· pending-decision Quem decide·O jogo longo ·6 takes ·atualizado 24 de jun. de 2026

Summary

The second half of 2026 packs a dense, geopolitically loaded ballot calendar. Per the published national-election record, Russia holds State Duma elections on 20 September; Sweden votes 13 September; Morocco on 23 September; Brazil runs a presidential first round on 4 October (Lula, 80, seeking a fourth term, near-tied with a Bolsonaro-clan candidate, runoff 25 October); Israel's Knesset election — Netanyahu's first since 7 October and the 2026 Iran war — falls 27 October; the United States midterms on 3 November put the whole House and a third of the Senate in play. Smaller but consequential: Latvia, Bosnia, New Zealand, Bulgaria, Algeria, and long-delayed votes in Guinea-Bissau, Gambia and South Sudan (Quem decide). Dates are scheduled, not guaranteed — snap calls and postponements are live.

The split

Western trackers (CNN, Ballotpedia) rank by impact, foregrounding the US midterms and Brazil. Israeli liberal coverage (Haaretz) treats 27 October as existential for Netanyahu and the post-war order. Americas analysts (AS/COA) read Brazil as a coin-flip referendum on Lula. The contested cases sit outside Western framing: Russia's Duma vote is a managed exercise, not a competitive one; South Sudan's December date has slipped repeatedly and may slip again. Per-election depth (e.g. Israel sets 27 October vote — Netanyahu's first ballot since 7 October and three wars) lives in child nodes.

By the numbers

  • 13 Sep — Sweden parliamentary.
  • 20 Sep — Russia State Duma.
  • 4 Oct — Brazil presidential first round (runoff 25 Oct).
  • 27 Oct — Israel Knesset.
  • 3 Nov — US midterms: 435 House + 35 Senate seats, 39 governorships.
  • 22 Dec — South Sudan presidential/legislative (long-delayed).

Why it matters

Within five weeks, voters in Russia, Brazil, Israel and the US — four pivotal states — render verdicts on incumbents managing war, economic crisis and democratic backsliding. The cluster of autumn votes could reset alignments on Ukraine, the Middle East and trade simultaneously.

What to watch

  • Israel: whether the 27 October date holds or a snap dissolution pulls it earlier.
  • Brazil: first-round margins and whether it goes to a 25 October runoff.
  • US: control of the House and Senate, and the governorship map.
  • Delayed African votes (South Sudan, Guinea-Bissau, Gambia) — postponement risk.