https://rbtfl.xyz/en/track/disputes-conflicts Active wars, standoffs and disputes — tracked by where each is heading. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-drone-refinery-0808 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-drone-refinery-0808 Sat, 08 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukraine launched approximately 400 drones against Russian territory and Crimea overnight on August 8, striking oil refineries in Russia's Krasnodar Krai and Samara Oblast; the Ilsky refinery in Krasnodar Krai caught fire after drone debris struck it, Russian regional authorities said, and the fire was later extinguished; Russia's defense ministry said air defenses intercepted 397 of the drones [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/zelensky-serbia-0808 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/zelensky-serbia-0808 Sat, 08 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky visited Serbia on August 8, his first trip there since Russia launched its full-scale invasion in February 2022, meeting Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic to discuss EU accession, energy, and the path to peace, in a visit that carries heavy geopolitical symbolism given Serbia's historically pro-Russia stance [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-us-deal-0802 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-us-deal-0802 Tue, 04 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT US President Donald Trump said on August 2 that he had agreed to cancel a planned strike on Iran, subject to a rapid deal, after Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman called to caution him against fresh attacks; Iran's top diplomat had earlier warned of a decisive response to any US-Israeli aggression [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-yaroslavl-strike-0806 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-yaroslavl-strike-0806 Sat, 08 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukrainian drones struck the Slavneft-Yanos oil refinery in Yaroslavl on the night of August 5-6, 2026, setting fires at one of Russia's five largest fuel processing plants located more than 700 kilometres from Ukraine's border; Zelensky confirmed the operation, saying the refineries fund Russia's war; a second refinery in Bashkortostan and a Wildberries logistics warehouse in Tver were also struck; Yaroslavl governor Mikhail Evraev announced traffic restrictions and described it as the largest-ever drone attack on the region; drones were also tracked heading toward Moscow [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-hormuz-deal-0806 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-hormuz-deal-0806 Sat, 08 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT US President Donald Trump said on August 6 the war with Iran will end 'pretty soon'; Iran's parliament was reported to be reviewing the text of a Hormuz route agreement with Oman; NBC News reported both sides say a deal is close but one or both would have to make concessions; US officials said they would not accept any arrangement leaving Iran in control of the strait; Iran insisted it would not return to the pre-war status of an open international waterway [de-escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/houthi-saudi-0807 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/houthi-saudi-0807 Sat, 08 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Yemen's Houthi movement fired missiles and drones at Saudi Arabia on August 6-7, wounding 11 civilians, while separate Houthi missile and drone strikes on Yemeni government forces killed at least 58 troops, the deadliest attacks in years; Al Jazeera said Saudi Arabia had braced for attacks and that tensions between the Houthis and the kingdom had risen since the US-Israel war on Iran began; SCMP called it one of the deadliest escalations since a Houthi truce with the Saudi-backed government [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-cargo-0804 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-cargo-0804 Fri, 07 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT A cargo vessel was hit by an unknown projectile in the Strait of Hormuz on August 4, the UK Maritime Trade Operations reported; a senior Iranian source told Reuters that Iran is seeking full inbound inspection authority over ships entering the strait under a temporary reopening plan being negotiated with Oman; Qatar said mediators were making progress toward ending the US-Iran war while Iran denied Trump's claim that talks were already underway [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-swat-unsc-0807 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-swat-unsc-0807 Sat, 08 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT The UN Security Council on August 7 condemned a suicide bombing outside a police station in Kabal, Swat District, Pakistan's Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province, calling it a 'heinous and cowardly' act of terrorism; the Aug 2 attack killed at least 16 people, most of them civilians, and wounded dozens more; Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan claimed responsibility; Pakistan briefed the council that multiple militant groups continue to operate from sanctuaries inside Afghanistan [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pacific-forum-china-missile-0807 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pacific-forum-china-missile-0807 Fri, 07 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Pacific Island foreign ministers meeting in Suva on August 7 failed to agree on a joint statement condemning China's July submarine-launched ballistic missile test; Kiribati and Nauru, both of which switched recognition from Taiwan to China in recent years, blocked consensus; New Zealand's Winston Peters accused the blockers of following 'outside partners' wishes'; the matter is deferred to the Palau leaders' summit, August 30 to September 4 [stalled] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/israel-gaza-0804 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/israel-gaza-0804 Fri, 07 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Israeli strikes killed more than two dozen Palestinians in Gaza and violated Lebanese airspace in weekend raids on August 3-4, even as Qatar said progress was made toward US-Iran talks connected to the broader regional conflict; a Board of Peace envoy met Israel's prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu after a day of deadly strikes and issued a statement that made no mention of Israel's territorial withdrawal [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hungary-magyar-orban-energy-0807 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hungary-magyar-orban-energy-0807 Sat, 08 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Hungarian Prime Minister Peter Magyar publicly accused former Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's government on August 6 of concealing a 2022 internal assessment showing Hungary's electricity grid was near collapse, a document Magyar displayed in parliament; the accusation comes as Hungary faces a summer energy crisis after grid failures and record heat [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/uganda-gazaisf-parliament-0806 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/uganda-gazaisf-parliament-0806 Sat, 08 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Uganda's parliament voted on August 6 to authorise deploying troops to the International Stabilisation Force for Gaza, the first formal sub-Saharan African commitment to the US-backed peacekeeping mission; Morocco has also pledged troops; the 20,000-strong force proposed under US President Donald Trump's ceasefire framework would be led by a US general and deploy only after a phased Israeli withdrawal from Gaza, but no timeline for that withdrawal exists [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nkorea-missile-0806 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nkorea-missile-0806 Sat, 08 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT North Korea launched a short-range ballistic missile from the Wonsan area toward the East Sea on August 6, 2026, according to South Korea's Joint Chiefs of Staff; it was Pyongyang's first ballistic missile launch since late June, when it tested a tactical missile with a 'special mission' warhead; the launch comes days before the US and South Korea are due to begin their annual summer joint military exercises [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/taiwan-lai-decapitation-drill-0806 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/taiwan-lai-decapitation-drill-0806 Fri, 07 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Taiwan's President Lai Ching-te made a late-night dash in an armored personnel carrier to a command center on August 5 as part of an anti-decapitation drill simulating a Chinese People's Liberation Army strike targeting the head of state; the exercise, part of the Han Kuang 42 annual war games running August 5-14, is designed to show how Taiwan's government would continue to function under a PLA attack [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/kyiv-strike-0805 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/kyiv-strike-0805 Sat, 08 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Russia launched a combined barrage of ballistic missiles and drones at Kyiv and surrounding Kyiv Oblast overnight on August 4-5, killing at least 17 people and wounding 44; Ukraine's air defences failed to intercept any of the ballistic missiles, and officials warned of critical shortfalls in Patriot-compatible interceptors as fires burned across the capital and its suburbs [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/venezuela-talks-0806 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/venezuela-talks-0806 Sat, 08 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Former opposition legislator Dinorah Figuera arrived in Venezuela on August 6 at the head of a delegation of ex-deputies from the 2015 National Assembly, with US backing, to begin talks with the Maduro government on a political transition; Figuera said the first results of the dialogue are expected in December 2026 [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/taiwan-han-kuang-0805 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/taiwan-han-kuang-0805 Fri, 07 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Taiwan launched its largest annual military exercises on August 5, the Han Kuang 42 drills, running until August 14; the exercises stage combat scenarios for troops and reservists simulating a response to a Chinese invasion, and include civilian participation through air-raid drills and a planned temporary slowdown of mobile internet speeds to test wartime communications resilience [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/dprk-japan-warning-0805 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/dprk-japan-warning-0805 Fri, 07 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Kim Yo Jong, the sister of North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, warned on August 5 that Pyongyang would not remain a 'passive onlooker' as Japan expands its military capabilities; she cited Japan's test-firing of long-range cruise missiles and participation in US-led military drills, and accused Tokyo of reviving the ambitions of a 'war criminal state' [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-iran-oman-route-0805 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-iran-oman-route-0805 Fri, 07 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran's foreign ministry said on August 5 that Tehran and Oman reached an understanding on the precise geographic coordinates for a shipping route through the Strait of Hormuz, and that a joint announcement was being finalised; Al Jazeera reported talks were in 'final stages' and the route had been approved; Iran cautioned the agreement would not by itself guarantee security in the waterway, and said final announcement depended on certain third parties not interfering [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-redsea-ship-0805 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-redsea-ship-0805 Thu, 06 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT The India-flagged cargo vessel MSV Faize Noore Oliya sank in the Red Sea on August 5 after being struck by a projectile near Hodeidah, Yemen; all 14 crew members, including 13 Indian nationals, were rescued by Yemeni forces; India's Ministry of External Affairs called continued attacks on merchant shipping 'deeply worrisome' and said it would press for freedom of navigation [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/germany-leipzig-airport-0805 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/germany-leipzig-airport-0805 Fri, 07 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT A drone fitted with what police described as an 'explosive device' was found on the tarmac near a Ukrainian Antonov cargo plane at Germany's Leipzig/Halle Airport overnight on August 5; a DHL cargo aircraft hit an unknown object as it climbed away from the airport; the south runway was closed, several flights were diverted, and Saxony state police took over the investigation [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nigeria-kwara-rescue-0806 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nigeria-kwara-rescue-0806 Sat, 08 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Nigeria's military and police rescued 308 people abducted from Kwara and Niger states on August 5, in what President Tinubu's office called the largest single-day rescue operation ever conducted by Nigerian security agencies; Tinubu directed agencies to intensify early warning systems and community intelligence after the operation [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-crimea-shooting-0804 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-crimea-shooting-0804 Wed, 05 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT A Russian soldier opened fire in Sevastopol, Russia-occupied Crimea, on August 4, killing one fellow serviceman and three civilians and wounding four others; Crimea's Moscow-installed governor Mikhail Razvozhaev confirmed the soldier was detained; the Moscow Times and Meduza reported the incident, which Russia's state channels carried with limited detail [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hamas-gaza-disarm-0730 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hamas-gaza-disarm-0730 Mon, 03 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Trump's 'Board of Peace' formally announced on July 31 that Hamas agreed to disarm and Israel would withdraw from Gaza in 'carefully structured phases'; Euronews confirmed Hamas accepted the deal; Israeli far-right security minister Itamar Ben-Gvir rejected the agreement, saying 'Israel must win'; Al Jazeera reported Palestinians remained sceptical; the deal follows 'rare progress' in Cairo mediation talks on July 30 and Trump's late-night declaration the same day that his Board of Peace had reached an agreement [de-escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/beirut-anniversary-0804 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/beirut-anniversary-0804 Wed, 05 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Lebanon commemorated the sixth anniversary of the August 4, 2020 Beirut port explosion on August 4, 2026; victims' families said the 'wound has not healed' as accountability proceedings remain unresolved; Lebanon's justice minister said prosecutors were finalising investigation results; Al Jazeera reported the anniversary was overshadowed by fresh Israeli destruction across southern Lebanon [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/turkey-blacksea-ships-0804 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/turkey-blacksea-ships-0804 Wed, 05 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Drones struck two Turkish-owned cargo ships, Nadezhda and Yasar, near Russia's Novorossiysk port on the night of August 3, injuring three crew members; the captain of the Nadezhda attributed the attack to Ukraine and said six or seven drones were used; Turkey's Foreign Ministry expressed 'serious concern' and called on both Russia and Ukraine to implement 'concrete measures' for navigational safety, deliberately not naming Ukraine [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-us-talks-0803 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-us-talks-0803 Fri, 07 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT US President Donald Trump said on August 3 that new diplomatic talks with Iran are the 'last chance' for Tehran to reach a deal before US strikes resume, naming Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar as mediators; US negotiators simultaneously said a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz is close as Iran and Oman held what Oman described as 'positive' talks; Iran's foreign ministry denied any direct negotiations with Washington [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-deep-strikes-0803 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-deep-strikes-0803 Wed, 05 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Russian forces struck the Ukrainian city of Sumy with guided aerial bombs overnight on August 3-4, killing two children and a woman and destroying civilian infrastructure, according to Ukraine's Sumy region governor; in the same period, a Ukrainian drone killed one person near Belgorod in Russia's border region, and Ukrainian strikes on Russian-annexed Crimea and a Black Sea resort collectively killed at least 11, according to an earlier RTÉ report [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-oil-refining-0803 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-oil-refining-0803 Fri, 07 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Russian crude oil refining averaged 3.6 million barrels per day in July 2026, the lowest since May 2002, Bloomberg data showed via Meduza; Ukrainian drone attacks on refineries and tankers drove the drop; at the same time Russia's federal budget deficit exceeded its full-year legal ceiling in just six months, large companies began cutting investment despite Putin's calls for a spending surge, and monthly company closures tripled to 12-15 thousand [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ethiopia-tigray-fighting-0803 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ethiopia-tigray-fighting-0803 Wed, 05 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Tigray's administration accused Addis Ababa on August 3 of launching a new offensive after fighting erupted on Saturday in western Tigray, while Ethiopia's government said the TPLF was mobilizing for armed confrontation; both sides deny provoking the clashes; the 2022 Pretoria peace agreement is at risk [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-wildberries-0803 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-wildberries-0803 Thu, 06 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukrainian drones struck a Wildberries logistics center in Russia's Vladimir Oblast on August 3 and attacked warehouses in Moscow and Leningrad regions overnight August 4, killing five and injuring six in Moscow Oblast; the strikes bring to 20 the total Wildberries facilities hit since Ukraine launched the campaign on July 18; Kyiv says the sites supply sanctioned drone components, a claim Meduza found partially but not conclusively supported by available evidence [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-blacksea-beach-drone-0804 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-blacksea-beach-drone-0804 Wed, 05 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT A Ukrainian drone came down on a crowded beach at the Russian resort village of Arkhipo-Osipovka, near Gelendzhik on the Black Sea coast of Krasnodar Krai, on August 3, killing seven people including three children and injuring about 58; Russia blamed Ukraine; Ukraine said Russian air defenses shot the drone down and that 'it was Putin who killed those people'; CNN's video analysis found automatic gunfire from three weapons audible before the drone veered and dived into the sand; independent Russian exile outlet Meduza found the attribution 'genuinely unresolved' [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-gelendjik-sumy-0803 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-gelendjik-sumy-0803 Wed, 05 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukrainian drone strikes hit the Black Sea resort city of Gelendjik and Russia-occupied Crimea on August 3, killing 11 and wounding dozens, Russian officials said; Russia struck civilian infrastructure in Ukraine's Sumy city with guided aerial bombs the following morning, killing two children and a woman; a separate Russian strike on Mykolaiv killed one more woman [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-darfur-saf-drone-0802 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-darfur-saf-drone-0802 Tue, 04 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT A rights group reported that Sudan's Sudanese Armed Forces struck Darfur by drone on August 2, killing 35 people; separately, a displaced-persons coordination body warned of imminent famine in Darfur as drought and soaring food prices cut off supplies [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-ajk-elections-ph2-0802 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-ajk-elections-ph2-0802 Tue, 04 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Azad Jammu and Kashmir held the second phase of its 2026 general election on August 2, with PML-N emerging as front-runner in provisional results across Muzaffarabad and Jammu divisions; PPP won at least one Muzaffarabad seat; PML-N had won the Phase 1 count in Mirpur division on July 27 [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-drone-strikes-0802 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-drone-strikes-0802 Wed, 05 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukrainian forces hit the Engels strategic air base in Saratov Oblast overnight August 1-2, Ukraine's General Staff confirmed; drones also struck a Saratov Oblast refinery and the 17th Wildberries warehouse of the war; Russia responded on August 2 with ballistic missiles on Kyiv; Russia fired a record number of missiles at Ukraine in all of July, per AFP analysis [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/moscow-restaurant-blast-0801 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/moscow-restaurant-blast-0801 Tue, 04 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT A homemade bomb detonated near the Balzi Rossi Italian restaurant on Kudrinskaya Square in Moscow on the evening of August 1, killing at least five people by August 2, including the woman believed to have carried the device and a security guard who had stopped her from entering; Meduza reported the bomb was intended for a birthday celebration, suggesting the carrier may have been an unwitting courier; Russia's Anti-Terrorism Committee is investigating; no group has claimed responsibility [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-scs-huangyan-0801 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-scs-huangyan-0801 Sun, 02 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT China published new operational rules for Huangyan Dao (Scarborough Shoal) on or around August 1, banning unauthorised fishing, mining and other activities in the zone; the Philippines accused China of violating its maritime sovereignty under a 2016 international tribunal ruling; China's PLA Southern Theater Command separately conducted joint maritime and air drills around the shoal, state media reported [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/colombia-cucuta-bomb-0801 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/colombia-cucuta-bomb-0801 Sun, 02 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT A truck packed with explosives detonated on August 1 next to a police station in Cúcuta, Colombia's border city near Venezuela, injuring at least 15 people including 12 police officers and 3 civilians; Colombian authorities attributed the attack to the ELN guerrilla group and the Defense Ministry offered a reward for information on those responsible; the UN Human Rights office condemned the attack and called for accountability; the blast came six days before president-elect Abelardo de la Espriella's inauguration on August 7 [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/prabowo-nk-mediation-0801 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/prabowo-nk-mediation-0801 Mon, 03 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Indonesia's President Prabowo Subianto disclosed on July 31 that South Korean President Lee Jae Myung had asked during a Seoul state visit in April whether Prabowo could visit North Korea to reopen dialogue with Pyongyang; Prabowo said he was willing to go, positioning Indonesia as a potential mediator between the two Koreas [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-ufa-refinery-0801 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-ufa-refinery-0801 Sun, 02 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukraine's SBU claims drones hit three major oil refineries in Ufa on August 1 and took out four radar systems; independent Russian outlet ASTRA geolocated footage of black smoke over the Bashneft complex; the same night Ukrainian naval drones sank the container ship Yanina in the Black Sea [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/kyiv-ballistic-0801 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/kyiv-ballistic-0801 Sun, 02 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Russia launched 30 ballistic missiles at Kyiv on August 1, killing at least ten people including a police officer on duty and injuring at least 28 across five districts; Ukraine's air defences intercepted some, but officials said Patriot-compatible interceptors are running low and urged urgent allied resupply; the attack came less than 48 hours after a separate major Russian strike on Ukraine [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-energy-strike-0801 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-energy-strike-0801 Sun, 02 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT US officials told US media on August 1 that Washington and Israel are planning a new wave of strikes targeting Iran's energy infrastructure, potentially as soon as the weekend; Iran called the reported plan reckless and threatened symmetric retaliation against critical infrastructure in Israel and US regional energy facilities; US embassies across the Middle East advised nationals to consider departing [paused] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-drone-wave-0731 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-drone-wave-0731 Sat, 01 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Russian forces launched a mass aerial attack on Ukraine overnight July 31, deploying 255 Shahed-type attack drones across the country, the Ukrainian Air Force said; the attacks killed 9 people and wounded 48 over the preceding day as Ukraine continued to reel from the July 30 mass missile and drone barrage; President Volodymyr Zelensky renewed his plea for faster Western air-defense deliveries, saying 'untimely assistance and delays in the delivery of anti-ballistic missiles lead to this kind of destruction' [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nigeria-dss-borno-adamawa-0731 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nigeria-dss-borno-adamawa-0731 Sat, 01 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT A classified intelligence alert from Nigeria's Department of State Services warning of planned major Boko Haram and bandit attacks on officials, pastors, and residents in Michika (Adamawa) and Askira-Uba (Borno) was leaked and published by multiple Nigerian outlets on July 30-31; the Nigerian Army launched an internal investigation into the breach rather than confirming or denying the threat itself [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-terminal-autonomy-strike-0731 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-terminal-autonomy-strike-0731 Sat, 01 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT A Russian strike on Kyiv on July 26 destroyed the Kyiv facility of Terminal Autonomy, a US company producing AI-guided AQ-400 Scythe and AQ-100 Bayonet deep-strike drones; The Guardian confirmed the attack on July 31 via a source close to the company, and Kyiv Post reported the strike was carried out with a missile; it is the first time Russia has directly targeted a US-owned drone manufacturer operating in Ukraine [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/irgc-kuwait-bahrain-0731 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/irgc-kuwait-bahrain-0731 Wed, 05 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps launched attacks on US military bases and strategic assets in Kuwait and Bahrain on July 31, 2026, saying the strikes were retaliation for US strikes on multiple locations in Iran including Qeshm island the previous day; US President Donald Trump said he was 'losing faith' with Iran but did not rule out a deal [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/taiwan-cupp-dissolution-0731 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/taiwan-cupp-dissolution-0731 Sun, 02 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Taiwan's Constitutional Court dissolved the Chinese Unification Promotion Party (CUPP) on July 31, ruling it unconstitutional, one day after Taiwan's Ministry of the Interior announced it would petition the court in early August; the court acted faster than the stated timeline; it is the first time a political party has been dissolved by court order in Taiwan's democratic history; CUPP founder Chang An-le responded by announcing a counter-petition to dissolve the ruling Democratic Progressive Party under the same law [resolved] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-refinery-intel-0730 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-refinery-intel-0730 Fri, 31 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The Financial Times reported on July 30 that US and French intelligence agencies gave Ukraine real-time data on Russian air-defense positions, letting Ukrainian drones navigate around radar gaps and hit oil refineries far inside Russian territory; Ukrainian officials confirmed the arrangement to the newspaper [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-us-iran-mou-0730 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-us-iran-mou-0730 Fri, 31 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Pakistan's Foreign Office said on July 30 it is making its 'utmost' effort to return the US and Iran to negotiations under the Islamabad MoU ceasefire framework; the FO urged both sides to exercise maximum restraint and resume technical-level talks; the statement came as fresh US and Saudi strikes in the region added to pressure on the June 2026 ceasefire agreement [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-egypt-damietta-0730 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-egypt-damietta-0730 Fri, 31 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT An unidentified drone struck two gas tankers at Egypt's Damietta port on July 30, Egypt's cabinet said; investigators found the cause was an unidentified drone that started a fire on board; Damietta lies near the Suez Canal, which had remained an alternative Saudi oil export route after Iran and its Houthi allies closed the Strait of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb to northbound traffic; the strike signals the conflict may be expanding to Egypt's Mediterranean coast [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-russia-missiles-0730 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-russia-missiles-0730 Sat, 01 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Russia launched its largest overnight barrage in weeks on July 30, killing at least ten civilians and wounding more than 50 across Ukraine; a Russian Kh-101 cruise missile crossed into eastern Poland, a NATO member, and Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk confirmed it likely crashed there, triggering notifications to NATO allies and a fresh Zelenskyy push for accelerated Western air-defence deliveries [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-hangu-attack-0729 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-hangu-attack-0729 Thu, 30 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Heavily armed militants stormed the Khazina Banda police checkpost in Hangu district, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, on July 29; revised reports confirmed 11 police personnel killed including Deputy Superintendent Diyar Khan, with at least 28 wounded and 15 attackers killed; a clearance operation continued in the surrounding area on July 30 [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/balochistan-kech-killings-0730 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/balochistan-kech-killings-0730 Fri, 31 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Police in Turbat recovered the bullet-riddled bodies of six laborers on July 30 in the Nasirabad area of Kech district, Balochistan; the men, four from Punjab and two from Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, had been abducted before they were killed; no group immediately claimed responsibility, though Balochistan separatist factions regularly target non-local laborers [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/france-fedorova-expulsion-0729 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/france-fedorova-expulsion-0729 Fri, 31 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT France's Interior Ministry ordered Russian journalist Ksenia Fedorova, the former director of RT France until 2023, to leave the country on July 29 after concluding she was a 'channel for disinformation' and had systematically spread Kremlin propaganda across French television and radio; President Emmanuel Macron had questioned Fedorova's journalist status as early as 2017 [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-wildberries-0730 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-wildberries-0730 Tue, 04 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukrainian drones struck Wildberries logistics warehouses in four separate Russian regions on July 30, the third multi-warehouse day of attacks since Ukraine began targeting Russia's largest online marketplace on July 18; the Leningrad Region governor said about 1,500 sellers lost their inventory in the warehouse fire there; Wildberries declared the drone campaign force majeure; Foreign Policy described the strikes as a deliberate campaign to collapse Russia's civilian logistics backbone [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-ryazan-wildberries-0729 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-ryazan-wildberries-0729 Thu, 30 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukrainian drones attacked Wildberries logistics warehouses in Ryazan on July 29, causing a large fire and partial building collapse; at least 3 people were killed across Russia and annexed