https://rbtfl.xyz/en/track/shipping-chokepoints Freight, ports, sea lanes and the straits everything passes through. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-us-deal-0802 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-us-deal-0802 Tue, 04 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT US President Donald Trump said on August 2 that he had agreed to cancel a planned strike on Iran, subject to a rapid deal, after Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman called to caution him against fresh attacks; Iran's top diplomat had earlier warned of a decisive response to any US-Israeli aggression [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-hormuz-deal-0806 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-hormuz-deal-0806 Sat, 08 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT US President Donald Trump said on August 6 the war with Iran will end 'pretty soon'; Iran's parliament was reported to be reviewing the text of a Hormuz route agreement with Oman; NBC News reported both sides say a deal is close but one or both would have to make concessions; US officials said they would not accept any arrangement leaving Iran in control of the strait; Iran insisted it would not return to the pre-war status of an open international waterway [de-escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/houthi-saudi-0807 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/houthi-saudi-0807 Sat, 08 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Yemen's Houthi movement fired missiles and drones at Saudi Arabia on August 6-7, wounding 11 civilians, while separate Houthi missile and drone strikes on Yemeni government forces killed at least 58 troops, the deadliest attacks in years; Al Jazeera said Saudi Arabia had braced for attacks and that tensions between the Houthis and the kingdom had risen since the US-Israel war on Iran began; SCMP called it one of the deadliest escalations since a Houthi truce with the Saudi-backed government [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-cargo-0804 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-cargo-0804 Fri, 07 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT A cargo vessel was hit by an unknown projectile in the Strait of Hormuz on August 4, the UK Maritime Trade Operations reported; a senior Iranian source told Reuters that Iran is seeking full inbound inspection authority over ships entering the strait under a temporary reopening plan being negotiated with Oman; Qatar said mediators were making progress toward ending the US-Iran war while Iran denied Trump's claim that talks were already underway [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/black-sea-grain-0806 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/black-sea-grain-0806 Fri, 07 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Black Sea milling wheat fell to US$225.5 per tonne FOB for September shipments on August 6, 2026, its lowest level since June 2025, even as Ukraine's deep-strike campaign drove Russian refining to a two-decade low and attacks on both sides closed grain ports intermittently; analysts cited weak global import demand as the dominant downward price pressure; Ukraine's export corridors remained partially open despite ongoing attacks on port infrastructure [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-iran-oman-route-0805 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-iran-oman-route-0805 Fri, 07 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran's foreign ministry said on August 5 that Tehran and Oman reached an understanding on the precise geographic coordinates for a shipping route through the Strait of Hormuz, and that a joint announcement was being finalised; Al Jazeera reported talks were in 'final stages' and the route had been approved; Iran cautioned the agreement would not by itself guarantee security in the waterway, and said final announcement depended on certain third parties not interfering [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-redsea-ship-0805 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-redsea-ship-0805 Thu, 06 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT The India-flagged cargo vessel MSV Faize Noore Oliya sank in the Red Sea on August 5 after being struck by a projectile near Hodeidah, Yemen; all 14 crew members, including 13 Indian nationals, were rescued by Yemeni forces; India's Ministry of External Affairs called continued attacks on merchant shipping 'deeply worrisome' and said it would press for freedom of navigation [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/turkey-blacksea-ships-0804 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/turkey-blacksea-ships-0804 Wed, 05 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Drones struck two Turkish-owned cargo ships, Nadezhda and Yasar, near Russia's Novorossiysk port on the night of August 3, injuring three crew members; the captain of the Nadezhda attributed the attack to Ukraine and said six or seven drones were used; Turkey's Foreign Ministry expressed 'serious concern' and called on both Russia and Ukraine to implement 'concrete measures' for navigational safety, deliberately not naming Ukraine [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-us-talks-0803 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-us-talks-0803 Fri, 07 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT US President Donald Trump said on August 3 that new diplomatic talks with Iran are the 'last chance' for Tehran to reach a deal before US strikes resume, naming Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Qatar as mediators; US negotiators simultaneously said a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz is close as Iran and Oman held what Oman described as 'positive' talks; Iran's foreign ministry denied any direct negotiations with Washington [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-scs-huangyan-0801 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-scs-huangyan-0801 Sun, 02 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT China published new operational rules for Huangyan Dao (Scarborough Shoal) on or around August 1, banning unauthorised fishing, mining and other activities in the zone; the Philippines accused China of violating its maritime sovereignty under a 2016 international tribunal ruling; China's PLA Southern Theater Command separately conducted joint maritime and air drills around the shoal, state media reported [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/italy-shadow-fleet-0802 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/italy-shadow-fleet-0802 Tue, 04 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT An EU naval mission led by Italy boarded the Toa Payoh, an EU-sanctioned tanker sailing under a Cameroon flag from Benin to Istanbul, in international waters west of Pantelleria on August 2; the captain initially refused to provide documentation; the following day the same mission boarded a second sanctioned vessel, the third such interception in under two weeks [disrupted] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/irgc-kuwait-bahrain-0731 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/irgc-kuwait-bahrain-0731 Wed, 05 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps launched attacks on US military bases and strategic assets in Kuwait and Bahrain on July 31, 2026, saying the strikes were retaliation for US strikes on multiple locations in Iran including Qeshm island the previous day; US President Donald Trump said he was 'losing faith' with Iran but did not rule out a deal [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-egypt-damietta-0730 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-egypt-damietta-0730 Fri, 31 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT An unidentified drone struck two gas tankers at Egypt's Damietta port on July 30, Egypt's cabinet said; investigators found the cause was an unidentified drone that started a fire on board; Damietta lies near the Suez Canal, which had remained