Crimea in overnight Ukrainian strikes on industrial sites; President Zelensky said his military struck several industrial targets; Wildberries said Ryazan warehouse operations were disrupted [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-frontline-0729 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-frontline-0729 Thu, 30 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukrainian forces repelled a record 226 Russian combat clashes across all frontline axes on July 29, with 32 Russian soldiers killed near Pokrovsk alone; Russia launched 6,125 kamikaze drones and 190 guided aerial bombs in a single 24-hour period; Russian forces advanced toward Kramatorsk in Donetsk Oblast, fighting in Sumy, Kharkov, Dobropolye, Gulyaypole and Zaporozhye; Zelensky warned partners that 30,000 more North Korean troops are being prepared for deployment and said a massive Russian strike was imminent [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-lukoil-perm-0729 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-lukoil-perm-0729 Thu, 30 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukraine's Security Service launched a drone strike on the Lukoil-Permnefteorgsintez refinery in Perm on July 29, hitting a key crude-processing unit more than 1,500 km from the Ukrainian border; the operation was ordered by President Zelensky to degrade Russia's military and economic capacity; Lukoil-Permnefteorgsintez is one of Russia's largest refineries and a significant contributor to refined fuel for Russian industry and the military [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/zelensky-tusk-lublin-0729 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/zelensky-tusk-lublin-0729 Thu, 30 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky visited Lublin on July 29 for talks with Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk on returning from Washington; the two sides discussed defence cooperation, anti-ballistic missile defence, and security arrangements for Ukrainians in Poland, alongside historical reconciliation issues [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-jordan-missiles-0729 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-jordan-missiles-0729 Fri, 31 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps launched at least four ballistic missiles at a US military facility in Jordan on the night of July 28-29; the US military said it intercepted the missiles; US and Saudi Arabia simultaneously struck Iran-backed militia headquarters in Iraq, killing at least 20 including six Iranian advisers, the first time Saudi Arabia has joined US offensive action in Iraq in this conflict; Iraq's government protested; Iran rejected Oman's Strait of Hormuz proposals and struck three ships in the waterway [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hamas-cairo-phase2-0728 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hamas-cairo-phase2-0728 Thu, 30 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Hamas said on July 28 its negotiating team would travel to Egypt to continue talks on implementing the second phase of the Gaza ceasefire agreement; on the same day Israel released 60 Palestinian detainees in the single largest such release since prisoner exchanges in October, facilitated by the Red Cross at the Kerem Shalom crossing; the Jerusalem Post reported the IDF simultaneously killed a Hamas commander and the head of Hamas's internal security service in concurrent strikes [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/israel-lebanon-rome-0728 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/israel-lebanon-rome-0728 Wed, 29 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The US State Department confirmed on July 28 that the next round of Israel-Lebanon talks will be held in Rome on August 4-6, with technical consultations focused on full implementation of the border framework agreement; Israel is preparing to withdraw from two designated 'pilot zones' in southern Lebanon as part of the phased process [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/zelensky-trump-0728 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/zelensky-trump-0728 Wed, 29 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky arrived in Washington on July 28 for a meeting with US President Donald Trump at 9:30am ET, his latest attempt to win firmer US support against Russia; the visit comes as Ukraine and Russia both escalate long-range strikes and US-led diplomatic talks remain at a standstill, with the US Senate due to vote the same day on Russian sanctions [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-terminal-autonomy-kyiv-0731 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-terminal-autonomy-kyiv-0731 Sat, 01 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT A Russian missile struck the Kyiv production facility of Terminal Autonomy, a US-owned company that manufactures AI-guided AQ-400 Scythe and AQ-100 Bayonet strike drones designed to resist Russian jamming; Kyiv Post and reporting citing The Guardian described the July 31 attack as Russia's first direct hit on a factory belonging to an American defence company operating in Ukraine [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/netanyahu-trump-0728 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/netanyahu-trump-0728 Wed, 29 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu arrived in Washington for a meeting with US President Donald Trump on July 28, their first bilateral since the joint US-Israel war against Iran; the meeting comes with strains in the relationship over Gaza, Iran's future, and Israel's post-war position, and Netanyahu is travelling under reported Iranian security threat [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/poland-ukraine-hate-crime-0728 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/poland-ukraine-hate-crime-0728 Wed, 29 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A Ukrainian man and his girlfriend were beaten by three men in Wroclaw, Poland, on July 26 because of their Ukrainian accents; Polish police questioned the couple on July 27, searched for suspects and detained two men, aged 27 and 45, by July 28; the Kyiv Independent described the attack as part of a surge in violence against Ukrainians in Poland fueled by a crisis in diplomatic relations between the two countries [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-belgorod-bus-0728 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-belgorod-bus-0728 Wed, 29 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A Ukrainian drone hit a civilian passenger bus on a scheduled route in Shebekino, Belgorod Oblast, on July 28, injuring 19 people, acting Governor Alexander Shuvaev confirmed; separately, over 390 drones targeted the Moscow region overnight, with 81 intercepted approaching the city and the rest neutralized by air defence, Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin said [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-drone-gulf-0728 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-drone-gulf-0728 Wed, 29 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Israel's military intercepted two drones near the Jordan border on July 27 and said the UAVs did not cross into Israeli territory; Israeli officials believed the drones were fired from Iraq; separately, Saudi Arabia intercepted drones launched from Iraq by Iran-backed militias, while Iran's foreign minister held talks on Strait of Hormuz security with Saudi and Omani counterparts [de-escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pak-india-kashmir-0727 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pak-india-kashmir-0727 Tue, 28 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT India's Defence Minister Rajnath Singh said on July 26 that India would not hold talks with Pakistan except on Azad Kashmir and accused Pakistan's government of backing terrorism against India; Pakistan's Defence Minister Khawaja Muhammad Asif replied that India is deflecting from 'internal turmoil,' while Pakistan's Foreign Ministry condemned Singh's remarks as highly provocative and irresponsible and called on the UN to hold India accountable [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-us-ceasefire-0727 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-us-ceasefire-0727 Wed, 29 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The US pause in strikes on Iran continued into its third day on July 27 as President Donald Trump said 'we are having good talks' and 'good things can happen'; Iran's Foreign Ministry denied any negotiations were taking place, declared that Iran 'will never allow the United States to determine the timing of war and peace,' and Gulf media reported Iranian officials describing US conduct as that of a 'mafia gang' [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nz-russia-spy-0727 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nz-russia-spy-0727 Tue, 28 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Russia's Federal Security Service arrested a man in the Far East city of Khabarovsk on July 27, accusing him of spying for New Zealand's Security Intelligence Service; Russian authorities said the man was a Russian citizen who had proactively established contact with New Zealand intelligence [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-missile-poland-0730 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-missile-poland-0730 Mon, 03 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT A Russian missile violated Polish airspace and landed in a field in eastern Poland's Lublin region before dawn on July 30, during a mass Russian barrage on Ukraine; NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte condemned the airspace violation and said the alliance would 'defend its territory'; Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk said there was 'no reason to think Poland was targeted'; Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky blamed 'insufficient or delayed' air defense supplies for deaths in Ukraine during the same barrage [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nigeria-kaduna-naridon-0727 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nigeria-kaduna-naridon-0727 Wed, 29 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Suspected gunmen attacked the Naridon community in southern Kaduna State, Nigeria, overnight on July 27, killing at least 30 people including eight children and burning houses; SOKAPU, a group representing southern Kaduna communities, condemned the attack and wrote to the state's Commissioner of Police calling for urgent security measures [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/milei-lula-escalation-0727 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/milei-lula-escalation-0727 Fri, 07 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Brazil's President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva dismissed Argentina's President Javier Milei with an ironic 'Who's that guy?' on July 27-28, after Brazilian Foreign Minister Mauro Vieira described Milei's July 26 insults as a 'provocation unprecedented in 200 years of bilateral relations'; the first formal diplomatic encounter ended without any agreement, Argentina's presidential palace refused to apologize, and Brazil's Finance Minister called Milei a 'clown' [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/putin-ukraine-partition-0728 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/putin-ukraine-partition-0728 Wed, 29 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Russia's President Vladimir Putin told Russian Navy officers on July 26 that he was 'confident' Ukraine would 'sooner or later' lose its western territories, which he described as lands Stalin gifted to Soviet Ukraine after WWII; Poland's Foreign Ministry called it 'cynical' disinformation designed to split Warsaw from Kyiv; Hungary and Romania, also named, have not responded [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-saudi-iraq-militia-0729 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-saudi-iraq-militia-0729 Thu, 30 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Merged into [[iran-jordan-missiles-0729]], which covers the full July 28-29 escalation night including the IRGC Jordan missile strike and the US-Saudi Iraq militia strikes as a single event. [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-udmurt-strike-0727 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-udmurt-strike-0727 Wed, 29 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukraine struck oil facilities in Russia's Udmurt Republic, 1,400 km from the front line, and in Yaroslavl Oblast on July 27, with Udmurt Governor Alexander Brechalov describing it as 'the most massive attack in recent times'; President Zelensky also confirmed strikes on an oil export terminal in Russia's Rostov region; a separate overnight drone hit an apartment block in Rostov-on-Don, killing two people and injuring eight [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-iran-pentagon-casualties-0727 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-iran-pentagon-casualties-0727 Wed, 29 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The US Defense Department updated its war casualty database on July 26, recording more than 600 wounded service members since the war with Iran began in February; the 'quiet' update, which also restored four soldiers previously omitted, has prompted questions about how the US military reports the human cost of the conflict [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/houthi-saudi-0727 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/houthi-saudi-0727 Fri, 07 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Yemen's Houthi movement attacked Saudi Arabia's East-West Pipeline and commercial vessels in the Red Sea and off the United Arab Emirates coast on or around July 27; Singapore's Foreign Ministry condemned the attacks, and oil prices fell sharply as traders weighed the strikes against the broader pause in US-Iran hostilities [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nk-asean-0727 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nk-asean-0727 Tue, 28 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Kim Yo Jong, the North Korean leader's sister and a senior policy voice, dismissed the ASEAN Regional Forum's call for a denuclearized Korean peninsula as 'stupid' and 'foolish' on July 27, days after Russia defended North Korea's nuclear weapons possession at the ARF's annual meeting in the Philippines; Kim said the demand reflects a US-backed position that Pyongyang will never accept [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/milei-brazil-ambassador-recall-0726 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/milei-brazil-ambassador-recall-0726 Tue, 28 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Argentina's President Javier Milei called Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva a convict and a thief at a political rally in São Paulo on July 26 supporting Flávio Bolsonaro's candidacy; Brazil's government recalled its ambassador Julio Bitelli from Buenos Aires for consultations, describing the relationship as a diplomatic crisis, while Argentina's presidential palace acknowledged political relations are now 'critical' [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-russia-frontline-0727 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-russia-frontline-0727 Wed, 29 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Russia launched 147 drones at Ukraine overnight July 26-27, with Ukrainian air defense intercepting 145; Russian attacks killed at least 7 civilians and injured 58 in Ukraine, including at a Kryvyi Rih hypermarket; Ukrainian counterstrikes killed at least 5 people in southern Russia; President Zelensky warned that Russia is preparing a new mobilization wave, with losses exceeding recruitment [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/gaza-isf-approval-0726 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/gaza-isf-approval-0726 Wed, 29 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Israel's security cabinet cleared the legal path on July 26 for a multinational International Stabilisation Force (ISF) to enter Gaza as part of US President Donald Trump's ceasefire plan; forces would come from 'friendly countries' and operate in areas outside Israel's military control while Israeli forces remain present elsewhere in the territory; a peace envoy welcomed the move but The National noted Israel continues to carry out regular strikes [transition] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-kordofan-bara-0726 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-kordofan-bara-0726 Tue, 28 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Sudan's Armed Forces and allied groups said on July 26-27 they captured three towns in North Kordofan, including Bara, after fierce fighting, claiming 62 RSF vehicles destroyed and 54 seized; the Rapid Support Forces denied losing the areas and said fighting was still ongoing; the SAF says the advance secures a supply route to El Obeid, the state capital encircled for weeks [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-strike-wildberries-0724 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-strike-wildberries-0724 Mon, 27 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukraine launched what Meduza described as one of its biggest strikes on Russia in 2026, sending 571 drones against 15 regions overnight on July 24; Flamingo cruise missiles struck the AVITEK plant in Kirov, Russia's only serial maker of fighter ejection seats and a supplier of Tor air-defense and Kh-101 cruise missile components, killing 6 and wounding 26; Wildberries warehouses near St. Petersburg were hit for at least the fifth time in a week, as Russia officially called the e-commerce strikes terrorist attacks while Ukrainian defense analysts documented FPV drones and attack-drone components listed for sale on the platform [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-ceasefire-rejected-0724 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-ceasefire-rejected-0724 Tue, 28 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran rejected a US ceasefire proposal on July 24 that Iraq's Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi had carried to Tehran from Washington; Iranian officials said the proposal fails to address the question of control over the Strait of Hormuz, as US strikes continued for a 13th consecutive night and Trump threatened the largest bombardment yet if Iran refuses to negotiate [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-kyiv-arms-expo-0724 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-kyiv-arms-expo-0724 Sat, 25 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Russia struck a defense industry exhibition site in Kyiv Oblast on July 24 at around 11:20 a.m. local time, killing at least 10 people and injuring around 100; Ukrainian defense company representatives were present at the site when the missile hit, making it one of the most lethal daytime strikes on the capital region in weeks [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-iran-strikes-0724 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-iran-strikes-0724 Wed, 29 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The United States launched new air strikes across Iran on July 24, 2026, targeting sites from the country's south to its north; Iran retaliated by striking US bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, Jordan and Erbil; Iran's Health Ministry reported 55 dead and 629 injured in US strikes; Trump threatened a 'massive attack' if Iran refuses to negotiate and proposed using frozen Iranian assets to pay for maritime damages; Oman sent a delegation to Tehran to discuss Hormuz traffic management [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-raytheon-patriot-0723 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-raytheon-patriot-0723 Fri, 24 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT President Volodymyr Zelensky announced on July 23 that Ukraine will jointly produce interceptor missiles for the Patriot air defense system with US defense firm Raytheon Technologies, following a meeting with Raytheon VP Joseph DeAntona. Zelensky said he and President Trump had discussed the arrangement in Ankara, and that manufacturing licenses are expected before end-2026. [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-raf-fairford-threat-0724 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-raf-fairford-threat-0724 Wed, 29 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran declared the UK's RAF Fairford air base a 'legitimate military target' on July 23-24, citing its use by US B-1 Lancer bombers in strikes on Iranian territory; the British government said it was 'ready to keep the UK safe' and electronic warfare aircraft arrived at Fairford, marking the first explicit Iranian threat against a NATO ally's military base in the current conflict [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-kuwait-drone-0731 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-kuwait-drone-0731 Sun, 02 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran's military claimed on July 31 that it struck a US base in Kuwait with a drone, while President Donald Trump said he was losing faith in Iran and warned that fresh US strikes on Iran were coming as soon as the weekend; Kuwait confirmed it intercepted drone attacks; the exchange, coming days after a US-Iran ceasefire pause began, is the first confirmed military action by Iran against a US base since the ceasefire entered its third day on July 27. [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-ph-scarborough-watercannon-0724 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-ph-scarborough-watercannon-0724 Mon, 27 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT China's coast guard blasted Philippine government ships with water cannons at Scarborough Shoal (Bajo de Masinloc) on July 23 and 24, 2026, the second straight day of confrontation; a CNN crew was on board a Philippine vessel on July 24, providing the first Western eyewitness account at the shoal; Beijing launched military drills near Hainan Island as Manila and Beijing traded blame [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-taiwan-strait-drills-0723 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-taiwan-strait-drills-0723 Fri, 24 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT China's People's Liberation Army launched two days of live-fire exercises in parts of the Taiwan Strait near Fujian's Dongshan Island on July 23, 2026, one day after US Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi met on the sidelines of the ASEAN Foreign Ministers' Meeting in Manila [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/thailand-narathiwat-attack-0723 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/thailand-narathiwat-attack-0723 Fri, 24 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Five Thai soldiers were killed and six civilians, including two children, were wounded in a combined bomb-and-shooting attack at a checkpoint in Thailand's southern Narathiwat province on July 23; the assault came one day after a car bombing elsewhere in Narathiwat wounded police; Thai authorities are searching for suspects [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iraq-pm-iran-visit-0723 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iraq-pm-iran-visit-0723 Fri, 24 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iraqi Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi traveled to Tehran on July 23 for his first official visit to Iran since taking office, holding expanded talks with senior Iranian officials, signing four cooperation documents, and publicly stating Iraq will not allow its territory to be used to threaten Iran; the trip followed al-Zaidi's July 14 meeting with US President Trump in Washington [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-iran-b1-cia-0723 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-iran-b1-cia-0723 Wed, 29 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The US military used B-1 Lancer heavy bombers against Iran on July 23, the first deployment of the aircraft in 12 days since fighting resumed, as Trump told Axios he is 'close to a decision' on an unprecedented 'massive attack' if Iran refuses to negotiate; US intelligence is separately probing whether Russia supplied targeting data for Iranian drone strikes on CIA facilities in Saudi Arabia and Iraq; the US House of Representatives passed a new troop-withdrawal resolution [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/southkorea-nk-peacefirst-0723 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/southkorea-nk-peacefirst-0723 Fri, 24 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT South Korea's Unification Minister Chung Dong-young announced on July 23 that the Lee Jae Myung government has shifted from a 'denuclearization first' to a 'peace first' policy toward North Korea, dropping the requirement that Pyongyang commit to disarmament before dialogue can begin; the new approach seeks to freeze North Korea's nuclear program while reopening talks, keeping a nuclear-free Korean Peninsula as a long-term goal but decoupling it from the opening of negotiations [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/houthi-saudi-tanker-attack-0723 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/houthi-saudi-tanker-attack-0723 Wed, 29 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Houthi forces struck two Saudi-owned oil tankers in the Red Sea on July 22-23, the first confirmed attacks on Saudi vessels since the naval blockade declaration of July 20; the ENCELIA vessel caught fire, crew safe; Brent crude crossed US$100 per barrel for the first time since May; US President Trump threatened major military punishment for Iran and the Houthis [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-wildberries-krasnodar-0722 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-wildberries-krasnodar-0722 Fri, 24 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukrainian drones attacked two Wildberries warehouses in Nevinnomyssk and Krasnodar on July 22, killing at least one person and injuring several others, in the third such strike on Russia's largest online retailer; Russia retaliated by striking port infrastructure and vessels in the Ukrainian cities of Odesa and Chornomorsk [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/drc-tshisekedi-dialogue-0723 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/drc-tshisekedi-dialogue-0723 Fri, 24 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Democratic Republic of Congo President Felix Tshisekedi announced on July 22 the imminent launch of a national dialogue, prompting the country's main opposition coalition to postpone a planned protest; the move was cautiously welcomed as a possible opening in DRC's deepening political stand-off [pending-decision] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/kremlin-ukraine-territory-0722 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/kremlin-ukraine-territory-0722 Fri, 24 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Russia's leadership has ruled out returning occupied parts of Sumy and Kharkiv oblasts to Ukraine in any peace settlement, intending to keep them as buffer zones, while pressing to capture all of Donetsk and Luhansk, according to sources familiar with the Kremlin cited by Bloomberg on July 22 [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-fuelcrisis-0722 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-fuelcrisis-0722 Thu, 23 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil refineries have disrupted front-line military logistics to the point that Russian troops are rationing fuel and walking miles for supplies; on July 22 President Putin separately convened an economic meeting in Moscow focused on reducing Russia's budget dependency on oil and gas revenues [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-larak-strike-0722 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-larak-strike-0722 Fri, 24 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iranian state media reported a US missile strike on Larak Island at the mouth of the Strait of Hormuz on July 22; Washington did not confirm the attack; the US deployed B-1 Lancer bombers against Iran for the first time since the war resumed; Trump warned of a 'massive attack' if Iran fails to negotiate and threatened to bomb bridges in Tehran; Defense Secretary Hegseth told US senators the conflict has cost US$37.5 billion [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-russia-strikes-jul22 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-russia-strikes-jul22 Wed, 22 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukrainian drones struck logistics hubs of Wildberries, Russia's largest online retailer, in Nevinnomyssk and Krasnodar overnight on July 22, causing large fires and injuring several people; separate strikes on occupied Crimea triggered blackouts across the peninsula and a Russian MiG-29 fighter jet was struck at Kursk's Khalino airfield [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/lavrov-rubio-manila-0722 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/lavrov-rubio-manila-0722 Sat, 25 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio met for 35 minutes on July 23 in Manila on the sidelines of the 59th ASEAN Foreign Ministers' Meeting, the highest-level direct Russia-US diplomatic contact in months; Lavrov told Rubio arms supplies to Kyiv are inadmissible; Rubio said the US is ready to help end the 'senseless war' but acknowledged no quick path; both sides agreed to continue diplomatic engagement and discussed the Persian Gulf situation; no joint statement or concrete proposal was released [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hezbollah-beirut-airport-0722 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hezbollah-beirut-airport-0722 Thu, 23 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Hezbollah's deputy political chief Mahmoud Qamati threatened on July 21-22 to prevent aircraft from landing at Beirut's Rafik Hariri International Airport if Lebanon's government continued barring Iranian flights, opening a new confrontation with the Lebanese state and signalling opposition to any indirect talks framework with Israel [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/romania-blacksea-ship-0721 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/romania-blacksea-ship-0721 Wed, 22 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT An LPG tanker, the Gas Lisbon under Liberian flag, was attacked and exploded approximately 30 km from the Romanian port of Sulina outside Romanian territorial waters on the night of July 20 to 21 while sailing from Egypt to Ukraine; three crew members were wounded, and Romanian President Nicusor Dan called the strike 'most likely' a Russian attack and launched a probe [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ecuador-us-hrw-0721 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ecuador-us-hrw-0721 Wed, 22 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A 94-page Human Rights Watch report released July 21 documents torture of farm workers, arbitrary detention, and unexplained drone attacks on fishing boats near the Galapagos Islands during what the US called 'partnered operations' with Ecuador's security forces from January to March 2026 [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/lebanon-aoun-trump-0721 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/lebanon-aoun-trump-0721 Thu, 23 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Lebanese President Joseph Aoun met US President Donald Trump in the White House Oval Office on July 21, pushing for Israeli forces to complete their withdrawal from Lebanese territory still under occupation; the meeting marked Aoun's first Oval Office sit-down after arriving in Washington on July 18 [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/philippines-china-ayungin-0721 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/philippines-china-ayungin-0721 Wed, 22 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Chinese Coast Guard personnel physically assaulted Philippine Navy sailors stationed at the grounded BRP Sierra Madre at Ayungin (Second Thomas) Shoal on July 20; the Philippines and China summoned each other's envoys the following day, President Ferdinand Marcos Jr met China's ambassador directly, and the Armed Forces of the Philippines rejected Beijing's account of the confrontation as 'false and misleading' [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-syrskyi-drapatyi-0721 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-syrskyi-drapatyi-0721 Sat, 25 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Under pressure from protests over the dismissal of Defense Minister Fedorov, President Volodymyr Zelensky removed General Oleksandr Syrskyi as Ukraine's commander-in-chief on July 21 and appointed Mykhailo Drapatyi, the army's eastern front commander, in his place [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/patel-russia-visit-0721 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/patel-russia-visit-0721 Wed, 22 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Politico reported on July 21 that FBI Director Kash Patel is tentatively scheduled to visit Moscow and St. Petersburg in mid-October for meetings with Russian security services, drawing immediate backlash from US lawmakers and scrutiny over spending [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/skorea-diplomat-breach-0721 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/skorea-diplomat-breach-0721 Wed, 22 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT South Korea's Foreign Ministry disclosed on July 21 that a cyberattack on the Korea National Diplomatic Academy's e-learning platform exposed credentials and personal records of all registered diplomats, with the zero-day intrusion going undetected from late 2025 until an outside agency flagged it [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/asean-59th-amm-manila-0721 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/asean-59th-amm-manila-0721 Fri, 24 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The 59th ASEAN Foreign Ministers' Meeting convened in Manila on July 20 with US Secretary of State Rubio, China's Wang Yi and other major-power counterparts present; Southeast Asian ministers voiced serious concern over Middle East hostilities and called for safe, unimpeded passage through the Strait of Hormuz, while Myanmar's stalled peace process and South China Sea tensions also featured [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-us-cw-sanctions-0720 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-us-cw-sanctions-0720 Tue, 21 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The US State Department imposed new sanctions on Sudan's army-aligned government on July 20, accusing it of deploying chlorine gas against rival RSF paramilitaries; the measures include airspace bans and financing restrictions; Sudan called the allegations 'false' and 'politically motivated' [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/blacksea-russia-merchant-attacks-0720 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/blacksea-russia-merchant-attacks-0720 Wed, 22 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Russia stepped up strikes on merchant vessels and ports near Odesa in the Black Sea in late July 2026, killing at least ten people and disrupting Ukraine's grain export corridor; European wheat prices climbed above 230 euros per tonne at the Paris Euronext, with some readings reaching 240 euros, as traders priced in a sustained disruption to Black Sea grain shipments [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/wb-settler-attack-0721 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/wb-settler-attack-0721 Wed, 22 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The Palestinian health ministry said Israeli forces shot dead two Palestinian men when settlers attacked a village in the occupied West Bank on July 20; the Israeli army said troops opened fire after being attacked while attempting to evacuate settlers from the village; the accounts diverge on whether Israeli forces were protecting settlers or accompanying the assault [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/laura-loomer-ukraine-0721 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/laura-loomer-ukraine-0721 Wed, 22 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Laura Loomer, a far-right US blogger close to President Donald Trump, travelled to Ukraine on July 21, visited Bucha where Russian forces killed hundreds of civilians in 2022, and posted on X that she had been influenced by Russian propaganda; Zelensky's office welcomed the visit as an opportunity to show Ukraine's reality [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/japan-china-eez-drill-0721 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/japan-china-eez-drill-0721 Fri, 24 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Japan's Defense Ministry announced on July 21 that Chinese PLA Navy vessels fired machine guns inside Japan's Exclusive Economic Zone near Okinotori Island on July 19, marking the first time Japan has publicly confirmed such a drill; Russian navy ships were also present; Japan lodged a diplomatic protest and China dismissed it as 'groundless' [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-drone-russia-0720 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-drone-russia-0720 Tue, 21 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukraine launched more than 400 drones toward Moscow and surrounding cities overnight on July 20; Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin said air defenses shot down 385 of them; Ukraine's armed forces also struck an oil storage facility and logistics sites in Moscow Oblast and hit six vessels in the Black Sea; Russia struck Zaporizhzhia residential buildings and a dry cargo ship in Odessa in parallel [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-iran-hormuz-0720 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-iran-hormuz-0720 Thu, 23 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The US military completed its 11th consecutive night of strikes on Iran on July 22 as the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab al-Mandeb were both reported closed; Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth disclosed the war has cost the Pentagon $37.5 billion; Iran's IRGC claimed it hit radar sites inside Kuwait; and Brent crude rose to near $95 per barrel as Secretary of State Marco Rubio said the US would continue strikes while remaining open to negotiations [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/air-france-mideast-halt-0720 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/air-france-mideast-halt-0720 Tue, 21 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Air France on July 20 extended its Beirut flight suspension through August 2 and announced a temporary halt to flights to Dubai, UAE, and Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, citing the regional security situation and evolving airspace restrictions linked to the US-Iran conflict [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/taiwan-hankuang-0721 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/taiwan-hankuang-0721 Wed, 22 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Taiwan announced on July 20 that this year's Han Kuang 42 military exercises will for the first time fully integrate with urban resilience drills spanning county lines, expanding from one day to two days; the exercises will include simulated telecom disruptions, underground metro use, and civilian-military coordination scenarios designed to test readiness for everything from natural disasters to a Chinese military attack [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-pakistan-momeni-0720 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-pakistan-momeni-0720 Tue, 21 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iranian Interior Minister Eskandar Momeni arrived in Islamabad on July 20 at the head of a delegation, scheduled to meet Pakistani PM Shehbaz Sharif and Chief of Defence Forces General Syed Asim Munir; Pakistan's Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi said he hoped the visit would bring 'positive developments' on the regional situation [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hamas-hayya-elected-0720 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hamas-hayya-elected-0720 Tue, 21 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Hamas's political bureau elected Khalil al-Hayya as its new chairman on July 20, 2026, beating former leader Khaled Meshaal in a run-off by one vote; al-Hayya, a Gaza-based veteran negotiator and one of a five-member interim leadership council since 2024, succeeds Yahya Sinwar, who was killed by Israeli forces in Gaza [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-gulf-allies-strikes-0720 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-gulf-allies-strikes-0720 Thu, 23 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iranian missiles and drones hit civilian infrastructure in Kuwait and Bahrain on July 19-20, including a fire at a Kuwait power plant; Jordan intercepted three Iranian missiles; CNN confirmed a third US service member was killed in the campaign on July 20, bringing total American combat deaths to three; Washington has said its main objective is keeping oil and gas flowing through the Strait of Hormuz; a German outlet cited an Iranian insider saying mediators are pushing a 10-day ceasefire [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-ph-scs-second-thomas-0720 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-ph-scs-second-thomas-0720 Fri, 24 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A Chinese coast guard officer physically struck a Philippine navy sailor and damaged a rubber boat during a resupply mission to the BRP Sierra Madre at Ayungin Shoal on July 20; at least one sailor was injured; the incident happened hours after Manila announced that Philippine and Chinese foreign ministers would hold a bilateral on the sidelines of the ASEAN foreign ministers' meeting in Manila [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/houthi-saudi-blockade-0720 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/houthi-saudi-blockade-0720 Fri, 24 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The Houthi group declared an immediate maritime embargo on Saudi Arabia on July 20, citing what it called an unjust Saudi siege on Yemen, a move that analysts say threatens Saudi oil export routes and draws the Houthi conflict closer to the global energy market [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/rubio-aoun-washington-jul19 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/rubio-aoun-washington-jul19 Mon, 20 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Marco Rubio met Lebanese President Joseph Aoun in Washington on July 19, praising Lebanon's efforts to disarm Hezbollah and reclaim sovereignty; Aoun is scheduled to meet Donald Trump on July 21, seeking US guarantees on Israeli troop withdrawal from southern Lebanon [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/syria-shara-security-0720 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/syria-shara-security-0720 Tue, 21 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa on July 19 announced a sweeping reshuffle of Syria's security and intelligence leadership, naming a new director for the National Security Office and a new chief of General Intelligence; Al Jazeera reported the government said the changes were aimed at strengthening security and clearing the way for reconstruction; Asharq Al-Awsat cited an analyst describing the move as a fundamental restructuring driven by domestic concerns and mounting international pressure [transition] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-stavropol-jul19 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-stavropol-jul19 Mon, 20 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukrainian forces struck fuel storage facilities in Russia's Stavropol Krai and hit three shadow fleet vessels in the Black Sea on July 19; Russia's TASS reported fires in an industrial zone near Stavropol with no casualties, while President Volodymyr Zelensky said the strikes were a direct response to Russia's heaviest ballistic missile barrage on Kyiv [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/mali-anefis-ambush-jul18 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/mali-anefis-ambush-jul18 Mon, 20 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A coalition of JNIM jihadists and Tuareg separatists ambushed a Malian army convoy leaving Anefis in the Gao region on July 18; Vanguard Nigeria reported at least 50 soldiers killed, while initial AP dispatches cited scores killed or captured, and Mali's government said a counterattack was under way [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-iran-darkhovin-0719 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-iran-darkhovin-0719 Tue, 21 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT US CENTCOM struck the construction site of Iran's Darkhovin nuclear power plant in Khuzestan province on July 19 in retaliation for the deaths of two US soldiers in Jordan; Iran's Atomic Energy Organisation condemned the attack as a strike on a safeguarded peaceful nuclear facility, and the IRGC reported shooting down an American MQ-9 Reaper drone over Ahvaz [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/taiwan-pla-drills-0723 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/taiwan-pla-drills-0723 Fri, 24 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The People's Liberation Army launched two days of live-fire exercises in parts of the Taiwan Strait off Fujian province's Dongshan Island on July 23, a day after US Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi held talks on the sidelines of the ASEAN meeting in Manila. Beijing had also separately criticized Taiwan President Lai Ching-te's recent speech. [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-iran-jask-water-jul18 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-iran-jask-water-jul18 Mon, 20 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A US airstrike on a drinking-water desalination facility in Jask, Hormozgan Province, has left roughly 10,000 people without water, provincial officials said, marking the first reported US strike on Iranian civilian water infrastructure in the current conflict [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/rubio-lavrov-manila-0723 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/rubio-lavrov-manila-0723 Fri, 24 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT US Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov held talks in Manila on July 23 on the sidelines of the ASEAN Regional Forum, with Lavrov reaffirming Russia's readiness for a political and diplomatic settlement to the war in Ukraine and its commitment to the Anchorage agreements [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/lavrov-rubio-manila-0723 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/lavrov-rubio-manila-0723 Sat, 25 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio met on July 23, 2026, on the sidelines of the ASEAN Regional Forum in Manila for 35 minutes of direct talks on the Ukraine war; Rubio said the US remains ready to help end the 'senseless war' but acknowledged there is no quick path to a deal; Lavrov told Rubio it is 'unacceptable' for Washington to continue arms deliveries to Kyiv; both sides reaffirmed their commitment to Russia's Anchorage summit framework and agreed to maintain contact [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/jordan-intercepts-iran-jul18 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/jordan-intercepts-iran-jul18 Mon, 20 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Jordan's Armed Forces intercepted 10 Iranian missiles on July 18, the latest in a wave of 240-plus projectiles fired at Jordanian territory since February; two US troops died on Jordanian soil a day earlier, but Jordan's Foreign Ministry omitted Jordan from its own list of Iranian-attacked countries [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-odessa-port-jul18 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-odessa-port-jul18 Mon, 20 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Russian forces struck port infrastructure in Ukraine's Odessa and Chernomorsk overnight July 17-18, hitting fuel storage and lubricant facilities at Odessa used by Ukraine's military and striking two vessels at Chernomorsk; an Antigua and Barbuda-flagged commercial ship was hit, killing one crew member and injuring three others [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-wildberries-tambov-jul18 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-wildberries-tambov-jul18 Sun, 19 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT President Volodymyr Zelensky officially claimed Ukraine's overnight drone strikes on Wildberries logistics hubs in Tambov Region and Moscow Oblast on July 18, saying the warehouses had been used to supply sanctioned components for Russian drone production; the revised toll across both sites stands at least 8 dead and more than 60 wounded [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-mou-suspend-jul18 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-mou-suspend-jul18 Mon, 20 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi announced on July 18 that Iran has suspended all commitments under the 14-point memorandum of understanding with the US, accusing Washington of interpreting the agreement contrary to its terms and continuing strikes on Iranian infrastructure [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-tanker-israel-jul17 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-tanker-israel-jul17 Mon, 20 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The Trump administration told Israel on July 17 it would deploy dozens of additional aerial refueling aircraft in coming days, with the first ten arriving Friday and Saturday at Israeli Air Force bases rather than Ben Gurion Airport; the deployment signals preparation for a possible wider air campaign targeting Iranian power infrastructure and the suspected Pickaxe Mountain nuclear site [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/lebanon-aoun-washington-jul18 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/lebanon-aoun-washington-jul18 Wed, 22 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Joseph Aoun left Beirut for Washington on July 18, where he is expected to meet Donald Trump; the agenda centres on enforcing the ceasefire in southern Lebanon and pressing Israel to withdraw from Lebanese territory it still occupies [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-shadowfleet-jul18 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-shadowfleet-jul18 Mon, 20 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces struck 13 additional vessels linked to Russia's sanction-evasion fleet on July 18, including tankers and cargo ships in the Black Sea and Azov Sea, pushing Operation Molochka's cumulative tally to 172 ships targeted since the campaign began [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-kyiv-ballistic-0719 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-kyiv-ballistic-0719 Mon, 20 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Russia launched 41 missiles of various types at Ukraine's capital overnight July 18-19, hitting several districts in what Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky called one of the biggest ballistic missile barrages of the war; at least one person was killed and 17 others were wounded, with Ukraine's air defences under strain from a Patriot munitions shortage [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/irgc-gulf-strike-jul18 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/irgc-gulf-strike-jul18 Mon, 20 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran's IRGC struck a Kuwait Petroleum Corporation oil site with reported injuries and hit a second Kuwaiti power and water plant early July 18, as Bahrain sounded air-raid sirens and Iran formally declared the MoU ceasefire agreement dead and expanded its target list to include a Saudi base and Kuwait water infrastructure [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-troops-jordan-kia-jul18 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-troops-jordan-kia-jul18 Mon, 20 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran's IRGC struck Muwaffaq Salti airbase in Jordan on July 18 with ballistic missiles and drones, killing two US service members, wounding four, and leaving one missing in action, US Central Command confirmed, the first American combat fatalities in the US-Iran war since March. [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-fedorov-crisis-jul17 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-fedorov-crisis-jul17 Sun, 19 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskyy began reconsidering his wartime cabinet shake-up on July 17 under pressure from civil society and the armed forces, while dismissed Defence Minister Mykhailo Fedorov publicly blamed Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi for obstructing military reform and 'splitting the country' [transition] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-iran-strikes-bandar-jul17 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-iran-strikes-bandar-jul17 Mon, 20 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The US military struck road bridges connecting Bandar Abbas, Iran's main southern port, to Shiraz overnight July 17, the seventh consecutive night of bombing; Iran widened its retaliation to Bahrain, Qatar, Oman, Kuwait, Jordan and Syria, including its first direct attack on a Syrian base in this conflict, while US President Donald Trump signalled openness to diplomacy [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/gaza-funeral-strike-jul17 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/gaza-funeral-strike-jul17 Sun, 19 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT An Israeli strike on a funeral in the Gaza Strip on July 17 killed at least seven people and wounded 22, hours after Israeli attacks on July 16 killed at least five Palestinians; Al Jazeera reported more than 1,100 Palestinians have been killed since a ceasefire agreement was reached in October [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-gulf-retaliation-jul16 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-gulf-retaliation-jul16 Mon, 20 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran's army announced on July 16 that it had targeted US military installations across three countries, Jordan, Bahrain, and Kuwait, in retaliation for a new US strike wave that included the first US attack on targets near Tehran in the current conflict [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-shadow-fleet-jul17 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-shadow-fleet-jul17 Sun, 19 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukraine's naval drone force struck nine dry cargo ships, one oil tanker, one gas carrier, and one tugboat in the Black Sea on July 17 in what commanders described as the largest single operation against Russia's evasion fleet yet; Russia responded by ordering armed troops onto the remaining vessels [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/houthi-saudi-threat-jul16 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/houthi-saudi-threat-jul16 Mon, 20 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Houthi leader Abdel Malik al-Houthi issued the threat on July 16 after Saudi Arabia allegedly bombed an airport under Houthi control, which Houthi officials said ruptured a four-year truce with Riyadh; the Houthis had already fired missiles at Saudi Arabia [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-kyiv-ballistic-jul16 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-kyiv-ballistic-jul16 Sun, 19 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Russian ballistic missiles hit warehouses and non-residential buildings in Kyiv in the early hours of July 16, starting fires across two districts as Ukraine's capital absorbed its first ballistic strike in weeks [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/starmer-kyiv-jul16 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/starmer-kyiv-jul16 Thu, 16 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Keir Starmer flew to Kyiv on July 16, in his final week as UK prime minister before Andy Burnham takes office, to meet President Volodymyr Zelensky and reaffirm British military and financial backing for Ukraine, calling Ukraine's resistance central to European security [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-border-raids-jul17 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-border-raids-jul17 Sat, 18 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Pakistan's military killed 24 militants in intelligence-based operations along the Afghanistan border on July 17, retaliating for militant attacks earlier in the week; operations were in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province, the main theatre of Pakistan's ongoing counterinsurgency campaign [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-seafarer-ban-hormuz-jul16 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-seafarer-ban-hormuz-jul16 Sat, 18 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT India's Directorate General of Merchant Marine Affairs ordered ship owners and recruitment agencies on July 16 not to deploy Indian nationals on vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz, citing the deaths of at least two Indian seafarers and three more feared dead after Iranian attacks on international shipping in recent days [disrupted] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/eu-ukraine-drone-deal-jul15 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/eu-ukraine-drone-deal-jul15 Fri, 17 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT European Commission President von der Leyen and President Zelenskyy signed the agreement in Kyiv on July 15, with a 10 billion euro military industry programme announced alongside the initial 1 billion euro tranche [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-energy-threat-jul15 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-energy-threat-jul15 Mon, 20 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps declared Operation Nasr 2 on July 15, claiming strikes on US military facilities in Kuwait, Bahrain and Jordan, and threatened to halt all energy exports from the Middle East if the US naval blockade continues; Brent crude rose above US$85 as the US reimposed its Hormuz blockade and redirected two commercial vessels [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/zaporizhzhia-engineer-killed-jul15 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/zaporizhzhia-engineer-killed-jul15 Thu, 16 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A Ukrainian drone struck a service car near Enerhodar on July 15, killing Oleksandr Yakovlev, chief engineer of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant, and his driver; IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi condemned the attack as an 'unacceptable' threat to nuclear safety, while Russia's Rosatom called it a deliberate act of terrorism and urged IAEA action [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/lebanon-israel-pilot-zones-jul16 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/lebanon-israel-pilot-zones-jul16 Sat, 18 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The US State Department confirmed on July 16 that Lebanon and Israel took steps to implement 'pilot zones' in southern Lebanon for an Israeli withdrawal, while the Lebanese army said it already patrols the area and a security source said Israel agreed to leave territory it 'never invaded' [de-escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ethiopia-natdialogue-jul15 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ethiopia-natdialogue-jul15 Thu, 16 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ethiopia's long-awaited National Dialogue Conference officially opened in Addis Ababa on July 15, 2026, launched by the Ethiopian National Dialogue Commission five years after the body was established by parliament in 2021; the conference is structured around eight themes including nation-building, constitutional status of Addis Ababa, transitional justice, and peace-building, with participants ranging from farmers and internally displaced persons to ministers and military officers, who all sit on equal footing [developing] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sahel-jnim-expansion-jul15 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sahel-jnim-expansion-jul15 Thu, 16 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A UN assessment finds armed groups in the Sahel are no longer just launching attacks: they administer territory, control trade routes, exploit new technologies, and are extending their reach toward coastal West African states [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-molochka-blacksea-jul15 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-molochka-blacksea-jul15 Thu, 16 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces extended their shadow-fleet drone campaign from the Sea of Azov into the Black Sea on July 15, hitting 20 Russian vessels including 17 oil tankers, according to Kyiv Independent; commander Robert 'Madyar' Brovdi declared 'the first round of the maritime battle is over' and announced the next phase, after 105 Russian ships were struck in the Azov over nine days in Operation MoLoChKa [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-strikes-sumy-odesa-jul15 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-strikes-sumy-odesa-jul15 Thu, 16 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Waves of Russian strikes hit Ukrainian cities from Sumy in the north-east to Odesa in the south on July 15, killing at least 12 people and injuring 90, with Odesa Oblast targeted for the fifth consecutive day; a missile hit an apartment building in Odesa, killing three residents [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-ukraine-kyiv-jul14 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-ukraine-kyiv-jul14 Thu, 16 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Russian forces fired ballistic missiles and long-range drones at Ukraine overnight July 13-14, hitting military-industrial complex facilities in Kyiv and targets in the Odesa Oblast port area; Kyiv Mayor Vitali Klitschko reported warehouse fires in the Holosiivskyi district and burning cars in Darnytskyi, with no casualties confirmed [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/philippines-scs-anniversary-jul15 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/philippines-scs-anniversary-jul15 Thu, 16 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The Philippines marked the 10th anniversary of the 2016 Permanent Court of Arbitration award that denied China's nine-dash-line claims; Manila is stepping up defence spending while Beijing continues to reject the ruling and a rare naval standoff at Scarborough Shoal underlines the territorial standoff [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/lebanon-israel-pilotzone-jul15 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/lebanon-israel-pilotzone-jul15 Sat, 18 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Lebanon and Israel concluded two days of US-mediated talks in Rome on July 15, agreeing on a process to implement initial 'pilot zones' in southern Lebanon from which Israeli forces could begin withdrawing, a US official said [de-escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-nuclear-fleet-readiness-jul15 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-nuclear-fleet-readiness-jul15 Thu, 16 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Presidential aide Nikolai Patrushev, chairman of Russia's Marine Board, told Sputnik on July 15 that Russia's naval nuclear forces are fully combat-ready and operating under a long-term development plan reaching 2050 [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/lebanon-israel-rome-talks-jul14 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/lebanon-israel-rome-talks-jul14 Wed, 15 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Both sides met for seven hours at the US Embassy in Rome, with Israel signalling readiness to pull back from two designated pilot zones in southern Lebanon, as Beirut pressed for full implementation of the existing ceasefire framework [de-escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/kremlin-peace-0722 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/kremlin-peace-0722 Thu, 23 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The Kremlin has hardened its position in potential peace negotiations, telling Bloomberg on July 22 that Russia no longer intends to return any occupied Ukrainian territories, including Sumy and Kharkiv border areas it has seized since January, and is pressing ahead with its goal of capturing all of Donetsk and Luhansk [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-us-strikes-bushehr-jul15 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-us-strikes-bushehr-jul15 Fri, 17 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT US forces hit Bushehr on July 15 and reimposed a naval blockade on Iran while Kuwait and Bahrain confirmed intercepting a new wave of Iranian aerial attacks, widening the Gulf confrontation beyond the Strait of Hormuz [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-salavat-refinery-jul14 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-salavat-refinery-jul14 Thu, 16 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukrainian drones struck the Gazprom Neftekhim Salavat petrochemical plant in Russia's Bashkortostan republic and the Afipsky refinery in Krasnodar Krai overnight July 13-14, setting both sites ablaze; Ukraine's Special Operations Forces confirmed the Bashkortostan hit in what APA called the last major Russian refinery to remain undamaged in 2026. [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-kuwait-bahrain-jul14 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-kuwait-bahrain-jul14 Thu, 16 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Kuwait's air defences intercepted 33 drones and six missiles in a July 14 Iranian salvo that struck one navy vessel; Bahrain sounded air raid sirens as the Iran-US conflict widened across the Gulf [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-us-strikes-jul14 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-us-strikes-jul14 Sun, 19 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT US forces carried out a third consecutive night of strikes across a broad swath of Iran early on July 14, US officials said, as Tehran struck back against international shipping and US allies in the Persian Gulf; CNN's live feed confirmed the strikes, which coincide with US President Donald Trump's reimposition of a naval blockade and a 20% Hormuz shipping levy [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-ajk-jaac-clashes-jul14 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-ajk-jaac-clashes-jul14 Thu, 16 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Pakistani security forces opened fire on protesters in the Poonch division of Pakistan-administered Jammu and Kashmir on July 14, killing at least nine people according to Reuters, a day before a banned civil society coalition planned a mass march on Muzaffarabad. [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/france-ukraine-rafale-weapons-jul14 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/france-ukraine-rafale-weapons-jul14 Wed, 15 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Macron and Zelensky signed a Joint Declaration in Paris granting Ukraine rights to produce three French weapons systems domestically, the first time France has licensed capabilities to Kyiv rather than transferring stock, alongside a confirmed order for 16 Dassault Rafale fighters [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-moscow-drones-jul13 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-moscow-drones-jul13 Wed, 15 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT More than 350 Ukrainian drones struck Russia's Moscow region overnight on July 13, killing three people and wounding five when a drone crashed in Pionersky, near Istra, and killing one more person near Russia's border with Ukraine in a separate strike; it was the second consecutive day of large-scale Ukrainian drone attacks on the Moscow area [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-us-strikes-jul13 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-us-strikes-jul13 Wed, 15 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT US President Donald Trump said on July 13 that the US would 'take out Pickaxe Mountain', the underground nuclear facility near Natanz, and announced a reinstatement of what he called an Iranian blockade through the [[strait-of-hormuz]]; earlier that day US forces had struck Iranian targets for the third consecutive day, [[irgc]] forces struck US military facilities in Kuwait, Bahrain and Oman in a third retaliatory wave, and Brent crude climbed above US$75 a barrel; Iran and Oman said they would continue political and technical talks on Hormuz management [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-anti-ballistic-coalition-paris-jul13 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-anti-ballistic-coalition-paris-jul13 Sat, 18 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukraine and nine European nations, including France, Germany, the UK, and seven others, announced the Anti-Ballistic Missile Coalition on July 13 in Paris at a Coalition of the Willing summit hosted by France's President Emmanuel Macron; the ten countries committed to build a shared anti-ballistic missile capacity for Europe under the Freya project, as more than 25 heads of state gathered at the Hôtel des Invalides on the eve of Bastille Day; the group also discussed a €70 billion support package for Ukraine [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-hormuz-seafarer-jul14 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-hormuz-seafarer-jul14 Thu, 16 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iranian missiles struck two UAE-flagged oil tankers transiting the Strait of Hormuz on July 14, killing one Indian crew member and injuring up to ten others among 46 crew, prompting New Delhi to summon the Iranian diplomat in its strongest public rebuke of Tehran's Hormuz campaign [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/houthis-saudi-abha-jul14 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/houthis-saudi-abha-jul14 Wed, 15 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Yemen's Houthi forces fired on Abha airport in southwestern Saudi Arabia in what they described as retaliation for the Arab Coalition's strike on Sanaa airport, the coalition said it intercepted the attack and no airline disruptions were confirmed [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/trump-speech-nation-jul17 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/trump-speech-nation-jul17 Tue, 14 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT US President Donald Trump posted on Truth Social on Monday July 13 that he would deliver a primetime 'Speech to the Nation' on Thursday July 17 at 9 p.m. Eastern; no subject was disclosed and the White House gave no details, but the announcement comes as US military forces conduct a third consecutive night of strikes on Iran [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-daglo-death-sentence-jul13 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-daglo-death-sentence-jul13 Tue, 14 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A court in Port Sudan sentenced Rapid Support Forces paramilitary leader Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo, known as Hemedti, and 15 co-defendants to death in absentia on July 12, convicting them of killing West Darfur Governor Khamis Abbakar and of war crimes, crimes against humanity and genocide in Darfur; the ruling is the first against RSF leadership since Sudan's civil war began in April 2023 [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/azerbaijan-coe-withdrawal-jul13 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/azerbaijan-coe-withdrawal-jul13 Tue, 14 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Azerbaijan's President Ilham Aliyev said at the 4th Shusha Global Media Forum on July 13 that Baku is considering full withdrawal from the Council of Europe, whose Parliamentary Assembly suspended Azerbaijan's voting rights in 2024; Aliyev said 'even if Azerbaijan were to leave the Council of Europe entirely, almost no one in the country would notice it,' while also saying Baku wants normalised relations if Europe takes the first step [pending-decision] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pacific-ocean-peace-alliance-jul13 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pacific-ocean-peace-alliance-jul13 Wed, 15 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Australia's government described China's ballistic missile test over the South Pacific as 'destabilising', with Pacific civil society organisations calling on leaders to reject all military build-up; New Zealand said it would explore joining the Australia-Fiji Ocean of Peace Alliance, a mutual defence pact that commits signatories to 'act to meet common danger', in a move Beijing opposes [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-gulf-oman-protest-beidou-jul12 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-gulf-oman-protest-beidou-jul12 Mon, 13 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Oman's Ministry of Foreign Affairs summoned Iranian Ambassador Mousa Farhang on July 12 and handed him a note of protest after Iranian drones struck facilities in Oman's Musandam and Al Wusta governorates; Iran separately reported new attacks on military targets on its largest island near the [[strait-of-hormuz]], which the [[irgc]] has again declared closed 'until the end of US interference'; a defence technology report said Iran's Zolfaghar ballistic missiles, guided by China's BeiDou-3 satellite system, are maintaining 98 percent accuracy despite US Patriot and THAAD jamming attempts, while both interceptor stockpiles are described as depleted [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-seismologist-youlin-chen-jul13 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-seismologist-youlin-chen-jul13 Wed, 15 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT China has held Youlin Chen, a Chinese-born American seismologist whose US-funded research helped detect North Korean nuclear tests, for nearly two years; Chen faces trial on spying charges, according to a Reuters exclusive, in a case the Japan Times says adds an irritant to US-China relations as US President Donald Trump seeks to keep ties steady [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/eu-venice-biennale-russia-jul12 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/eu-venice-biennale-russia-jul12 Mon, 13 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The European Commission confirmed on July 12 it has instructed the EACEA, its culture funding agency, to suspend a €2 million grant to the Venice Biennale, citing Italy's reopening of the Russian national pavilion for the first time since Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine; EC Executive Vice-President Henna Virkkunen said European culture must not platform Russia's narratives; Italy's Lega politician Luca Zaia called the move an act of institutional arrogance [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-pickaxe-nuclear-jul13 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-pickaxe-nuclear-jul13 Wed, 15 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT US President Donald Trump declared on July 13 that US forces would take out 'Pickaxe Mountain,' a heavily fortified underground nuclear complex near Iran's Natanz facility, saying a strike would come 'relatively soon'; the threat came during the third consecutive night of US strikes on Iran, as satellite imagery showed recent construction at the site and Iran's army struck a US naval vessel with cruise missiles [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-operation-shaban-jul12 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-operation-shaban-jul12 Tue, 14 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A joint Pakistan Army, Frontier Corps, and police operation codenamed Operation Shaban entered its eighth day on July 13 in Balochistan, with security sources reporting a cumulative death toll of at least 117 militants killed across Operation Shaban and concurrent Balochistan operations since July 5; the operation was launched after a terrorist attack in Ziarat district and combines air and ground strikes across the province [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-syzran-refinery-strike-jul12 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-syzran-refinery-strike-jul12 Mon, 13 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukraine's military intelligence (HUR) hit the Syzran oil refinery in Russia's Samara Oblast overnight on July 11-12, setting the Rosneft facility ablaze around 800 km from the front line; the strike damaged the ELOU-AVT-5 crude distillation unit and drove Russian gasoline output to roughly 65% of summer demand; the same strike wave hit 10 tankers and four ferries in the Sea of Azov; Ukraine's General Staff confirmed the operations [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/yemen-sanaa-airport-strikes-jul13 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/yemen-sanaa-airport-strikes-jul13 Wed, 15 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Yemen's internationally recognised government said on July 13 it struck the runway at Houthi-controlled Sanaa International Airport to prevent an Iranian aircraft from landing; the Houthis accused Saudi Arabia of the strike and fired missiles at southern Saudi Arabia in retaliation, breaking the 2022 ceasefire between the two sides; Saudi Arabia said it intercepted the missiles; the UN warned Yemen risks full-scale conflict [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/khanna-westbank-settlers-jul11 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/khanna-westbank-settlers-jul11 Mon, 13 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Democratic congressman Ro Khanna of California said Israeli settlers carrying US-made M4 rifles surrounded his vehicle for more than an hour while he was visiting an abandoned Palestinian village in the occupied West Bank, and that Israel Defense Forces soldiers arrived and blocked the road rather than clearing it; Israel said the visit had not been coordinated in advance and no security had been arranged. [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-hormuz-closure-jul12 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-hormuz-closure-jul12 Mon, 20 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps declared the Strait of Hormuz closed to all shipping on July 12, hours after fresh US airstrikes hit the Iranian port cities of Bandar Abbas, Sirik, Chabahar, Qeshm Island, Bushehr and Asaluyeh; Iran launched missile and drone attacks on Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Oman, Jordan and the UAE; three people were injured in Qatar by falling shrapnel; ceasefire talks in Muscat the previous day had ended without agreement; US envoys were headed back to Oman even as fighting intensified [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-russia-strikes-jul12 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-russia-strikes-jul12 Tue, 14 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Russian forces killed eight people and wounded dozens in missile and drone strikes on Ukraine overnight on July 12, hitting regions including Sumy and Odessa, according to Ukrainian officials; President Volodymyr Zelensky called on allies for faster weapons deliveries; Ukraine's military separately claimed it shot down 349 Russian drones overnight over Russian territory, the Azov Sea and the Black Sea [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/syria-parliament-first-jul12 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/syria-parliament-first-jul12 Tue, 14 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Syria's People's Assembly convened for the first time on July 12, 19 months after opposition forces led by President Ahmed al-Sharaa toppled Bashar al-Assad; al-Sharaa told lawmakers to be 'a model of responsibility and competence' and named improving the economy and public services as top priorities; the chamber's current powers remain limited, marking a transitional milestone [transition] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/somalia-us-flag-incident-jul12 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/somalia-us-flag-incident-jul12 Mon, 13 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A viral video showing individuals in Somali military uniforms stepping on a US flag prompted Somalia's Ministry of Defence to identify and arrest several suspects; the US Embassy in Mogadishu condemned the acts as undermining the bilateral relationship between Washington and Somalia, while also praising the Somali government's swift response; the incident tests a security partnership underpinned by US counterterrorism assistance [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/asean-manila-fmm-jul19 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/asean-manila-fmm-jul19 Fri, 24 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The Philippines, as 2026 ASEAN chair, hosts US Secretary of State Rubio, Chinese FM Wang Yi and Russia's minister alongside counterparts from India, Canada, Australia and New Zealand; Myanmar and a stalled South China Sea code of conduct are expected to dominate [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-azov-kerch-drone-blockade-jul11 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-azov-kerch-drone-blockade-jul11 Wed, 15 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces struck 90 Russian vessels, including oil tankers, ferries and tugboats, in the Sea of Azov between July 6 and July 12, prompting Russia to temporarily suspend commercial navigation through the Kerch Strait and the Don-Azov Canal; wheat prices rose after the campaign disrupted a shipping corridor that carries about a quarter of Russia's grain exports; Russia's Rostov regional governor confirmed a tanker was struck entering the Azov-Black Sea Canal on July 12 [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/south-china-sea-ruling-10th-jul12 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/south-china-sea-ruling-10th-jul12 Thu, 16 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT On the tenth anniversary of the Permanent Court of Arbitration's ruling against China's expansive South China Sea claims, the US, UK, Australia, Japan, Germany, Canada, and nine other nations issued a joint statement reaffirming the ruling as final and binding under UNCLOS; China rejected it as illegal and demanded the Philippines abandon the tribunal award; Beijing's competing claims remain the core friction in the region [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nigeria-oyo-pupils-freed-jul10 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nigeria-oyo-pupils-freed-jul10 Mon, 13 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT All the schoolchildren and teachers abducted from three schools in the Oriire local government area of Oyo State, southwestern Nigeria, were freed on July 10 after a joint security operation; eight bandits were arrested and several others were reported killed; the abduction, which happened in early May, was one of the few large-scale school kidnappings recorded in southwestern Nigeria, a region historically less affected by banditry than the northwest. [resolved] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-cholera-who-jul10 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-cholera-who-jul10 Sat, 11 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The World Health Organization warned on July 10 that a new cholera outbreak in Sudan has killed at least 114 people and infected more than 1,300 across multiple states, and could worsen sharply as rainy-season flooding spreads contaminated water; the outbreak compounds a humanitarian crisis already driven by the ongoing war between Sudan's army and the Rapid Support Forces [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-hormuz-us-demand-jul10 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-hormuz-us-demand-jul10 Mon, 13 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Senior US officials told reporters on July 10 that Washington is demanding Iran issue a public statement that all channels of the Strait of Hormuz are open to shipping and that Tehran will not attack transiting civilian vessels, with Axios reporting a Saturday (July 11) deadline; Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi flew to Oman on July 11 and issued a joint statement with Muscat committing to 'costs associated with navigation' rather than the toll-free passage the US demanded; Iran's new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei said in his first public statement that the closure of the Strait of Hormuz must remain a priority [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nk-china-friendship-65th-jul10 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nk-china-friendship-65th-jul10 Mon, 13 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Chinese President Xi Jinping met North Korean Premier Pak Thae-song in Beijing on July 10, the first high-level visit by Pyongyang to Beijing in years, timed to the 65th anniversary of the China-DPRK Treaty of Friendship, Co-operation and Mutual Assistance; Xi called for a stronger 'combat friendship forged in blood,' invoking the Korean War alliance [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/plo-elections-decree-nov28 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/plo-elections-decree-nov28 Sat, 11 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas issued a presidential decree on July 9 setting November 28, 2026, as the date for legislative elections under proportional representation, the first since 2006; Hamas has not yet responded, Israel has not said whether it will allow voting in East Jerusalem, and Gaza's governance status remains unresolved [pending-decision] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-rsf-us-peace-plan-0710 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-rsf-us-peace-plan-0710 Sat, 11 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Sudan's army-backed government signalled conditional support for a US-proposed peace framework for the country's three-year civil war, telling Washington it would accept the plan only if the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces withdrew completely from all cities they occupy; Reuters reported the condition from internal documents, representing the first formal army response to the US initiative [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/poland-rogov-fsb-conviction-jul9 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/poland-rogov-fsb-conviction-jul9 Thu, 09 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A Polish court convicted Igor Rogov, a former coordinator for Mikhail Khodorkovsky's Open Russia movement, of spying for Russia's FSB and involvement in a parcel bomb plot on July 9; his wife Irina received a three-year sentence for aiding the espionage; the trial was held entirely behind closed doors. [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/cuba-11j-anniversary-jul12 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/cuba-11j-anniversary-jul12 Mon, 13 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Cubans in Old Havana and Guanabacoa banged pots and chanted against the government on July 12, five years after the July 11, 2021 protests swept dozens of Cuban cities; Cuban security forces deployed in Havana; residents in Guanabacoa staged demonstrations after more than 33 consecutive hours without electricity; US Secretary of State Marco Rubio and UN Ambassador Mike Waltz each issued statements calling for the release of more than 800 political prisoners held since 2021; Cuban Americans held a Liberation Day rally in Miami [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-operation-shaban-jul11 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-operation-shaban-jul11 Mon, 13 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Pakistan's security forces reported killing at least 104 militants in Balochistan province since launching Operation Shaban on July 5, with the toll rising through joint Army, Frontier Corps, and police actions in air and ground operations against the banned Fitna al-Khawarij group; Balochistan Chief Minister Sarfraz Bugti described the wave of attacks as international conspiracies against Pakistan, and the government announced Rs 11 million in compensation for the family of each policeman killed [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/israel-gaza-ceasefire-70pct-jul10 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/israel-gaza-ceasefire-70pct-jul10 Wed, 15 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A new NPR analysis finds that Israel's military has expanded its territorial control within the Gaza Strip from roughly 50% at the time of the ceasefire to nearly 70% nine months later, as Israeli forces have pushed deeper into areas that were nominally covered by the truce, with Palestinians paying a deadly price in the expanded zones [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-drones-oil-facilities-jul9 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-drones-oil-facilities-jul9 Sat, 11 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukraine struck oil depots and refineries in at least three Russian regions and set two oil tankers ablaze in the Sea of Azov overnight July 8-9, with Zelenskyy calling the campaign his 'long-range sanctions' on Russia; CNBC reported NATO allies are examining a US$40 billion counter-drone investment plan in response to Ukraine's expanding deep-strike capability [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/myanmar-asean-reset-bangkok-jul12 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/myanmar-asean-reset-bangkok-jul12 Mon, 13 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT ASEAN foreign ministers will hold an informal meeting with Myanmar's junta-appointed Foreign Minister Tin Maung Swe in Bangkok on July 12, marking the first in-person ministerial contact since the February 2021 military coup; the Philippines, as 2026 ASEAN chair, will lead the session, as an estimated 16.2 million people inside Myanmar require humanitarian aid [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-gulf-strikes-jul9 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-gulf-strikes-jul9 Mon, 13 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The United States launched new airstrikes against Iran early Thursday, and Tehran responded by targeting Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar and Jordan, a crossfire that again threatened the June 2026 interim deal; the IRGC said it fired 10 missiles at Jordan's Al-Azraq military air base; NATO chief Mark Rutte called US attacks 'absolutely necessary' as Trump threatened a naval blockade and to 'take over' Kharg Island; both sides accused the other of violating the June memorandum of understanding [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-shadow-fleet-azov-jul9 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-shadow-fleet-azov-jul9 Sat, 11 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukraine's military says 35 vessels from Russia's sanctioned shadow fleet were struck in the Sea of Azov over 96 hours through July 9, including 14 ships in a single overnight wave; Ukraine also hit 45 military targets in occupied Crimea; Bloomberg reports Russian fuel shortages are worsening as the campaign intensifies [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/drc-eastern-congo-un-weapons-jul10 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/drc-eastern-congo-un-weapons-jul10 Sat, 11 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT UN High Commissioner for Human Rights Volker Türk on July 9 called on the Democratic Republic of Congo's armed forces, the M23 rebel movement and all other armed groups in eastern Congo to immediately stop using explosive weapons in populated areas, citing mounting civilian casualties in North and South Kivu [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-iran-strikes-jul8-second-wave https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-iran-strikes-jul8-second-wave Sat, 11 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT US Central Command launched additional airstrikes against Iran on July 8 to 'further degrade Iran's ability to threaten freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz'; military analysts described the new strikes as significantly stronger than the July 7 initial retaliation; Iran's IRGC escalated by targeting US Navy warships; the US reinstated oil sanctions [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-bahrain-kuwait-jul8 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-bahrain-kuwait-jul8 Sat, 11 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps launched a joint missile and drone operation on July 8 against US military sites at Bahrain's Bandar Salman base and Kuwait's Ali Al Salem Air Base, claiming 85 installations targeted; a Qatari LNG vessel, the Al-Rekayyat, was struck in the Strait of Hormuz, prompting Qatar to hold Iran legally responsible [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-mou-over-trump-jul8 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-mou-over-trump-jul8 Tue, 21 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT US President Donald Trump said at the NATO summit in Ankara on July 8 that the June 2026 memorandum to end the Iran war is 'over' and dealing with Tehran a 'waste of time'; Trump threatened to hit Iran 'very hard again tonight' and to target infrastructure; Iran responded by threatening a complete halt to nuclear talks [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-saratov-tatarstan-drone-0708 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-saratov-tatarstan-drone-0708 Thu, 09 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukrainian forces struck Russia's Saratov Oil Refinery, a petrochemical plant in Tatarstan, tankers in Taganrog Bay, and a military airfield in the Voronezh region overnight on July 8; Russian regional authorities said at least two people were killed; Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky confirmed the strikes [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/eu-west-bank-settlement-trade-ban-jul9 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/eu-west-bank-settlement-trade-ban-jul9 Sat, 11 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The European Commission circulated a confidential options paper before a July 13 EU foreign ministers' meeting setting out mechanisms to restrict EU imports of goods produced in Israeli settlements in the occupied West Bank, ranging from partial labelling requirements to a total trade ban; EU foreign ministers had requested the paper at a June meeting. [pending-decision] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-saf-kurmuk-jul8 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-saf-kurmuk-jul8 Sat, 11 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Sudan's Armed Forces and allied fighters retook Al-Kurmuk in Blue Nile State from the Rapid Support Forces on July 8-9, 2026, ending more than three months of RSF control; the town sits near the Ethiopian border and its recapture raises cross-border security concerns while potentially easing SAF supply-line pressure in the east [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/khamenei-burial-mashhad-jul9 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/khamenei-burial-mashhad-jul9 Sat, 11 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran interred assassinated Supreme Leader [[ali-khamenei]] in his birthplace of Mashhad on July 9 after week-long funeral processions through Tehran and Qom; crowds at the burial chanted slogans demanding revenge on US President Donald Trump for Khamenei's killing; CNN and others reported that many Iranians remained indifferent and notable public figures were absent. [transition] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nato-ankara-summit-outcome-jul8 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nato-ankara-summit-outcome-jul8 Mon, 13 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The 36th NATO summit in Ankara concluded July 8 with Europe and Canada committing €70 billion per year to Ukraine for 2026-2027, the US authorizing Ukraine to produce Patriot air-defense missiles, and the summit communique naming China's nuclear build-up alongside Russia as a structural security concern for the first time in NATO history [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-hormuz-ship-attack-jul7 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-hormuz-ship-attack-jul7 Sat, 11 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iranian forces hit three commercial vessels near the Strait of Hormuz on July 7, including Qatar's Al-Rekayyat tanker; the US launched retaliatory airstrikes; Iran then claimed strikes on 85 military sites in Bahrain and Kuwait; US President Trump declared the June MoU 'over' [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-diesel-ban-enacted-jul8 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-diesel-ban-enacted-jul8 Sat, 11 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Russia enacted a ban on diesel exports on July 8, 2026, after Ukrainian drone strikes on Saratov, Tatarstan and other facilities strained domestic fuel supply; at least two people were killed in the attacks and one tanker was hit in Taganrog Bay [disrupted] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/australia-pacific-pacts-solomon-fiji-jul2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/australia-pacific-pacts-solomon-fiji-jul2026 Thu, 09 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Canberra sealed a bilateral defence alliance with Fiji on July 6 and the next day agreed with Solomon Islands to accelerate treaty negotiations; both moves came within 24 hours of China's SLBM test in the South Pacific, which Australia and Solomon Islands both condemned [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-ukraine-retaliation-jul6 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-ukraine-retaliation-jul6 Thu, 09 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Russia's Defense Ministry said its armed forces hit military-industrial and energy facilities in Kyiv and surrounding areas; Ukrainian authorities reported eight dead and 48 injured in the Kyiv region [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-russia-joint-sea-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-russia-joint-sea-2026 Thu, 09 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The annual China-Russia naval exercise kicked off on July 6 at the Chinese port of Qingdao with warships and submarines from both fleets, timed to coincide with China's first submarine-launched ballistic missile test since 1982 and the NATO summit in Ankara [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-slbm-test-jul6-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-slbm-test-jul6-2026 Thu, 09 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Beijing's July 6, 2026 SLBM test in the South Pacific is the first publicly confirmed end-to-end sea-based nuclear launch; analysts identify the missile as likely the newer JL-3; China notified Japan in advance; the US, Australia, New Zealand, and Japan have all protested [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-coalition-paris-jul13 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-coalition-paris-jul13 Sat, 18 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT France announced a Coalition of the Willing summit in Paris on July 13 bringing together at least 25 heads of state, with Ukrainian President Zelensky and NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte confirmed as attendees; the coalition has grown to 37 nations and the Elysee said planning for post-ceasefire security guarantees is still underway [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/houthi-red-sea-cargo-attack-jul5 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/houthi-red-sea-cargo-attack-jul5 Thu, 09 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Armed attackers in a skiff traded gunfire with security guards aboard a bulk carrier off Houthi-controlled Hodeidah on July 5; UKMTO advised all ships to transit with caution as the attack ended a roughly three-month commercial shipping ceasefire [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/mojtaba-khamenei-absent-funeral-jul5 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/mojtaba-khamenei-absent-funeral-jul5 Thu, 09 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Mojtaba Khamenei has not appeared publicly since February 28; his three brothers prayed at the coffin in Tehran as Israeli threats and reported injuries kept him away from the largest state funeral in Iran's history [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/europe-freya-antimissile-jul13 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/europe-freya-antimissile-jul13 Wed, 15 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ten countries formed an Anti-Ballistic Missile Coalition on July 13, backing Ukraine's homegrown Freya interceptor, which its maker says can down Russian ballistic missiles for roughly US$700,000 per shot, less than a fifth the cost of a Patriot PAC-3 interceptor. [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-gulf-strikes-jul13 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-gulf-strikes-jul13 Wed, 15 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps launched missile and drone strikes on US military positions in Jordan, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Oman early on July 13, the third exchange of attacks between Iran and the US in one week; US President Trump announced he was reinstating what he called an 'Iranian blockade' and said the US would act as 'Guardian of Hormuz' with a 20% toll [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-ofac-colombian-mercenaries-jul4 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-ofac-colombian-mercenaries-jul4 Wed, 08 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT OFAC designated 8 individuals and entities on both the RSF and SAF procurement sides, including a Colombian retired officer and his wife running firms that sent former Colombian soldiers to Sudan as combatants and technical advisers [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pok-jaac-july5-protests-escalation https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pok-jaac-july5-protests-escalation Thu, 09 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Pakistani security forces opened fire on a Rawalakot crowd on July 4 as the Joint Awami Action Committee called a territory-wide shutdown for July 5; the movement has shifted from economic demands to explicit independence assertions, with JAAC appealing to India and the UK Kashmiri diaspora [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-uapa-pakistan-terror-jul4 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-uapa-pakistan-terror-jul4 Sun, 05 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT India's Ministry of Home Affairs gazette-notified 23 individuals linked to Jaish-e-Mohammed and Lashkar-e-Taiba on July 4; 17 are Pakistani nationals, 6 are Indian nationals operating from Pakistan-controlled territory [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/netanyahu-trump-white-house-post-ankara https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/netanyahu-trump-white-house-post-ankara Mon, 06 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT An Axios exclusive on July 4 reported Trump said the Israeli PM requested a US visit for as early as the following week; the two leaders agreed on a July 3 phone call; Lebanon operations, Iran nuclear talks and Gaza are on the agenda for their first meeting since Israel's war with Iran [pending-decision] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-st-petersburg-drone-jul4 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-st-petersburg-drone-jul4 Wed, 08 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT An overnight drone barrage hit the Vysotsk port oil terminal and Kronstadt naval facility, roughly 850 km from Ukraine's front lines; Russian governor confirmed a 'large-scale' attack and a major fire at the terminal [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/kashmir-million-march-london-jul2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/kashmir-million-march-london-jul2026 Tue, 07 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Thousands of Kashmiris living in the UK joined the London Kashmir Million March on July 5, marching from Parliament Square to Pakistan's High Commission to protest alleged human rights violations in Pakistan-occupied Jammu and Kashmir and demand the release of detained activists; Pakistan's AJK government responded by claiming state institutions have evidence of Indian funding behind the banned JAAC [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-gulf-expanded-strikes-jul12 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-gulf-expanded-strikes-jul12 Wed, 15 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran launched missile and drone attacks on Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Oman, Jordan and the UAE on July 12, expanding beyond the four states it struck earlier in the day, after the US carried out a third round of airstrikes against Iranian targets in retaliation for attacks on commercial shipping; Qatar's military intercepted incoming Iranian fire and three people were injured by shrapnel in Doha; the UAE said missiles fired at Gulf states did not enter its territory; the [[strait-of-hormuz]], formally closed by the [[irgc]] earlier the same day, was physically open to traffic but shipping was warned of a severe threat level [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/erdogan-sharif-istanbul-jul4-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/erdogan-sharif-istanbul-jul4-2026 Sun, 05 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Turkey's president and Pakistan's prime minister met at the Vahdettin Mansion on July 4, reaffirming strategic alignment on the Iran ceasefire, pledging a US$5 billion bilateral trade target and expanding defence and logistics cooperation [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-refinery-campaign-8of10-jul2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-refinery-campaign-8of10-jul2026 Mon, 13 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukraine's 40-day refinery campaign has now reached 8 of Russia's 10 largest processing plants; the Lukoil NORSI facility in Nizhny Novgorod, Russia's fourth-largest refinery and second-biggest domestic gasoline producer, halted operations on July 3 after a strike destroyed its primary crude distillation unit [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-ukraine-june-attrition https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-ukraine-june-attrition Sun, 05 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukraine's military claims Russia's June casualty rate of nearly 40,000, far above its monthly recruitment capacity, is unsustainable; the ISW calculates that at Russia's current pace it would take 14 years to fully capture Donetsk Oblast [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-kostiantynivka-dispute-jul2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-kostiantynivka-dispute-jul2026 Thu, 09 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Russia's General Staff told Putin on July 3 that its forces had taken the Donetsk fortress city; Ukraine's military denied the claim the next day, with Zelensky calling it 'another Russian lie' and geolocation showing troops from both sides interspersed inside the city [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-sbu-saky-strike-jul3 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-sbu-saky-strike-jul3 Sun, 05 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Drones hit hangars at Saky and Hvardiiske in occupied Crimea overnight July 3, damaging or destroying at least seven Su-30SM and Su-24 aircraft; Ukraine says the raid is part of Zelensky's 40-day campaign to degrade Russian air power [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-azov-drone-vessels-jul11 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-azov-drone-vessels-jul11 Mon, 13 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukraine's military claimed 21 oil tankers, four tugboats, two dry cargo vessels and one specialized vessel were struck by drones in the Sea of Azov overnight on July 10-11, recording 73 hits; Russia halted commercial navigation through the Kerch Strait and the Don-Azov Canal in response; Russian authorities separately confirmed four vessels hit in Taganrog Bay including a methanol tanker, with one sailor killed; Russia's air defenses claimed to have downed 178 Ukrainian drones overnight [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-kostyantynivka-jul3 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-kostyantynivka-jul3 Wed, 08 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Russian General Gerasimov reported the town's fall to President Putin on July 3; Ukraine has not confirmed the claim; Kostyantynivka sits between Kramatorsk and Sloviansk and is a key logistics node in northern Donetsk [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-iaf-pakistan-notam-jul2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-iaf-pakistan-notam-jul2026 Sat, 04 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT India filed a NOTAM closing airspace up to 28,000 feet along the Rajasthan-Gujarat frontier for four days of Indian Air Force exercises starting July 7; Pakistan's aircraft remain banned from Indian airspace until August 23, more than 14 months after the two countries' brief war [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-doha-talks-conclusion-jul2 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-doha-talks-conclusion-jul2 Thu, 09 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The largest US-Iran exchange since the January ceasefire erupted as Trump arrived at the NATO summit; Guardian Council begins succession proceedings today with Khamenei's burial in Mashhad; the July 11 Doha round is now the line between de-escalation and a new war [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nato-ankara-summit-jul2-preview https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nato-ankara-summit-jul2-preview Thu, 09 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The two-day Ankara summit ratified Europe's largest Ukraine commitment, introduced China formally into NATO's threat framework, and was interrupted by Iran striking three ships and the US hitting 80+ Iranian targets, the largest exchange since the January ceasefire [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/northern-nigeria-wfp-17m-hunger-jul2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/northern-nigeria-wfp-17m-hunger-jul2026 Wed, 08 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT WFP reported a 2-million increase in acutely food-insecure people across nine conflict-affected northern Nigerian states; Borno alone has 3 million in crisis, and WFP can reach fewer than 1 in 8 at-risk people [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-kyiv-mass-attack-jul2-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-kyiv-mass-attack-jul2-2026 Wed, 08 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT At least 22 killed, 90+ injured; record use of ballistic missiles against the capital, with Zelenskyy cutting short his Ireland visit and Poland scrambling jets [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/damascus-cafe-bomb-jul2 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/damascus-cafe-bomb-jul2 Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT An IED planted under a table in a lawyers' cafe on al-Nasr Street killed at least 9 and wounded 22 on July 2; no group has claimed responsibility but the attack came hours after Syria's first post-Assad parliament began to take shape [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/south-china-sea-coc-failure-jul2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/south-china-sea-coc-failure-jul2026 Sun, 05 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The Philippines, as 2026 ASEAN Chair, had targeted July for a completed CoC text, a promise three years in the making. Analysts and diplomats now uniformly say the deadline has been missed while China raised its flag on Sandy Cay and installed new barriers near Second Thomas Shoal. [stalemate] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/drc-unsc-minerals-presidency-jul2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/drc-unsc-minerals-presidency-jul2026 Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Kinshasa assumed the rotating UNSC presidency on July 1 and plans to use it to press for a first-of-its-kind binding resolution establishing global standards for mineral resource governance, directly targeting Rwanda's alleged plunder of eastern Congo's cobalt, coltan and gold [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-saf-kulbus-jul1 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-saf-kulbus-jul1 Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Joint Forces declared full control of Kulbus on July 1 after decisive battles against the RSF; the border town sits roughly between Al-Tina and RSF-held El-Geneina, and Dabanga reports large RSF reinforcements already massing from El-Geneina toward the newly taken ground [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-rsf-el-fasher-amnesty-jul2 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-rsf-el-fasher-amnesty-jul2 Sun, 05 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A new report based on 247 testimonies documents murder, rape, sexual slavery and the deliberate targeting of Zaghawa communities as the RSF has besieged North Darfur's last major city outside its control [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/gulf-sunni-quintet-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/gulf-sunni-quintet-2026 Fri, 07 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT A new Sunni alignment is forming around Riyadh, one that excludes Abu Dhabi, positions Saudi Arabia as the Arab world's pivotal state post-Iran war, and places Pakistan's nuclear capability inside a coherent geopolitical coalition for the first time [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-pakistan-prisoner-exchange-jul2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-pakistan-prisoner-exchange-jul2026 Sat, 04 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Pakistan handed over 250 Indian prisoners, India provided 439 Pakistani or believed-to-be-Pakistani detainees on July 1, fulfilling the biannual Consular Access Agreement obligation; the exchange is the first normal bilateral procedure since the four-day aerial conflict in May 2026 [easing] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ccp-105th-anniversary-jul1-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ccp-105th-anniversary-jul1-2026 Tue, 07 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A Great Hall of the People ceremony on July 1 marked 105 years since the party's founding; Xi delivered an address framing China's current moment as one requiring discipline under external pressure, with the authorized vocabulary likely to shape official posture through the next policy cycle [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nordstream-germany-charges-kuznietsov https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nordstream-germany-charges-kuznietsov Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT First formal charge in the September 2022 case; Kuznietsov, a former Ukrainian special forces officer, is accused of coordinating the Andromeda operation; Ukraine denies state involvement [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/trump-pre-nato-calls-jul5 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/trump-pre-nato-calls-jul5 Thu, 09 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The alliance's 32 members convened in Ankara on July 7 after Trump held separate calls with Putin and Zelenskyy on July 5; South Korea's President Lee also attended; NATO Secretary-General Rutte urged members not to be 'naive' about China's military build-up [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ajk-election-jul27-pti-boycott https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ajk-election-jul27-pti-boycott Mon, 06 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf announced on July 2 it will not contest the July 27 Azad Jammu and Kashmir legislative elections, citing a June 7 Supreme Court ruling that bars the AJK assembly from abolishing constitutionally protected seats for Pakistani-resident Kashmiri refugees; JKJAAC protests left 11 dead [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nigeria-borno-school-abduction-jul1 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nigeria-borno-school-abduction-jul1 Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Fighters arrived on motorcycles during NECO exams on June 29, shot dead a teacher, and took approximately 50 people; the Army rescued 10; this is the third mass school abduction in northeast Nigeria since May [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/poland-ukraine-mig29-drone-jun30 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/poland-ukraine-mig29-drone-jun30 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Defence Minister Kosiniak-Kamysz said six to eight written-off Polish MiG-29s will not be sent after Ukraine declined to grant access to its unmanned combat systems and counterdrone expertise, collapsing a deal agreed in principle last year [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-nato-rail-closure-jul1 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-nato-rail-closure-jul1 Wed, 08 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT PM Mishustin signed an order June 30 closing seven border rail checkpoints with three NATO members effective July 1, days before the NATO summit in Ankara; no reason was given and the Foreign Ministry was instructed to notify all three governments [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-dubna-satcom-strike-jun30 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-dubna-satcom-strike-jun30 Thu, 02 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Zelenskyy said Ukrainian drones hit the Dubna communications hub, 310 miles inside Russia, used to coordinate forces on the front line, in the third strike on a Russian SATCOM facility and the second in a week; a six-month-old baby died after a drone struck a house in Yegoryevsk [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/btselem-west-bank-children-jun29 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/btselem-west-bank-children-jun29 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Israeli human rights group B'Tselem published 'Unshielded Childhood' on June 29, documenting that Israeli forces killed 54 Palestinian children and teenagers in the West Bank in 2025 alone, with nearly one in four of all Palestinians killed since October 2023 being minors; the group says an expanded open-fire policy is driving the toll and no one has been indicted [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/shehbaz-iran-turkey-mediation-jul2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/shehbaz-iran-turkey-mediation-jul2026 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Pakistan's PM will press Iran and Turkey on implementing the June 17 Islamabad MoU framework; Islamabad brokered the April talks where the first direct US-Iran engagement occurred and maintains a dedicated contact channel between Washington and Tehran [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/belfast-riots-active-clubs-jun29 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/belfast-riots-active-clubs-jun29 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Riots from June 9-16 in Northern Ireland, triggered by the stabbing of Stephen Ogilvie by a Sudanese asylum seeker, left hundreds homeless as mobs burned homes and circulated address lists online; NPR reported June 29 that the Ulster Youth Club, part of a global far-right 'Active Clubs' network, advised and organised the masked attackers. [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/khamenei-funeral-july2026-diplomacy https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/khamenei-funeral-july2026-diplomacy Mon, 06 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT India confirmed on June 29 that Bihar Governor Lt Gen Syed Ata Hasnain and Minister of State for External Affairs Pabitra Margherita will represent New Delhi at the state funeral of assassinated Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, scheduled across Tehran, Qom, Mashhad and Iraq from July 4-9; Pakistan PM Sharif and delegations from Russia, China and several Central Asian states are expected to attend. [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/cooper-beirut-lebanon-israel-deal-jun29 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/cooper-beirut-lebanon-israel-deal-jun29 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Adm. Brad Cooper met Lebanese President Joseph Aoun and army chief Gen. Rodolphe Haykal on June 29 to set the sequencing for Israeli withdrawal from two southern 'pilot' zones; Hezbollah's leader the same day called the US-brokered framework 'null and void' [de-escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/burkina-faso-france-expulsion-jun29 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/burkina-faso-france-expulsion-jun29 Tue, 07 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Three days after the junta formally severed diplomatic relations with Paris, Captain Ibrahim Traore's government issued a seven-day ultimatum demanding French embassy closure, the most complete rupture between the two countries since independence in 1960 [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-japan-dual-use-blacklist-jun29 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-japan-dual-use-blacklist-jun29 Mon, 29 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Beijing's MOFCOM Notice 2026 No. 28 adds Japan's National Institute for Defense Studies, Mitsubishi Precision, and 18 others to an outright export ban, while 20 more, including Terra Drone and Mitsui E&S, go to a mandatory risk-assessment watchlist, in direct retaliation for PM Takaichi's Taiwan military comments [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/monaco-bombing-ermolaev-jun29 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/monaco-bombing-ermolaev-jun29 Wed, 08 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A backpack bomb packed with buckshot and bolts detonated outside a residential building on Rue Révérend Père Louis Frolla on June 29, seriously wounding Ukrainian billionaire Vadim Ermolaev and two family members; surveillance footage shows a suspect crossing on foot into Beausoleil minutes later [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/myanmar-junta-reshuffle-jun30 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/myanmar-junta-reshuffle-jun30 Wed, 08 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Senior General Min Aung Hlaing reshuffled the cabinet on June 30, removing a former NLD lawmaker from her ministerial post and swapping key security portfolios, as the regime projects momentum toward its planned December 2026 elections amid ongoing civil war [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/smotrich-gaza-settlements-jun29 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/smotrich-gaza-settlements-jun29 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich announced June 29 that the Defense Ministry Settlement Administration has completed groundwork for three settlements in northern Gaza and called on Netanyahu to authorize them immediately; he also called for Israel to 'complete the conquest of all of Gaza,' with Israel controlling roughly 70 percent of the territory [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/libya-sumud-activists-released-jun29 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/libya-sumud-activists-released-jun29 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The eastern Libyan government freed the remaining six activists from the Global Sumud Land Caravan on June 29, following four released on June 24; the ten nationals from eight countries were arrested on May 24 by forces aligned with Khalifa Haftar's LAAF as they sought to negotiate passage through Sirte on a land route to deliver humanitarian aid to Gaza [resolved] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/south-sudan-duk-convoy-ambush-jun29 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/south-sudan-duk-convoy-ambush-jun29 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Armed men ambushed a John Dau Foundation convoy returning from a WFP and Action Against Hunger training at around 2 p.m. on the Payuel-Pajut road, in one of the deadliest single attacks on aid workers in South Sudan this year [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/philippines-wps-surge-jun29 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/philippines-wps-surge-jun29 Wed, 08 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The Armed Forces of the Philippines recorded 44 Chinese seacraft across four contested features during June 23-29, up from 17 the prior week, as the Philippines defence secretary publicly dismissed China's anniversary remarks on the 2016 Permanent Court of Arbitration award as duplicitous [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-paveh-shooting-jun30 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-paveh-shooting-jun30 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Gunmen killed Khalid Khalidi and Borhan Khorisani outside their home in Paveh, Kermanshah province, on Monday evening; Xore Heva, meaning Sun of Hope, said it struck to avenge state repression that followed Mahsa Amini's 2022 death in custody [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-cyberattacks-israel-surge-jun29 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-cyberattacks-israel-surge-jun29 Mon, 29 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Israel's National Cyber Directorate chief Yossi Karadi told Die Welt on June 29 that hostile cyber incidents rose from 1,600 in June 2025 to 4,800 in June 2026, targeting critical infrastructure, mid-sized firms, and the public; there is 'no ceasefire in cyberspace' [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/uae-lebanon-travel-ban-lifted-jun29 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/uae-lebanon-travel-ban-lifted-jun29 Thu, 09 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The UAE Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced June 29 that Emirati citizens may travel to Lebanon, ending a ban imposed April 30 amid the Iran war; the ban on Iran remains, and Tawajudi registration is mandatory for all Lebanese-bound travelers [de-escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/tehran-dubai-flights-resume-jun29 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/tehran-dubai-flights-resume-jun29 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Flight IS 7352 touched down at Dubai International's Terminal 2 at 13:18 local time on Monday, opening a route that had been severed since hostilities began; UAE carriers have not yet returned, and full bilateral service is expected to resume July 1 [open] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/japan-china-yonaguni-protest-jun29 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/japan-china-yonaguni-protest-jun29 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Tokyo's chief cabinet secretary formally protested China's coast guard patrols 110 km from Taiwan's coast, days after Japan scrambled jets for Chinese-Russian bomber flights; Beijing insists the waters are within its continental shelf rights [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-rsf-libya-uae-network-jun29 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-rsf-libya-uae-network-jun29 Thu, 02 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Lighthouse Reports, Der Spiegel, Evident, and Sudan War Monitor identified four RSF military bases in eastern Libya, at Seweidiya near al-Kufra, Sabha, al-Jufra, and Camp 17 outside Benghazi, despite prior RSF denials; eight defectors described the network and an RSF spokesman confirmed 'The Emirates gave it to us' [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-vanuatu-australia-reaction-jun30 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-vanuatu-australia-reaction-jun30 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Beijing's Foreign Ministry warned Canberra that Pacific cooperation must not target third parties, after the Nakamal Agreement locked in Vanuatu's ban on foreign military bases and required Suva to consult Canberra on critical infrastructure deals [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-oman-hormuz-committee-jun29 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-oman-hormuz-committee-jun29 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Deputy FM Gharibabadi and Oman's Abdulaziz Al-Hinai held the inaugural session of the bilateral governance body, exchanging views on coastal-state sovereign rights and the strait's future management, separate from the concurrent US-Iran Doha track [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/aes-confederation-parliament-jun30 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/aes-confederation-parliament-jun30 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The national assembly presidents of Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger met on June 29 to advance the legislative architecture of the Alliance of Sahel States confederation, adopting a joint motion of support for Burkina Faso against a European Parliament human rights resolution [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-us-doha-talks-jun29 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-us-doha-talks-jun29 Wed, 08 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT After two days of exchanges in which IRGC drones struck four US Gulf bases and Washington hit Iranian coastal radar and missile sites, both sides stopped firing Monday morning; Trump said Iran 'requested talks'; Iran's Deputy FM Gharibabadi said Doha talks were 'not confirmed' [de-escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/poland-abw-russia-hybrid-jun29 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/poland-abw-russia-hybrid-jun29 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT ABW and border guards detained nine Ukrainians and two Belarusians in five Polish cities and expelled all 11 within hours; since autumn 2025, Russian money had funded a network that recruited refugees to attend anti-Zelensky demonstrations [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/israel-armenian-genocide-recognition-jun28 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/israel-armenian-genocide-recognition-jun28 Mon, 29 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Foreign Minister Gideon Sa'ar won unanimous Cabinet approval on Sunday for a proposal he called a 'moral and historical duty'; the measure goes to the Knesset for a final vote, while Turkey's foreign ministry called it a cover for Israel's own alleged crimes in Gaza [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/mali-hrw-abuses-jun28 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/mali-hrw-abuses-jun28 Mon, 29 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT A report based on 34 interviews documents JNIM and Tuareg-FLA attacks on civilians across Mopti, Gao and Kidal; retaliatory killings of Fulani communities by Malian army and Russian Africa Corps fighters; and two apparent airstrikes on civilians; Mali's ICC withdrawal and junta censorship mean impunity is near-total [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/putin-rejects-ukraine-strike-limits-jun29 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/putin-rejects-ukraine-strike-limits-jun29 Mon, 29 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT In an interview aired Sunday on Russian state television, Putin said Ukraine had proposed a mutual suspension of deep strikes and dismissed it, calling Russian long-range strikes 'more destructive' and 'catastrophic' for Kyiv's depleted forces [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/idf-majdal-zoun-drone-fortress-jun28 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/idf-majdal-zoun-drone-fortress-jun28 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Operation Closing Verse destroyed a 200-metre, 25-metre-deep tunnel beneath Majdal Zoun village packed with hundreds of weapons and four launch shafts aimed at Israel; Hezbollah called it a ceasefire violation, the US had been notified in advance [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hezbollah-rejects-lebanon-framework-jun27 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hezbollah-rejects-lebanon-framework-jun27 Mon, 29 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Naim Qassem called the US-brokered Trilateral Framework 'humiliating, shameful and a surrender of sovereignty,' Hezbollah supporters blocked Beirut's airport road, and Israeli drone strikes killed one person in south Lebanon on June 28, two days after Lebanon and Israel signed the deal. [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/tigray-tplf-eu-conscription-jun28 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/tigray-tplf-eu-conscription-jun28 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The EU Delegation to Ethiopia warned on June 28 that the TPLF's door-to-door military roundups and new parallel government breach the 2022 Pretoria peace deal; the TPLF denies compulsory recruitment [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-russia-joint-bomber-patrol-jun27 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-russia-joint-bomber-patrol-jun27 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A 15-aircraft formation including Tu-95MS and H-6 bombers, with tankers, AWACS and electronic-warfare jets, flew a six-hour circuit on June 27; Japan and South Korea scrambled fighters and lodged formal protests, South Korea summoning both embassies. [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-war-inflation-jun27 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-war-inflation-jun27 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran's Statistical Center released June data on June 27 showing households paid 88.6% more than a year ago for the same goods, with rural inflation above 108% and food prices up 134.6%, as the conflict with the US and Israel compounds pre-existing sanctions pressure. [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-ukraine-attack-jun29 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-ukraine-attack-jun29 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Overnight strikes on June 29 hit a private business in Dnipro killing five and a passenger minibus in Zaporizhzhia killing three; power cut to eight Ukrainian regions as Russia intensifies summer bombardment [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-ghazab-lil-haq-karachi-jun29 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-ghazab-lil-haq-karachi-jun29 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Under Operation Ghazab Lil Haq, Pakistani forces hit camps in Paktia, Paktika and Kunar overnight June 28-29, killing 29 militants by Islamabad's count; Afghan officials report 36 civilians dead and 160 wounded, including women and children [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-bahrain-kuwait-strikes-jun28 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-bahrain-kuwait-strikes-jun28 Thu, 02 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran's IRGC launched coordinated strikes on the Ali Al Salem air base in Kuwait and the US Fifth Fleet facilities in Bahrain early June 28 in retaliation for US attacks on five Iranian coastal sites; Tehran threatened to halt all diplomatic processes if Washington keeps striking [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/japan-korea-defense-koizumi-seoul-jun28 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/japan-korea-defense-koizumi-seoul-jun28 Fri, 10 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Shinjiro Koizumi and Ahn Gyu-back agreed on AI and advanced-defense cooperation, confirmed the first bilateral maritime search-and-rescue exercise since 2017, and pledged closer trilateral coordination with the US [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/israel-hezbollah-framework-strikes-jun27 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/israel-hezbollah-framework-strikes-jun27 Mon, 29 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT An overnight Hezbollah assault killed one IDF soldier and wounded 13; Israel struck Nabatieh in response, with Lebanon reporting three civilians killed and the Lebanese army accusing Israel of obstructing the stability the framework was meant to enable [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-mou-violation-jun27 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-mou-violation-jun27 Mon, 29 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran's Foreign Ministry called June 26 US strikes on coastal radar and missile sites a breach of the June 17 Islamabad memorandum; the IRGC denied any deconfliction channel exists; Qatar confirmed Al Udeid was hit, making it the fourth Gulf base struck in the June 27 response [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-kyiv-570-strike-jul2 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-kyiv-570-strike-jul2 Sat, 04 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT 74 missiles and 496 drones in an 11-hour overnight attack; 25 killed as the death toll climbed through rescue operations; Ukraine retaliated on Russia's 4th-largest oil refinery while Fedorov wrote to 40 countries for Patriot interceptors [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/idf-hazutt-deir-siryan-jun28 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/idf-hazutt-deir-siryan-jun28 Mon, 29 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT A 21-year-old Golani Brigade platoon commander was shot dead by a Hezbollah operative in south Lebanon Sunday, the first Israeli death since the June 26 trilateral deal; the IDF located and killed the gunman in a nearby structure before dawn Monday [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-slavyansk-yaroslavl-refinery-jun28 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-slavyansk-yaroslavl-refinery-jun28 Sun, 28 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Long-range Ukrainian drones set the Slavyansk ECO refinery in Krasnodar ablaze and hit a second facility in Yaroslavl Oblast on the night of June 27-28, the same day Putin publicly acknowledged Russia's 'difficult period' on fuel supply. [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-saf-blue-nile-jun26 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-saf-blue-nile-jun26 Sat, 27 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Sudanese Armed Forces took Malken on June 26 in a push along the Blue Nile, opening a new axis against RSF and allied SPLM-N forces as fighting in North Kordofan and Darfur continues [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/witkoff-kushner-doha-iran-jul1 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/witkoff-kushner-doha-iran-jul1 Thu, 09 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT US special envoys traveled to Qatar on July 1 to advance the June 17 Islamabad MoU with Qatari PM Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman; Trump had claimed a July 1 US-Iran meeting, Iran denied it, and Qatar confirmed no direct session was planned [de-escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-bahrain-drones-jun27 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-bahrain-drones-jun27 Mon, 29 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Hours after Washington's June 26 retaliation strikes on Iran's missile and radar sites, the IRGC targeted the 5th Fleet base in Manama and a tanker transiting the Strait of Hormuz, pushing the US-Iran MoU to the edge of collapse [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/israel-lebanon-framework-deal-jun26 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/israel-lebanon-framework-deal-jun26 Sat, 27 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ambassadors Leiter and Hamadeh signed the Trilateral Framework at the State Department on June 26, launching two IDF withdrawal pilot zones and a Military Coordination Group; Hezbollah was not a party and threatened civil war over implementation [de-escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/taiwan-coercion-tabletop-jun26 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/taiwan-coercion-tabletop-jun26 Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The drill tests civilian-military coordination under a sustained coast guard blockade, held three weeks after PRC vessels interfered with Taiwanese commercial shipping east of the island [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/lukashenko-putin-valdai-belarus-war-pressure https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/lukashenko-putin-valdai-belarus-war-pressure Sun, 28 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT An unannounced meeting on Russian-Belarusian relations and 'regional security', after Kyiv forced Minsk to switch off Russian drone-guidance repeaters [stalemate] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-660-drone-barrage-jun26 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-660-drone-barrage-jun26 Mon, 29 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Russia's defence ministry reported 660 Ukrainian drones intercepted across 13-plus regions, the largest single overnight barrage of the war; the Azot chemical plant in Novomoskovsk was struck; Crimea faces renewed fuel shortages [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-mass-attack-ukraine-jun26 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-mass-attack-ukraine-jun26 Sat, 27 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Intelligence warnings of a major strike were confirmed in the pre-dawn hours of June 26 as Russia hit Kyiv and multiple oblasts; 24 civilians killed across Dnipro and Kyiv, including strikes on cultural landmarks and residential buildings [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-kyiv-ballistic-jun25 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-kyiv-ballistic-jun25 Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Mayor Klitschko confirms two civilians injured as air defence activates across the capital; warehouse blaze in eastern Kyiv [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-imo-evacuation-pause-jun25 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-imo-evacuation-pause-jun25 Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The International Maritime Organization halted plans to evacuate 11,000 stranded sailors from the Strait of Hormuz after the M/V Ever Lovely was hit while following the IMO's southern route; Iran explicitly declared the corridor unauthorized and warned it would target non-compliant ships [disrupted] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/typhoon-gardo-philippines-jun25 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/typhoon-gardo-philippines-jun25 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The Philippines faced back-to-back systems in an unusually active southwest monsoon period, with Francisco exiting June 25 and Gardo entering the same evening bringing fresh rain warnings for Manila's coast [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-fuel-kazakhstan-gasoline-jun25 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-fuel-kazakhstan-gasoline-jun25 Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Moscow's Kapotnya plant is offline until year-end; 17-plus regions face sales caps; Astana says no official request has arrived [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/france-italy-post-unifil-coalition https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/france-italy-post-unifil-coalition Sat, 27 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT At their Antibes bilateral summit, Macron and Meloni announced plans to build a European-led force to take over from UNIFIL when its UN mandate expires December 31; President Aoun called it a sincere commitment to Lebanese sovereignty [de-escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/gaza-june26-revolution-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/gaza-june26-revolution-2026 Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Egypt-based activist Abdul Hamid Abdul Ati called for a 4 PM rally across more than a dozen Gaza locations on June 26; Hamas placed security on high alert and mosque preachers urged non-attendance [developing] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-flamingo-titan-barrikady-jun27 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-flamingo-titan-barrikady-jun27 Mon, 29 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Zelensky confirmed at least five Ukrainian-made cruise missiles hit the plant that produces Iskander-M, Yars and Topol-M launchers; fire erupted, 10 workers injured [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/drc-rwanda-icj-case-jun26 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/drc-rwanda-icj-case-jun26 Mon, 29 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Kinshasa's application, the third attempt in 25 years, accuses Kigali of genocide, torture and sexual violence from 1996 to the present; Rwanda dismisses evidence of M23 support [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/venezuela-la-guaira-port-operational-jun30 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/venezuela-la-guaira-port-operational-jun30 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT US Southern Command declared Venezuela's main port open on June 30, six days after twin Mw 7.2 and 7.5 quakes; the USS Fort Lauderdale is now using the berths to deliver heavy supplies, removing the bottleneck that had confined all aid to the damaged Simón Bolívar airport [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/polish-striker-drone-kyiv-test https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/polish-striker-drone-kyiv-test Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The 140kg-warhead system passed a live test, expanding Ukraine's drone arsenal beyond domestically produced designs [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-crimea-overnight-drone-jun25 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-crimea-overnight-drone-jun25 Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Explosions sounded across the peninsula before dawn on June 25; Russian air defense activated over multiple sites [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-taiwan-blockade-rehearsal-jun25 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-taiwan-blockade-rehearsal-jun25 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT PLA maneuvers around Taiwan ended with a carrier strike group transit and coast-guard challenges on multiple approaches, which US analysts say match the template for a maritime quarantine [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/counterspace-asat-arms-race-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/counterspace-asat-arms-race-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT 35+ states pledge no destructive ASAT tests; US fields satellite jammers; Russia's nuclear-ASAT concern persists [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/eu-ukraine-support-loan-jun25 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/eu-ukraine-support-loan-jun25 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The European Commission began drawing down its two-year, 90-billion-euro loan to Kyiv on June 25, with a separate first instalment of a six-billion-euro drone-procurement package to follow within days [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/irgc-oman-hormuz-route-rejection-2026-06-25 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/irgc-oman-hormuz-route-rejection-2026-06-25 Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT A day after Oman and the IMO opened a fee-free transit route, Iran's Guards call it 'unacceptable' and demand mandatory coordination on Channel 16 [disrupted] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/israel-bedouin-naqab-demolitions-jun25 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/israel-bedouin-naqab-demolitions-jun25 Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Roughly 200 people were made homeless in the Tel Arad demolition on June 25; around 1,000 Bedouin citizens marched in Beersheba as Ben Gvir's ministry raised its demolition rate from 12 structures per month in 2024 to more than 40 in 2026 [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/israel-lebanon-rubio-intent-jun25 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/israel-lebanon-rubio-intent-jun25 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Washington ends three days of direct Israel-Lebanon talks with US optimism that Israeli and Lebanese officials contradict; a drone strike kills two near Nabatieh [de-escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/krasnodar-poltavskaya-depot-strike-2026-06-25 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/krasnodar-poltavskaya-depot-strike-2026-06-25 Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Three fuel tanks ablaze near occupied Crimea as Kyiv presses its campaign on Russia's refining and logistics, deepening a domestic diesel crunch [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/netanyahu-idf-stays-lebanon-syria-jun25 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/netanyahu-idf-stays-lebanon-syria-jun25 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The Israeli PM told combat officers that Israeli forces will remain in all three theatres "as long as required," a statement that undercut US-mediated Lebanon-ceasefire talks the same day [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/north-korea-mlrs-test-jun25 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/north-korea-mlrs-test-jun25 Sat, 27 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT North Korea announced tests of four upgraded weapons on June 25, the 76th anniversary of the 1950 war's outbreak: a 90km-range multiple rocket launcher with autonomous guidance, special warheads to destroy South Korean power grids and airports, extended-range howitzer shells, and tactical cruise missiles [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/oil-hormuz-recovery-slide-2026-06-25 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/oil-hormuz-recovery-slide-2026-06-25 Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Crude had fallen 40% from its wartime peak by June 25, then a projectile hit an Evergreen container ship in Hormuz and war-risk premiums snapped back [disrupted] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/rubio-gcc-bahrain-jun25 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/rubio-gcc-bahrain-jun25 Sat, 27 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The three-day mission to UAE, Kuwait and Bahrain surfaced a private fear: that Washington's rapprochement with Tehran could normalise a rival the Gulf has spent decades containing [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-schools-military-training-jun25 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-schools-military-training-jun25 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT A decree signed this week raises basic military instruction from roughly a quarter of school hours to half, the most extensive militarisation of Russian civilian education since the Soviet era [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-rsf-banknotes-jun25 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-rsf-banknotes-jun25 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Newly manufactured banknotes bearing a pre-war central bank governor's signature have appeared in Darfur, weeks after the RSF's parallel Tasis authority appointed its own central bank head [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/tianwen3-mars-sample-return-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/tianwen3-mars-sample-return-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT With US funding cut in January, China could be first to return Martian samples, by 2031 [transition] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/trump-rutte-nato-iran-jun25 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/trump-rutte-nato-iran-jun25 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT In a White House meeting on June 25, Trump publicly blamed NATO allies for not joining the Iran war; Secretary General Rutte defended members by noting Europe hosted 4,000-5,000 US aircraft [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-sbu-40day-pressure-jun25 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-sbu-40day-pressure-jun25 Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukraine's Security Service launches a classified influence and covert-action operation, running alongside military strikes, as Kyiv intensifies multi-domain pressure on Moscow [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-orenburg-gas-strike-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-orenburg-gas-strike-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukraine's General Staff says overnight strikes set the Orenburg Gas Processing Complex ablaze and hit two satellite communications centres; the facility produces helium for Russian missiles and ethane for rocket propellants [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/abdel-fattah-el-sisi-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/abdel-fattah-el-sisi-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Egypt's president since 2014, el-Sisi governs the Arab world's most populous state through military-rooted authoritarianism, Suez Canal leverage, and consecutive IMF-backed austerity programs. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ali-khamenei-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ali-khamenei-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran's second Supreme Leader from 1989 to 2026, Khamenei commanded the IRGC, Iran's nuclear program, and regional proxy networks until his death in US-Israeli airstrikes on 28 February 2026. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/armenia-azerbaijan-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/armenia-azerbaijan-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A 35-year dispute over Nagorno-Karabakh that ended in Azerbaijan's 2023 military takeover, now in a stalled US-brokered peace process as of mid-2026. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/bab-el-mandeb-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/bab-el-mandeb-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The 29-kilometre chokepoint between Yemen and Djibouti carrying 12% of global maritime trade, where Houthi attacks since 2023 halved oil transit and redrawn Asia-Europe shipping routes. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/basing-rights-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/basing-rights-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Bilateral agreements that grant foreign forces the right to base, transit, or pre-position on another state's territory, now central to US-China competition across the Indo-Pacific. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/benjamin-netanyahu-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/benjamin-netanyahu-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Israel's longest-serving Prime Minister, Netanyahu leads a wartime coalition while facing a domestic corruption trial and an ICC arrest warrant issued November 2024. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/bilateral-defence-pacts-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/bilateral-defence-pacts-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Formal government-to-government security treaties that complement or bypass NATO, now numbering 160-plus among European states after Russia's 2022 invasion accelerated their pace. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/cameroon-ambazonia-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/cameroon-ambazonia-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Armed insurgency in Cameroon's English-speaking Northwest and Southwest, where separatists seeking independent Ambazonia have fought the Yaoundé government since 2017, killing more than 6,500. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/car-conflict-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/car-conflict-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The Central African Republic has been at war since 2013, with Russian-backed forces, UN peacekeepers, and rebel coalitions competing for control of a landlocked, mineral-rich state. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/colombia-conflict-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/colombia-conflict-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Six decades of guerrilla war, dissident FARC factions, and ELN insurgency make Colombia's security crisis the Western Hemisphere's longest active armed conflict. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/conscription-manpower-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/conscription-manpower-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT State-compelled military service, reinvigorated by Russia's invasion of Ukraine since 2022, is expanding across ten EU states and Taiwan, reshaping NATO force-generation and global defence budgets. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/csto-bloc-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/csto-bloc-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Russia-led post-Soviet military alliance of six states formed in 2002 and headquartered in Moscow, losing coherence as Armenia defects and Russia's Ukraine war strains collective commitments. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/cyprus-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/cyprus-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Cyprus is an EU member partitioned since 1974, with Turkey occupying its north, gas fields in its waters disputed, and UN reunification talks at a 2026 deadline. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/disputes-conflicts-active-wars-backgrounder https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/disputes-conflicts-active-wars-backgrounder Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Eight simultaneous large-scale wars across Ukraine, the Middle East, Africa, and Southeast Asia are driving displacement, energy shocks, and geopolitical realignment. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/disputes-conflicts-ceasefires-peace-backgrounder https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/disputes-conflicts-ceasefires-peace-backgrounder Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT From Lebanon to the DRC, formal agreements to stop fighting are hard to reach, easy to break, and rarely sufficient to end a war. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/disputes-conflicts-coups-collapse-backgrounder https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/disputes-conflicts-coups-collapse-backgrounder Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Military takeovers and institutional collapse remove governments outside elections, generating the armed vacuums this beat tracks across Africa, the Middle East, and beyond. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/disputes-conflicts-proxy-dynamics-backgrounder https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/disputes-conflicts-proxy-dynamics-backgrounder Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT External powers arm non-state forces and allied belligerents across every major active conflict, shaping outcomes while evading accountability through denial, intermediaries, and embargo violations. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/disputes-conflicts-standoffs-backgrounder https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/disputes-conflicts-standoffs-backgrounder Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Eight disputes, from the Taiwan Strait to Serbia-Kosovo, where formal hostilities ended but peace did not, generating the world's most acute escalation risks. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/drc-conflict-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/drc-conflict-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Eastern Democratic Republic of Congo's three-decade insurgency, now centered on Rwanda-backed M23 rebels holding North and South Kivu, is Africa's largest displacement crisis. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/egypt-ethiopia-gerd-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/egypt-ethiopia-gerd-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The Egypt-Ethiopia-Sudan dispute over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam has no binding operating rules, and Egypt, with 105 million people, sources 97% of its water from the Nile. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/enrichment-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/enrichment-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The process that raises uranium's fissile U-235 concentration for reactor fuel or weapons, a dual-use chokepoint central to the Iran nuclear standoff and Russia-West fuel decoupling. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ethiopia-conflict-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ethiopia-conflict-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ethiopia faces three simultaneous insurgencies, Fano in Amhara, the OLA in Oromia, and the TPLF standoff in Tigray, while edging toward interstate war with Eritrea. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ferdinand-marcos-jr-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ferdinand-marcos-jr-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The Philippines' 17th president since June 2022, Marcos navigates US-China rivalry over the West Philippine Sea while managing a collapsing domestic coalition and a vice-presidential impeachment. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/force-readiness-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/force-readiness-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The measure of armed forces' ability to execute assigned missions, a gap between US and European defence budgets and deployable capability reshaping NATO policy and straining frontline forces. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/fpv-drones-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/fpv-drones-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT First-person-view kamikaze drones costing under US$1,000 each have become the dominant close-range weapon of Russia's war in Ukraine and are now proliferating globally. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/gaza-war-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/gaza-war-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Israel's war in Gaza against Hamas, ignited by the October 7, 2023 attacks, has killed over 71,000 Palestinians and triggered genocide proceedings at the International Court of Justice. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/gps-jamming-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/gps-jamming-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT GPS jamming blinds navigation receivers while spoofing fakes their position; deployed by Russia, Iran, North Korea, and India, the attacks now threaten global aviation, shipping, and weapons guidance. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/greece-turkey-aegean-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/greece-turkey-aegean-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A five-layered dispute between two NATO allies over Aegean territorial waters, airspace, the continental shelf, island militarization, and flight-information authority, frozen since 1995 and flaring again in 2026. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/grey-zone-drills-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/grey-zone-drills-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Military and paramilitary exercises designed to coerce adversaries below the threshold of open war, most extensively practiced by China against Taiwan, Japan, and the South China Sea. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/guyana-venezuela-essequibo-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/guyana-venezuela-essequibo-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A 159,500 sq km territory comprising two-thirds of Guyana's landmass, claimed by Venezuela since 1962, currently before the International Court of Justice. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/haiti-gangs-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/haiti-gangs-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A coalition of armed gangs controls most of Haiti's capital and has expanded into three departments, displacing 1.4 million Haitians and collapsing state authority since 2024. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/himalayan-airfields-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/himalayan-airfields-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT China and India have built competing high-altitude military airfield networks across the Himalayas and Tibetan Plateau, the air-infrastructure backbone for potential conflict over their unresolved border. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-china-border-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-china-border-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The 3,488-km disputed frontier between India and China, undemarcated since 1962, that shapes South Asian security, Indo-Pacific alignment, and the military posture of the world's two most populous nations. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-pakistan-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-pakistan-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT India and Pakistan, the only nuclear-armed pair to have fought four wars, remain locked in a post-2025 standoff over Kashmir, water rights, and cross-border militancy. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/indus-waters-treaty-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/indus-waters-treaty-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The 1960 India-Pakistan river-sharing pact dividing six Indus basin rivers; placed in abeyance by India in April 2025, threatening Pakistan's agriculture and hydropower. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The Islamic Republic of Iran controls the northern shore of the Strait of Hormuz and holds the world's second-largest natural gas reserves and third-largest proven oil reserves, placing it at the center of Middle East conflict, global energy markets, and US-led sanctions regimes. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/israel-hezbollah-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/israel-hezbollah-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Israel's permanent armed confrontation with Lebanon-based Hezbollah, Iran's best-funded proxy force, is the Middle East's most persistent driver of regional escalation and civilian displacement. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/kerch-strait-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/kerch-strait-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The sole water link between the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov, under Russian control since the 2014 annexation of Crimea and a flashpoint in the Russia-Ukraine war. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/kim-jong-un-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/kim-jong-un-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT North Korea's hereditary Supreme Leader since 2011, Kim Jong-un has transformed the DPRK into a declared nuclear power and reset its foreign alignment toward Russia while rejecting denuclearisation. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/korean-peninsula-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/korean-peninsula-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The divided 1,100-km landmass at the center of Northeast Asia's active nuclear standoff, home to two hostile Korean states with no peace treaty since 1953. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/major-exercises-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/major-exercises-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Multinational war games rehearse combined operations and signal deterrence; RIMPAC, NATO exercises, and China's PLA drills around Taiwan set the world's security tempo in 2026. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/masoud-pezeshkian-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/masoud-pezeshkian-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran's ninth president since July 2024, a reformist cardiac surgeon who co-signed the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum ceasefire framework with the US, operating within Supreme Leader authority in Tehran. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/mexico-cartels-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/mexico-cartels-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Mexico's Sinaloa Cartel and CJNG dominate global fentanyl and cocaine supply chains, driving a conflict that has killed more than 463,000 people since 2006. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/morocco-algeria-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/morocco-algeria-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Morocco and Algeria have had no diplomatic relations and a closed land border since 2021, their rivalry over Western Sahara paralyzing Maghreb integration. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/mozambique-cabo-delgado-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/mozambique-cabo-delgado-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Mozambique's northernmost province hosts an IS-linked insurgency, active since 2017, that has killed 6,600+, displaced 474,000 people, and frozen a US$20 billion LNG project. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/myanmar-civil-war-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/myanmar-civil-war-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Myanmar's military has fought a multi-front civil war since its February 2021 coup, displacing 3.6 million people and ceding roughly 42% of territory to resistance forces by mid-2026. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nato-alliance-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nato-alliance-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The 32-member military alliance anchored in Brussels that binds North America and Europe to collective defence, now facing its sharpest internal tensions since the Cold War. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/naval-drones-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/naval-drones-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Crewless surface vessels that sink warships and force fleet withdrawals, now racing from Black Sea proof-of-concept to mass Indo-Pacific deployment by the US and China. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/new-start-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/new-start-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The 2010 US-Russia strategic-arms treaty that capped deployed warheads at 1,550 and ran an on-site inspection regime until its lapse in February 2026, ending 50 years of bilateral nuclear limits. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nigeria-insurgency-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nigeria-insurgency-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Nigeria's 17-year jihadist conflict in the northeast, led by ISWAP and Boko Haram, has killed tens of thousands, displaced millions, and entered an escalating phase in mid-2026. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A nuclear-armed South Asian republic of 251 million, Pakistan is the pivot between India, China, Afghanistan, and the Gulf, and one of the world's most acutely distressed sovereign-debt cases. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-insurgency-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-insurgency-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Pakistan's simultaneous Islamist TTP and Baloch BLA insurgencies killed 3,400-plus in 2025, threatening nuclear-state stability and Chinese CPEC infrastructure across Balochistan. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/people-power-ousters-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/people-power-ousters-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Mass civilian campaigns that force governments or heads of state from power without armed insurrection, a mechanism recurring across Europe, Asia, and the Middle East in 2024 to 2026. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/proliferation-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/proliferation-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The spread of nuclear weapons beyond the five original powers, now covering nine states and 12,187 warheads globally, and the defining fault line of post-Cold War security diplomacy. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sahel-insurgency-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sahel-insurgency-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A decade-long jihadist insurgency across Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger, now accounting for over half of global terrorism deaths and displacing millions. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sco-bloc-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sco-bloc-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The SCO is a Eurasian intergovernmental bloc of ten nations anchored by China and Russia, covering roughly 40 percent of the world's population and operating a counter-terrorism coordination structure. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/serbia-kosovo-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/serbia-kosovo-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The unresolved sovereignty dispute between Serbia and Kosovo, rooted in Kosovo's 2008 independence declaration, that has kept the western Balkans' most volatile territorial question open for nearly two decades. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/shahed-drones-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/shahed-drones-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran's HESA-designed kamikaze drone, rebranded Geran-2 by Russia, is the defining attrition weapon of the Ukraine war and the most proliferated loitering munition beyond the US and China. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/shehbaz-sharif-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/shehbaz-sharif-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Pakistan's two-term Prime Minister since 2022, Sharif governs a nuclear-armed, IMF-dependent state while repositioning Islamabad as a US-Iran ceasefire mediator. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/somalia-al-shabaab-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/somalia-al-shabaab-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Somalia's largest armed insurgency and al-Qaeda's primary East African affiliate, controlling southern territory and pushing toward Mogadishu as of mid-2026. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/south-china-sea-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/south-china-sea-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A 3.5-million-km² marginal sea bordered by six governments whose competing claims, backed by China's military build-up and an unenforceable 2016 international ruling, have made it the world's foremost maritime flashpoint. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/strait-of-tiran-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/strait-of-tiran-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The 6-km passage between the Sinai Peninsula and the Arabian Peninsula that is the sole Red Sea gateway to Israel's port of Eilat and Jordan's port of Aqaba, and whose disputed islands are a lever in Saudi-Israeli normalization talks. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-war-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-war-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Sudan's war between the national army (SAF) and the RSF paramilitary, begun April 2023, has killed tens of thousands and driven the world's largest displacement crisis. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/syria-conflict-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/syria-conflict-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Syria's civil war, begun in 2011 and formally ended by Assad's fall in December 2024, has left a fragile transitional government managing sectarian rifts, an Israeli occupation, and 7 million internally displaced people. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/taiwan-cables-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/taiwan-cables-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Taiwan's 14 international submarine cables carry nearly all external internet traffic for the island, making them a primary gray-zone pressure point in any Taiwan Strait contingency. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/taiwan-strait-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/taiwan-strait-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The 180-kilometer channel separating Taiwan from China's Fujian Province, where People's Liberation Army exercises and US Navy transits define Asia's most consequential territorial dispute. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/thailand-cambodia-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/thailand-cambodia-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Thailand and Cambodia share an undemarcated 817-kilometer border that has produced recurring armed confrontations, most recently a 2025 war that killed over 100 people. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/the-coup-belt-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/the-coup-belt-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The arc of West and Central African states where military juntas displaced elected governments nine times since 2020, reshaping the Sahel's security and great-power alignments. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/the-quad-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/the-quad-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The US, Japan, Australia, and India's informal security forum coordinating Indo-Pacific maritime surveillance, technology, and infrastructure against Chinese power projection. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-russia-war-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-russia-war-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, begun February 24, 2022, is the largest armed conflict in Europe since 1945 and the defining fault line between Russia and the Western alliance. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/venezuela-crisis-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/venezuela-crisis-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Venezuela's overlapping political, economic, and humanitarian emergency, rooted in two decades of Chavista rule, escalated into US military intervention in January 2026 and a catastrophic earthquake response in June. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/vladimir-putin-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/vladimir-putin-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Russia's president since 1999, Vladimir Putin is directing the full-scale war in Ukraine, commanding the world's largest nuclear arsenal, and managing a wartime economy under an ICC arrest warrant. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/volodymyr-zelensky-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/volodymyr-zelensky-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukraine's wartime president since 2019, Zelensky transformed from TV comedian to the most visible leader in Europe's largest land war since 1945. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/western-sahara-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/western-sahara-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Disputed territory on Africa's Atlantic coast, Western Sahara has been under de facto Moroccan control since 1975 and is the core fault line dividing Morocco and Algeria. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/yemen-war-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/yemen-war-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Yemen's civil war, running since 2014, pits Houthi rebels against a Saudi-led coalition across a country with more than 23 million people in humanitarian need. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/venezuela-southcom-airfield-jun29 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/venezuela-southcom-airfield-jun29 Mon, 29 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT SOUTHCOM surged a Contingency Response Element to Simón Bolívar International Airport on Sunday to restore airfield operations; 130 Marines are en route to La Guaira, as Venezuela's confirmed death toll reaches 1,450 with more than 68,900 missing [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/armenia-azerbaijan-tripp-corridor-rollout https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/armenia-azerbaijan-tripp-corridor-rollout Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT A 99-year US development lease over the Zangezur strip moves from framework to implementation, rewiring South Caucasus transit and alarming Tehran and Moscow [stable] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/erdogan-iran-war-mediation https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/erdogan-iran-war-mediation Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ankara condemns the strikes as illegal, mourns Khamenei, and offers Trump support to implement a ceasefire, with two-thirds of Turks wanting Turkey to stay out [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/gerd-fourth-filling-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/gerd-fourth-filling-2026 Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT With the dam inaugurated and the reservoir near 24 billion cubic metres, Cairo says the unilateral June filling threatens its water security as the Blue Nile drops [stable] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/mbz-iran-ceasefire-hormuz https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/mbz-iran-ceasefire-hormuz Mon, 20 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The Gulf's most hawkish leader flies to Cairo to welcome the US-Iran deal and the strait's reopening, after demanding hard terms on Iran's missiles and nuclear program [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/morocco-algeria-us-reconciliation-push https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/morocco-algeria-us-reconciliation-push Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT US envoys float a 60-day deal as UNSC Resolution 2797 anchors Morocco's autonomy plan for Western Sahara; Algiers, patron of the Polisario, stays cold [frozen] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/putin-crimea-fuel-crisis https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/putin-crimea-fuel-crisis Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Drone strikes on refineries trigger the worst fuel shortage on the Black Sea peninsula since 2014; the Kremlin and independent press describe it in opposite terms [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/syria-captagon-suwayda-seizures-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/syria-captagon-suwayda-seizures-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Damascus arrests two top traffickers and seizes 600,000 pills; the state monopoly gives way to warlords, with Jordan striking smuggling hubs across the southern border [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/taiwan-four-power-coast-guard-jun24 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/taiwan-four-power-coast-guard-jun24 Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The four-power statement is the first of its kind, coordinated with Japan's Valiant Shield exercises; it signals a NATO-plus coalition is treating China's maritime pressure east of the island as a freedom-of-navigation concern, not just Taiwan's internal affair [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/taiwan-strait-pla-pressure-defense-budget https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/taiwan-strait-pla-pressure-defense-budget Thu, 09 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Median-line crossings and joint air-sea patrols continue day after day while the opposition legislature keeps blocking Lai Ching-te's special defence bill [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/trump-iran-war-supplemental-jun25 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/trump-iran-war-supplemental-jun25 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The Pentagon gets $67bn, including $21bn in munitions replenishment; $11bn goes to US farmers and $1.4bn to the Ebola response in central Africa [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/turkey-pkk-legal-framework-jun26 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/turkey-pkk-legal-framework-jun26 Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Erdogan told AK Party MPs that legislation to accelerate the PKK's disbandment is being prepared; the PKK voted to disband in May 2025 after Ocalan's appeal, but the process stalled as Turkey engaged in mediation over the Iran-Israel conflict [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/uae-rsf-arms-airbridge-ethiopia https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/uae-rsf-arms-airbridge-ethiopia Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Le Monde and US lawmakers say Abu Dhabi opened covert cargo routes via Ethiopia and CAR to keep arming the RSF, contradicting assurances given to Washington [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-punjab-narco-terror-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-punjab-narco-terror-2026 Wed, 08 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT NIA arrested a BKI module in Jalandhar on June 26 as India and Canada finally exchanged intelligence after Ottawa named the same network in the Air India bombing case; drone smuggling seizures crossed 400 in 2025-26 and the Bishnoi-Brar gang moved from extortion to political targets [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-ever-lovely-attack-jun25 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-ever-lovely-attack-jun25 Sat, 27 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT A projectile hit the Ever Lovely's bridge at 14:10 UTC on June 25; US Central Command struck Iranian missile and radar sites in retaliation on June 26, Trump called it a "foolish violation" of the ceasefire MoU, and the IRGC denied involvement [disrupted] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-ufa-refinery-strikes-jun25 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-ufa-refinery-strikes-jun25 Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The SBU's Liutyi unit targeted the Bashneft-Ufaneftekhim and Bashneft-Novoil facilities; the same night, a Krasnodar oil depot was hit [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-kuwait-bahrain-strikes-jun28 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-kuwait-bahrain-strikes-jun28 Mon, 29 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran's Revolutionary Guard fired on Ali Al Salem airbase in Kuwait and the 5th Fleet's Port Salman in Bahrain on Sunday, the sharpest escalation since the Islamabad MoU; air defenses intercepted most projectiles and no deaths were reported, but Tehran warned of a 'complete halt' to negotiations [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-afghanistan-strikes-jun29 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-afghanistan-strikes-jun29 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Islamabad claims 29 militants killed in Paktia, Paktika and Kunar; Kabul calls it a cowardly act; the raids follow a Jamaat-ul-Ahrar attack on Karachi's Rangers headquarters [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-kinburn-spit-jun25 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-kinburn-spit-jun25 Sat, 27 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The 40km Black Sea peninsula at the mouth of the Dnipro-Bug estuary fell to Ukraine after a logistics strangulation campaign cut off Russian supply lines [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/balochistan-byc-sentencing-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/balochistan-byc-sentencing-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT An Anti-Terrorism Court in Quetta convicted the Baloch Yakjehti Committee's chief organiser inside Quetta jail; a province-wide shutdown followed in seven or more districts [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-diesel-export-ban-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-diesel-export-ban-2026 Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Novak floats halting diesel exports and importing gasoline after strikes knock out 40% of Moscow's fuel supply; product exports down ~15% [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/scarborough-naval-standoff-june-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/scarborough-naval-standoff-june-2026 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Chinese and Philippine vessels manoeuvre within ~90m off Scarborough Shoal on 23 June, days after Beijing's floating platform and buoys reopened the standoff [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/un-genocide-report-gaza-children-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/un-genocide-report-gaza-children-2026 Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Inquiry chair Muralidhar says evidence shows deliberate killing; roughly 30% of Gaza's dead were children; violations continue after the October 2025 ceasefire [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-nuclear-iaea-dispute-june2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-nuclear-iaea-dispute-june2026 Mon, 29 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Switzerland talks produced a 'roadmap', and opposite public accounts of what Iran committed to on nuclear access [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/bangladesh-awami-league-anniversary-crackdown-jun23 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/bangladesh-awami-league-anniversary-crackdown-jun23 Sun, 28 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The BNP government deploys the army across six districts and arrests dozens; the home minister says 'there is no organisation by the name of Awami League' [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/venezuela-us-aid-engagement-jun27 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/venezuela-us-aid-engagement-jun27 Sat, 27 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT A senior official told reporters a 'nine-figure' package beyond the $150 million already committed will be announced within days; State Dept deployed US Embassy Caracas for coordination; 1,600 rescuers from 17 nations are on the ground [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-cape-diversion-freight https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-cape-diversion-freight Mon, 22 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT With Hormuz restricted and the Red Sea still avoided, carriers reroute via the Cape, lifting spot rates 29-129% on key lanes [disrupted] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-brics-chair-nsa-meeting-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-brics-chair-nsa-meeting-2026 Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The 16th NSAs' meeting in Delhi exposes the bloc's fault lines, China draws lessons from the Iran war while Tehran demands a stand on 'state terrorism', ahead of a September Modi summit [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-china-border-thaw-shaksgam https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-china-border-thaw-shaksgam Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Doval and Wang Yi note 'gradual normalisation' and an 'early harvest' sectoral track even as the MEA calls CPEC infrastructure in the China-held Shaksgam Valley 'illegal and invalid' [easing] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-pakistan-indus-treaty-water-war https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-pakistan-indus-treaty-water-war Thu, 09 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT New Delhi ties restoration to an end of cross-border terror as ministers vow to choke Pakistan's flows; Islamabad calls water security a casus belli [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-oil-sanctions-relief https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-oil-sanctions-relief Mon, 22 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT General License X resumes Iranian crude exports with banking, insurance and shipping cover after the Hormuz reopening [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/korea-dmz-seoul-eases-north-fortifies https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/korea-dmz-seoul-eases-north-fortifies Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Lee Jae-myung's June peace gestures meet a Pyongyang that is fencing within 80m of the line and rebuffing the South's overtures [stable] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/myanmar-ohchr-report-jun22 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/myanmar-ohchr-report-jun22 Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT An OHCHR report covering August 2025 to January 2026 found 476 deaths caused by military airstrikes; 16.2 million people now require humanitarian aid, a record high, while international engagement is falling [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nigeria-oyo-abduction-insecurity https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nigeria-oyo-abduction-insecurity Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Gunmen seized pupils aged 2 to 16 and seven teachers in May; one teacher murdered, the rest still captive in June, amid a wider wave of mass abductions and Middle-Belt killings [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pla-fujian-taiwan-strait-jun22 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pla-fujian-taiwan-strait-jun22 Wed, 08 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT China's newest carrier steamed through on June 22 while seven allied nations conducted exercises in the western Pacific; the near-simultaneous timing drew a coordinated four-power western rebuke two days later [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-drones-moscow-jun26 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-drones-moscow-jun26 Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Sobyanin confirmed 39 drones downed over the capital by 5:45 AM local time; the first wave arrived at 2:30 AM [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/netanyahu-bahad1-jun25 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/netanyahu-bahad1-jun25 Sat, 27 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT A 'go home' shout at a combat-officer graduation drew scattered applause, Netanyahu ignored it, and the defence minister used the same stage to announce the IDF stays in Lebanon forever [transition] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-iaea-nuclear-access-dispute https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-iaea-nuclear-access-dispute Mon, 29 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Grossi says the MoU guarantees access, Tehran says inspections follow only a final deal; the 60-day ceasefire window is burning [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-iaea-inspections-grossi-2026-06-25 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-iaea-inspections-grossi-2026-06-25 Mon, 29 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The agency chief plays down the clock on inspections as Washington and Tehran send conflicting signals about what the June 17 deal requires [pending-decision] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-oil-supply-shock https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-oil-supply-shock Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Brent peaked near $118 in March; post-ceasefire normalisation has it at $75.57 by June 24, but a 500-vessel queue and the Qatar LNG explosion keep markets unsettled [de-escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/rubio-gcc-gulf-tour-jun25 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/rubio-gcc-gulf-tour-jun25 Wed, 08 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The US Secretary of State concluded visits to UAE, Kuwait, and Bahrain defending the US-Iran MoU; Gulf partners offered public solidarity while privately questioning enforcement [transition] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/venezuela-earthquake-rescue-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/venezuela-earthquake-rescue-2026 Mon, 29 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT A 7.2 foreshock and 7.5 mainshock 39 seconds apart destroyed buildings near La Guaira and Caracas; USGS gives 44% odds the toll exceeds 10,000; confirmed dead rises as teams clear rubble [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/south-china-sea-escalation-june2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/south-china-sea-escalation-june2026 Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The Liaoning carrier group concluded a 40-day deployment June 22; a rare PLA Navy-AFP Navy standoff at Scarborough Shoal June 20; China's CCG Regulation No. 3 took effect June 15 [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-famine-displacement-crisis https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-famine-displacement-crisis Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The world's largest displacement and hunger crisis deepens as the war outpaces every truce plan; famine confirmed in El Fasher and Kadugli, Tawila overwhelmed [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/thailand-cambodia-fragile-ceasefire-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/thailand-cambodia-fragile-ceasefire-2026 Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Six months after the December truce ended 20 days of fighting, the border stays shut and demarcation talks wait on landmine-clearing and a new Thai government [de-escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-diesel-export-ban-weighed-2026-06-25 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-diesel-export-ban-weighed-2026-06-25 Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Merged into [[russia-diesel-export-ban-2026]]; see that node for the full source set [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/venezuela-twin-earthquakes-jun25 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/venezuela-twin-earthquakes-jun25 Thu, 09 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A M7.2 at 22:05 UTC and a M7.5 shortly after struck Sucre state; PAGER red alert flags an 87% chance fatalities cross 1,000 [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/lebanon-hezbollah-disarmament-standoff https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/lebanon-hezbollah-disarmament-standoff Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Qassem calls the disarmament drive a 'roadmap to annihilate' as Israel vows an open-ended stay in south Lebanon and keeps striking past the ceasefire deadline [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/somalia-al-shabaab-shabelle-offensive-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/somalia-al-shabaab-shabelle-offensive-2026 Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The group has reversed the 2022-23 government offensive across Middle and Lower Shabelle and Hiiraan, its reach extending toward Mogadishu; June airstrikes killed 28 militants but the strategic tide favours the insurgents [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-us-ceasefire-mou https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-us-ceasefire-mou Mon, 29 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Burgenstock talks June 22 conclude with a 60-day road map, Hormuz deconfliction cell and IAEA-inspectors-back agreement; Trump threatens US tolls if no final deal by August 22 [de-escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/dprk-destroyer-choe-hyon-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/dprk-destroyer-choe-hyon-2026 Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The 5,000-tonne Choe Hyon, named for a revolutionary commander, carries anti-ship, anti-aircraft, and nuclear-tipped ballistic and cruise missiles; Kim says 10,000-tonne cruisers follow [transition] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/air-france-mali-closure-jun18 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/air-france-mali-closure-jun18 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A June 15 letter from Air France's country manager to local partner ATS formalized the carrier's full commercial withdrawal from Mali, effective June 30, after flights were suspended in August 2023 following the closure of Nigerien airspace [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-el-obeid-rsf-assault-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-el-obeid-rsf-assault-2026 Thu, 09 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Rapid Support Forces closed on North Kordofan's capital June 22-23; daily drone strikes since 10 June; four Western governments demand the assault halt [transition] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/cocaine-record-ecuador-superhighway-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/cocaine-record-ecuador-superhighway-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Global production topped 3,700 tonnes in the last UNODC count; Ecuadorian ports now move up to 80% of Europe's cocaine as Petro rejects UN monitoring [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/jnim-niamey-airport-attack-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/jnim-niamey-airport-attack-2026 Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT An al-Qaeda raid on Diori Hamani International, Niger's air-force base and drone fleet, killed 11 soldiers and 2 civilians, the second strike on the airport this year as Sahel jihadists move on cities [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/niger-sahel-icc-withdrawal-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/niger-sahel-icc-withdrawal-2026 Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Instrument received June 18; exit takes effect June 2027; with Mali and Burkina Faso gone, three juntas call the court 'neo-colonial' and promise indigenous mechanisms [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-islamabad-mou-mediation https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-islamabad-mou-mediation Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Pakistan recasts itself from war-adjacent bystander to lead mediator; Pezeshkian's thank-you visit and Nobel chatter follow a 14-point deal reopening Hormuz and extending the truce [easing] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-el-obeid-rsf-offensive https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-el-obeid-rsf-offensive Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT After taking El Fasher in October, the Rapid Support Forces redeploy armour toward central Sudan's army hub; the army answers with drones and the Security Council warns of mass atrocities [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/fao-wfp-hunger-hotspots-june2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/fao-wfp-hunger-hotspots-june2026 Fri, 10 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The June 2026 Hunger Hotspots report flags Sudan, Palestine, South Sudan and Yemen at 'highest concern'; Somalia at famine risk; a 31% fertiliser spike from Hormuz runs through every figure [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/g7-evian-macron-ukraine-pivot https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/g7-evian-macron-ukraine-pivot Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT France hosts a summit that hardens the Russia line and claims a 'deep change' in the US approach, at the cost of consensus theatre [easing] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/macron-versailles-iran-deal-signing https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/macron-versailles-iran-deal-signing Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT A state dinner on the G7 margins becomes the unexpected venue for an initial war-ending agreement [easing] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/libya-election-roadmap-june2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/libya-election-roadmap-june2026 Sat, 27 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Aguila Saleh, Mohamed al-Menfi, and Mohammed Takala agreed on June 18 on a Document of Principles for simultaneous presidential and parliamentary polls, the first time all three institutions have jointly signed an electoral plan [transition] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/bangladesh-india-diplomat-row-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/bangladesh-india-diplomat-row-2026 Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Zahed Ur Rahman held 2.5 hours at Indira Gandhi International on June 16; Dhaka called India's explanation unsatisfactory; row exposes bilateral tension beneath the China-pivot optics [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/cjng-desintegracion-mencho https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/cjng-desintegracion-mencho Tue, 07 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Mexico's security chief reports the Jalisco cartel splintering 'like Sinaloa did', with a stepson among the contenders facing extradition [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/haiti-gsf-first-operations https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/haiti-gsf-first-operations Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Guterres visits Port-au-Prince as the renamed mission fields ~1,000 of 5,500 authorised troops against gangs holding ~70% of the capital [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sheinbaum-homicidios-46-junio-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sheinbaum-homicidios-46-junio-2026 Thu, 09 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Daily killings at a 12-year low under Harfuch's strategy, but the rising missing-persons count undercuts the headline [easing] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/uk-russia-shadow-fleet https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/uk-russia-shadow-fleet Tue, 16 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Royal Marines seize the 'Smyrtos' in the Channel days before a sanctions package hitting ships, insurers and procurement networks [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/yemen-humanitarian-collapse-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/yemen-humanitarian-collapse-2026 Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Half the population faces hunger and 450+ health facilities have closed on funding cuts; regional escalation drives up fuel and food prices and threatens Gulf support Yemen depends on [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/colombia-total-peace-collapse-catatumbo https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/colombia-total-peace-collapse-catatumbo Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT ELN talks frozen since the Catatumbo massacre; violence less deadly but more pervasive, monitors find, as the transition looms [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/gaza-phase-two-hamas-disarmament https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/gaza-phase-two-hamas-disarmament Fri, 10 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT 73,001 killed, famine confirmed, $17B pledged but 1% disbursed; Hamas offered a heavy-weapons inventory on June 12 and was told no by June 16 [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/yemen-houthi-red-sea-conditional-pause https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/yemen-houthi-red-sea-conditional-pause Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Three months of quiet on commercial vessels is a 'structured pause under tension,' not a truce; the group says it will resume and could close the strait if the US-Iran war restarts [frozen] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-drone-surge-jun2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sudan-drone-surge-jun2026 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The UN rights chief documents an 81% increase in drone attacks in 2026 and more than 1,000 civilian deaths, as both the SAF and RSF weaponise commercial drones against population centres [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/manipur-violence-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/manipur-violence-2026 Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT President's Rule was lifted in February for a BJP chief minister; by June a Kuki-Naga rupture, mass hostage-taking and fresh shootings show the conflict is mutating, not ending [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/syria-israel-security-pact-strikes https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/syria-israel-security-pact-strikes Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Al-Sharaa calls a pact a 'necessity' and says results may come 'in coming days'; he calls a strike near the presidential palace 'a declaration of war' but refrains from responding [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-nuclear-iaea-access-standoff https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-nuclear-iaea-access-standoff Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Eight months on, the IAEA still cannot verify 440 kg of 60% HEU stored at Isfahan; Tehran says it has not resumed enrichment [contested-result] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nigeria-iswap-borno-massacres-june-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/nigeria-iswap-borno-massacres-june-2026 Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT 81 villagers killed in Gubio on 9 June; 20 soldiers in Monguno and 40+ civilians in Nganzai on 13 June, as critics call the Presidency's 'sign of desperation' framing a cover for a major security failure [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/gaza-ceasefire-aid-shortfall https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/gaza-ceasefire-aid-shortfall Tue, 28 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT UN counts ~36% of allotted trucks entered since October; 77% still face acute food insecurity as Israel logs no further withdrawals and thousands of ceasefire breaches [stable] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-iaea-non-compliance https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-iaea-non-compliance Wed, 08 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT With safeguards 'legally untenable' since February and inspectors locked out, the IAEA Board declares Iran non-compliant on 12 June, the agency can no longer verify the stockpile [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pezeshkian-domestic-position https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pezeshkian-domestic-position Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran's president defends US talks and warns of economic ruin, but a new supreme leader and an IRGC-shaped parliament constrain what he can concede [contested-result] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/putin-ukraine-deep-strikes-summer https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/putin-ukraine-deep-strikes-summer Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Russia's spring-summer push around Pokrovsk grinds; Putin admits the drone war is hurting the economy and vows to bolster air defences [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/siachen-saltoro-highest-battlefield https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/siachen-saltoro-highest-battlefield Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT A year after the 2025 ceasefire, troops still die at 20,000 feet on the world's highest battlefield, mostly to altitude, not to each other [frozen] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/synthetic-meth-afghanistan-golden-triangle-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/synthetic-meth-afghanistan-golden-triangle-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Taliban opium ban coincides with a meth surge; East and Southeast Asia logged a record 236 tonnes seized as Shan State super-labs run flat out [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/venezuela-nino-guerrero-strike https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/venezuela-nino-guerrero-strike Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT First US strike killing a designated-terrorist leader in the hemisphere, run jointly with Delcy Rodríguez's post-Maduro government [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/cameroon-ambazonia-belo-attack-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/cameroon-ambazonia-belo-attack-2026 Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Separatists stormed the Belo Brigade in the North-West, killing the commander and a gendarme and seizing weapons, the deadliest assault in months, with the 92-year-old Biya re-installed and 48 dead in election protests [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/car-aakg-haut-mbomou-clashes-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/car-aakg-haut-mbomou-clashes-2026 Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT FACA and allies clashed with the Azande Ani Kpi Gbe in Haut-Mbomou, driving civilians into DRC and South Sudan; the UPC and 3R disarmed in 2025 but Bozizé's CPC and new militias keep the war alive [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-fentanyl-precursor-controls-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-fentanyl-precursor-controls-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Beijing schedules all INCB-listed precursors and adds export controls; Washington indicts six PRC nationals over chemicals sent to a Gulf Cartel network [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/marcos-scarborough-nature-reserve https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/marcos-scarborough-nature-reserve Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Manila condemns Beijing's 3,500-hectare reserve as a sovereignty grab, mandates Philippine names for sea features, while chairing ASEAN and courting a code of conduct [contested-result] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/netanyahu-coalition-exposure https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/netanyahu-coalition-exposure Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT An October election looming, Ben-Gvir and Smotrich demand Hezbollah's destruction while opposition brands the US-Iran deal Netanyahu's failure [contested-result] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/syria-sdf-integration-fraying https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/syria-sdf-integration-fraying Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT After a January government offensive took most DAANES territory, a US-brokered integration agreement holds on paper while fighting flickers and Mazloum Abdi's control wobbles [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-lima-pokrova-ew-wall https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-lima-pokrova-ew-wall Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Networked EW, Lima, Pokrova, Bukovel, becomes a cheap layer against saturation drone strikes [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-russia-energy-strike-war https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-russia-energy-strike-war Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukraine reaches 1,500 km deep: June 24 strike on Orenburg gas complex (45 bn m³/yr, Russia's only helium plant) and Dubna satellite comms centre; Russia strikes Ukraine's grid in return [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-afghanistan-airstrikes-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-afghanistan-airstrikes-2026 Thu, 02 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT June 28-29 strikes on Paktia, Paktika and Kunar killed a Taliban-claimed 36 civilians; Islamabad counts 29 militants; both sides summoned diplomats and the UN documented civilian deaths [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-ttp-bla-two-front-insurgency-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-ttp-bla-two-front-insurgency-2026 Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT BLA's 'Herof 2.0' hit nine Balochistan districts while the army battled the TTP in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa; a May suicide truck bombing of a Quetta train killed 30+ as the internal insurgencies escalate [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/armenia-azerbaijan-referendum-shortfall https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/armenia-azerbaijan-referendum-shortfall Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Civil Contract takes ~50% on June 7, enough to govern but not the two-thirds for the constitutional referendum Baku and Ankara demand before signing [de-escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-israel-ceasefire-fraying https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-israel-ceasefire-fraying Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT An Israeli strike on Beirut's southern suburbs triggers ~30 Iranian ballistic missiles at Israel, the first direct exchange since April, before both pull back 'for now' [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sahel-jihadist-gold-financing-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sahel-jihadist-gold-financing-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Al-Qaeda's Sahel coalition taxes and attacks gold sites to fund ~6,000 fighters; Niger kills 13 in mine raids aimed at drying up financing [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/xi-pyongyang-state-visit https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/xi-pyongyang-state-visit Thu, 09 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Beijing pulls Kim back into orbit after Russia's courtship, 'good neighbour, good friend, good comrade', and silence on the bomb [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-megaconstellation-batches-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-megaconstellation-batches-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Qianfan jumps back ahead at 182 to Guowang's ~168–190; two constellations planning 28,000+ spacecraft [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/magura-constanta-blinded-drone https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/magura-constanta-blinded-drone Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT A hijacked Magura V5 explodes at Constanța's Pier 78; three more from the swarm are still unaccounted for [contested-result] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/putin-zelensky-talks-rebuff https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/putin-zelensky-talks-rebuff Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Moscow leans wholly on the Trump–Anchorage framework, demands Ukraine stop its advance, and tells Kyiv to sign before any meeting [stalemate] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/taiwan-pla-east-maritime-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/taiwan-pla-east-maritime-2026 Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT PRC coast guard vessels asserted jurisdiction in the Pacific waters beyond Taiwan's eastern coastline, interfering with commercial ships and triggering joint statements from the AIT, UK, France and Germany [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/somalia-election-crisis-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/somalia-election-crisis-2026 Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Fighting erupted in Mogadishu in early June 2026 after the president extended his mandate without a parliamentary vote; Puntland and Jubaland suspended federal participation as al-Shabaab launched coordinated attacks on the international support forces [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/s400-india-final-delivery-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/s400-india-final-delivery-2026 Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The fourth regimental set started arriving in June 2026; Delhi sounds out a fresh batch even as Moscow's own war drains stocks [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-russia-geneva-territory-talks https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-russia-geneva-territory-talks Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT After Abu Dhabi and Geneva rounds put territory on the table, June brings a 185-for-185 swap and duelling summit venues, but no leaders' meeting [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pak-azk-jkjaac-protests-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pak-azk-jkjaac-protests-2026 Wed, 08 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The JKJAAC, which led protests demanding cheaper electricity and flour, was proscribed on June 5 after 11 people were killed in Rawalakot; Amnesty called it criminalisation of dissent, and the crackdown has deepened the political grievance Pakistan needs to keep latent [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-northeast-myanmar-spillover-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-northeast-myanmar-spillover-2026 Wed, 08 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT 28,964 Myanmar refugees registered in Mizoram by June 4, Naga insurgents killed three Assam Rifles in March, NIA arrested foreign mercenaries linked to Myanmar networks, and AFSPA rollback by 2027 - India's Northeast is the most complex security quadrant on its map [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ethiopia-abiy-pp-landslide-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ethiopia-abiy-pp-landslide-2026 Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Results confirmed June 21 with 90% of ballots counted; EZEMA wins 13, NaMA 6; monitors say voting was free in fewer than half the constituencies [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/france-shadow-fleet-tanker-seizures-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/france-shadow-fleet-tanker-seizures-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The French navy boards the 'Tagor' in the Atlantic as Paris, London and partners shift from blacklisting ships to taking them [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/gps-jamming-aviation-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/gps-jamming-aviation-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT ~40% of European air traffic hit; Russia's spoofing antennae up from 3 to 36; ministers' jets jammed [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-silo-launch-pads-xinjiang https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-silo-launch-pads-xinjiang Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Reuters finds 80+ launch pads, bunkers and octagon command sites near the Hami ICBM silos [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ethiopia-amhara-fano-tigray-june-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ethiopia-amhara-fano-tigray-june-2026 Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Fighting between Fano militias and federal forces hit 22+ districts across nine Amhara zones in mid-June; Addis pushed June parliamentary elections in disputed Tigray areas over TPLF objections [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/north-korea-2026-missile-tempo https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/north-korea-2026-missile-tempo Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT April–May test launches and a fresh ICBM engine advance Pyongyang's modernisation as Washington's focus stays elsewhere [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-quad-ipmsc-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-quad-ipmsc-2026 Sat, 27 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Jaishankar, Rubio, Wong and Motegi unveiled the IPMSC on May 26, an India-proposed real-time satellite tracking system for vessels in the Indian Ocean, the most operationally specific initiative the Quad has produced [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/thaad-stockpile-drawdown-israel https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/thaad-stockpile-drawdown-israel Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The US fired well over 100 THAAD interceptors in the Iran war, draining up to a third of a costly, slow-to-replace arsenal [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/bolivia-paz-cabinet-resignations https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/bolivia-paz-cabinet-resignations Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Defence, education and labour ministers gone in ten days; ~100 roadblocks, fuel and food shortages, and calls for the new president to quit [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/shahed-record-strikes-jet-geran https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/shahed-record-strikes-jet-geran Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT 4,335 Geran-type drones launched in April; Alabuga output tops 5,500/month as jet variants outrun Ukraine's defences [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/serbia-kosovo-dialogue-frozen https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/serbia-kosovo-dialogue-frozen Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Kallas has chaired no high-level meeting; Special Representative Sørensen is stalled by instability in both capitals as the EU lifts its punitive measures on Kosovo [frozen] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-digital-chokepoint-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-digital-chokepoint-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Emboldened by its wartime shipping blockade, Tehran signals it could charge tech firms tolls, or disrupt traffic, on cables that feed the Gulf's AI boom [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iron-dome-tamir-rebuild-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iron-dome-tamir-rebuild-2026 Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT After 500+ Iranian ballistic missiles, Tamir interceptor production shifts partly to a US plant supplying both armies [easing] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/drc-m23-june-2026-ceasefire-breaches https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/drc-m23-june-2026-ceasefire-breaches Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT FARDC drones hit an M23 position five miles north of Goma; M23 and Wazalendo militias clash along the Masisi-Walikale border, both sides building up troops in the Kivus despite the US-brokered truce [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/cyprus-reunification-window-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/cyprus-reunification-window-2026 Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT A pro-federation TRNC win and Guterres calling 2026 'a critical year' open a window; the two leaders converge on technical points but split on a '5+1' conference and new crossings [de-escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/greece-turkey-aegean-eez-bill https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/greece-turkey-aegean-eez-bill Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT A 14-article bill would let Erdogan declare a 200-mile EEZ and deny islands a full continental shelf; Athens calls it illegal under UNCLOS as Dendias warns against 'revisionism' [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/rostec-output-claims-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/rostec-output-claims-2026 Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Chemezov claims artillery-shell output up 10x, MLRS rounds 12x since 2022, combat aircraft doubled [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-gulf-arms-export https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-gulf-arms-export Tue, 05 May 2026 00:00:00 GMT Kyiv signs 10-year air-defence and drone partnerships with Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar and plans 10 European export offices [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-kashmir-jammu-shift-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-kashmir-jammu-shift-2026 Sat, 27 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT A year after Operation Sindoor the ceasefire holds technically, but the active front has moved, militants now favour Rajouri, Poonch and the Chenab valley, where forest terrain blunts India's surveillance advantage [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/guyana-essequibo-icj-merits-hearings https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/guyana-essequibo-icj-merits-hearings Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The Hague weighs the 1899 boundary while Caracas swears in a governor of the territory it doesn't administer and Guyana arms up [frozen] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-post-new-start-upload https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-post-new-start-upload Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Moscow could upload hundreds of warheads but, four months on, shows no large-scale breakout [pending-decision] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hezbollah-fiber-optic-drones-lebanon https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hezbollah-fiber-optic-drones-lebanon Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Jam-proof tethered drones have killed at least ten Israeli soldiers since April; Israel has no electronic counter [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/drc-minerals-us-deal-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/drc-minerals-us-deal-2026 Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The DRC announced in April 2026 a new paramilitary unit backed by the US and UAE to secure major cobalt, copper and lithium mining sites; in March the DRC, Rwanda and US agreed Washington Accords implementation steps including M23 withdrawal and FDLR disarmament [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/colombia-cauca-pacific-bombing-wave https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/colombia-cauca-pacific-bombing-wave Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Petro blames Iván Mordisco's EMC for a wave of bombings across Cauca and Valle del Cauca as the campaign turns violent [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/mali-jnim-april-2026-attack https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/mali-jnim-april-2026-attack Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A pre-dawn offensive on April 25-26 struck Kati, Bamako, Gao, Kidal, Mopti and Sévaré simultaneously; Defence Minister Sadio Camara was killed by a car bomb at his Kati home [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/mali-jnim-offensive-russia-kidal-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/mali-jnim-offensive-russia-kidal-2026 Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT On April 25, 2026, JNIM and the Tuareg FLA launched simultaneous attacks across Bamako, Kati, Sevaré and five other towns, killing Defence Minister Sadio Camara; Russia's Africa Corps evacuated Kidal on April 26, then Tessalit and Aguelhok, ceding all major northern positions within days and delivering a direct blow to Moscow's Sahel security narrative [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/golden-dome-architecture-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/golden-dome-architecture-2026 Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Space Force picks 12 firms for space-based interceptors as estimates swing from $175B to $3.6T [contested-result] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/drc-rwanda-peace-process-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/drc-rwanda-peace-process-2026 Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT A fifth Joint Oversight Committee met in April; the DRC-M23 Doha framework's key provisions remain unimplemented, Qatar, Togo, the US and the AU keep the process alive as fighting continues [frozen] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/rwanda-economy-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/rwanda-economy-2026 Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Rwanda posted its strongest quarterly growth in years in early 2026, driven by services, industry and construction; the economy is running hot against a backdrop of M23 ceasefire negotiations with DRC that hold fragile since April talks in Switzerland [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/cameroon-pope-anglophone-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/cameroon-pope-anglophone-2026 Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Pope Leo XIV's April 2026 visit to Cameroon's anglophone southwest region was the first papal visit to the conflict zone since the 2016 crisis began; Paul Biya's government simultaneously delayed legislative elections again, extending the sitting parliament's mandate through December 2026 [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/uae-secret-strikes-iran https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/uae-secret-strikes-iran Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The WSJ says Mirage 2000 jets hit a Gulf island refinery, making the UAE the only third country to attack Iran, after Tehran fired hundreds of missiles and drones at Emirati targets [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/car-touadera-third-term-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/car-touadera-third-term-2026 Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Faustin-Archange Touadera was inaugurated on March 30, 2026 for a third term enabled by his 2023 constitutional term-limit removal; the UN Security Council renewed MINUSCA's mandate in June but ordered a 15% budget cut, suspending operations; and only 17% of the US$268m humanitarian plan was funded, forcing closure of 100+ field bases for 2.8 million vulnerable people [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-pakistan-isolation-backfire https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-pakistan-isolation-backfire Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT A decade after Modi vowed to quarantine Pakistan, Islamabad signs minerals and crypto deals with Trump's circle and an 'all-weather' upgrade with Xi, and India is left protesting from the sidelines [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-naxal-endgame-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-naxal-endgame-2026 Sat, 27 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Home Minister Amit Shah told Parliament on March 30 that India is 'Naxal-free'; the CPI(Maoist) lost its general secretary in combat in May 2025 and its second-in-command surrendered in February 2026, leaving only one politburo member at large [de-escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/idf-postwar-strain https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/idf-postwar-strain Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The chief of staff raises '10 red flags' over reservist strain while Israel tallies $1.1bn+ in missile damage and 45,000 home-front claims [easing] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-l30-maritime-swarm https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-l30-maritime-swarm Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Crewless USVs patrol, detect and box in an intruder with limited operator input, Beijing's answer to US naval autonomy [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/mozambique-cabo-delgado-june-2026-attacks https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/mozambique-cabo-delgado-june-2026-attacks Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT IS claimed three June IED attacks on Rwandan forces and raided Xitaxi in Muidumbe; after two months threatening southern mining sites and displacing 21,000+, the insurgents are returning to their Macomia bases [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/myanmar-civil-war-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/myanmar-civil-war-2026 Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The Three Brotherhood Alliance shattered in March 2026 when the MNDAA captured Kutkai from former ally TNLA, serving Chinese interests in reopening border trade; the Arakan Army pushed to within 2-3km of Sittwe capital in Rakhine State; and the NUG formed a unified resistance command SCEF with four ethnic armies [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/patriot-interceptor-depletion-iran-war https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/patriot-interceptor-depletion-iran-war Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Operation Epic Fury burned through PAC-3 missiles faster than two years of production can replace [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/myanmar-brotherhood-alliance-fracture-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/myanmar-brotherhood-alliance-fracture-2026 Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The MNDAA's seizure of Kutkai from former ally the TNLA marks the Brotherhood Alliance's collapse under Beijing's border pressure; the KIA's grip on rare-earth mines near China buys it a longer leash [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-rejects-trilateral-nuclear-talks https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-rejects-trilateral-nuclear-talks Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Beijing says the US and Russia must cut their far larger arsenals first before China sits at any table [stalemate] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-ior-grey-zone-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-ior-grey-zone-2026 Wed, 08 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT INMSS-2026, the INS Varsha nuclear-submarine base and Rs 150 billion of Andaman infrastructure mark India's pivot from a continental army to a blue-water IOR guardian, as Chinese survey vessels and dual-use ports close in on both flanks [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/afghanistan-pakistan-conflict-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/afghanistan-pakistan-conflict-2026 Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Pakistan bombed Kabul and Kandahar in February 2026 and launched further strikes into June; Afghanistan responded with drone strikes on Pakistan in late June, with no ceasefire in place as of July 2026 [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ethiopia-eritrea-war-brink-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ethiopia-eritrea-war-brink-2026 Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Addis has redeployed heavy weaponry and mechanised units to Afar within striking distance of Eritrea's Assab port; Abiy's Red Sea ambition and a fractured TPLF turn an old enmity into a powder keg [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/mexico-jalisco-operation-cjng-retaliation https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/mexico-jalisco-operation-cjng-retaliation Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Army kills the CJNG founder in a US-assisted operation; narco-blockades and shootouts ripple across multiple states, and a succession war opens [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/saudi-pakistan-nuclear-enrichment https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/saudi-pakistan-nuclear-enrichment Tue, 07 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A US deal could permit Saudi enrichment while a new defence pact with Pakistan reopens old proliferation fears [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/new-start-expiry-aftermath https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/new-start-expiry-aftermath Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The last treaty capping the two largest arsenals expired 5 February 2026 with no successor and no inspections [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/yemen-wfp-shutdown-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/yemen-wfp-shutdown-2026 Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The World Food Programme shut down all operations in Houthi-controlled Yemen in January 2026 after 73 UN staff were detained and offices seized; 18 million people in the north lost WFP coverage as Houthis resumed attacks on Israel in March [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/venezuela-delcy-rodriguez-interim https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/venezuela-delcy-rodriguez-interim Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Sworn in under Article 233 following the January US raid, she extends a hand to Trump while insisting Maduro is still the only president [stalemate] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/tanzania-election-violence-2025 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/tanzania-election-violence-2025 Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Tanzania's government-appointed commission confirmed 518 deaths after the October 2025 election; the EU Parliament blocked 2026 aid in November 2025 and the US imposed travel restrictions in January 2026 [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/taiwan-matsu-cable-cut-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/taiwan-matsu-cable-cut-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Cable No. 3 broke ~2.64km off Dongyin in April 2026; Chunghwa Telecom switched 1,500 residents to microwave links as a court jailed a Chinese captain over an earlier cut [repaired] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/guinea-bissau-embalo-coup https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/guinea-bissau-embalo-coup Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Soldiers arrest President Embaló as both he and the opposition claim election victory; civil society alleges a 'simulated coup,' ECOWAS suspends the country [stable] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/mali-jnim-bamako-blockade-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/mali-jnim-bamako-blockade-2026 Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Al-Qaeda's Sahel affiliate has torched 300+ tankers and cut National Road 1; petrol in the capital reportedly jumped 400%, and a 1 June landmine on the Bamako-Kayes highway killed 8 [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/madagascar-transition-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/madagascar-transition-2026 Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT CAPSAT forces seized power on October 12-14, 2025 as President Rajoelina fled on a French military aircraft; Colonel Michael Randrianirina was sworn in as interim president on October 17 with a four-phase transition plan targeting a presidential election in October 2027 [transition] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/madagascar-randrianirina-coup https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/madagascar-randrianirina-coup Wed, 08 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT CAPSAT, the unit that made Rajoelina in 2009, switches sides; Col. Randrianirina takes power, AU suspends the island, elections promised for 2027 [stable] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-lunar-change7-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-lunar-change7-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Water-ice hunt at Shackleton with a shadow-diving hopper; Long March 10, Mengzhou and Lanyue in testing [active]