an alternative Saudi oil export route after Iran and its Houthi allies closed the Strait of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb to northbound traffic; the strike signals the conflict may be expanding to Egypt's Mediterranean coast [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/saudi-redsea-coalition-0730 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/saudi-redsea-coalition-0730 Sat, 01 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Saudi Arabia hosted a founding meeting in Riyadh on July 30 and announced a multinational maritime defence coalition to protect the Bab al-Mandab strait and Red Sea shipping; 14 nations signed up at the first meeting, while Saudi Arabia has proposed expanding the alliance to 43 members; the coalition aims to protect shipping lanes under renewed Houthi attacks that have pushed oil prices higher [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/turkey-iraq-oil-deal-0729 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/turkey-iraq-oil-deal-0729 Thu, 30 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iraqi Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi visited Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in Ankara on July 29, signing five cooperation agreements and discussing a plan for Iraq to supply Turkey with up to one million barrels of oil a day; Turkey's state oil company TPAO has taken a 15% equity stake in the Kirkuk oil field alongside BP, ending the terms of the 1973 Iraq-Turkey pipeline deal; the shift is driven by Turkey's need to reduce dependence on Gulf routes disrupted by the Iran-US war [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-jordan-missiles-0729 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-jordan-missiles-0729 Fri, 31 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps launched at least four ballistic missiles at a US military facility in Jordan on the night of July 28-29; the US military said it intercepted the missiles; US and Saudi Arabia simultaneously struck Iran-backed militia headquarters in Iraq, killing at least 20 including six Iranian advisers, the first time Saudi Arabia has joined US offensive action in Iraq in this conflict; Iraq's government protested; Iran rejected Oman's Strait of Hormuz proposals and struck three ships in the waterway [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-drone-gulf-0728 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-drone-gulf-0728 Wed, 29 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Israel's military intercepted two drones near the Jordan border on July 27 and said the UAVs did not cross into Israeli territory; Israeli officials believed the drones were fired from Iraq; separately, Saudi Arabia intercepted drones launched from Iraq by Iran-backed militias, while Iran's foreign minister held talks on Strait of Hormuz security with Saudi and Omani counterparts [de-escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/saudi-red-sea-coalition-0730 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/saudi-red-sea-coalition-0730 Fri, 31 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Saudi Arabia announced July 30 in Riyadh that 14 countries have signed on to a new multinational maritime defence coalition to protect shipping in the Red Sea, the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, and the Gulf of Aden; the Riyadh-headquartered coalition is the first formal multilateral security structure Saudi Arabia has established to counter Houthi attacks on commercial vessels, and Riyadh is seeking to expand membership to 43 nations [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-us-ceasefire-0727 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-us-ceasefire-0727 Wed, 29 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The US pause in strikes on Iran continued into its third day on July 27 as President Donald Trump said 'we are having good talks' and 'good things can happen'; Iran's Foreign Ministry denied any negotiations were taking place, declared that Iran 'will never allow the United States to determine the timing of war and peace,' and Gulf media reported Iranian officials describing US conduct as that of a 'mafia gang' [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/houthi-saudi-0727 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/houthi-saudi-0727 Fri, 07 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT Yemen's Houthi movement attacked Saudi Arabia's East-West Pipeline and commercial vessels in the Red Sea and off the United Arab Emirates coast on or around July 27; Singapore's Foreign Ministry condemned the attacks, and oil prices fell sharply as traders weighed the strikes against the broader pause in US-Iran hostilities [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/aukus-submarine-funding-0724 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/aukus-submarine-funding-0724 Fri, 24 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Australia announced an additional US$3.2 billion in funding for nuclear submarine shipyard infrastructure on July 24, ramping up AUKUS commitments as concerns persist about slow production rates at US submarine yards; the 2021 AUKUS deal provides for Australia to receive three US nuclear-powered submarines, and total costs are expected to reach US$250 billion over 30 years [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-ceasefire-rejected-0724 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-ceasefire-rejected-0724 Tue, 28 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran rejected a US ceasefire proposal on July 24 that Iraq's Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi had carried to Tehran from Washington; Iranian officials said the proposal fails to address the question of control over the Strait of Hormuz, as US strikes continued for a 13th consecutive night and Trump threatened the largest bombardment yet if Iran refuses to negotiate [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-iran-strikes-0724 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-iran-strikes-0724 Wed, 29 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The United States launched new air strikes across Iran on July 24, 2026, targeting sites from the country's south to its north; Iran retaliated by striking US bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, Jordan and Erbil; Iran's Health Ministry reported 55 dead and 629 injured in US strikes; Trump threatened a 'massive attack' if Iran refuses to negotiate and proposed using frozen Iranian assets to pay for maritime damages; Oman sent a delegation to Tehran to discuss Hormuz traffic management [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-fuel-surge-0724 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/pakistan-fuel-surge-0724 Sat, 25 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Pakistan's federal government announced another fuel price hike on the night of July 23, taking petrol to Rs331.52 per litre and high-speed diesel to Rs378.66 per litre effective July 24, bringing the cumulative increase for the month of July to more than Rs32 per litre as global crude prices rise on Hormuz tensions [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-ph-scarborough-watercannon-0724 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-ph-scarborough-watercannon-0724 Mon, 27 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT China's coast guard blasted Philippine government ships with water cannons at Scarborough Shoal (Bajo de Masinloc) on July 23 and 24, 2026, the second straight day of confrontation; a CNN crew was on board a Philippine vessel on July 24, providing the first Western eyewitness account at the shoal; Beijing launched military drills near Hainan Island as Manila and Beijing traded blame [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-taiwan-strait-drills-0723 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-taiwan-strait-drills-0723 Fri, 24 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT China's People's Liberation Army launched two days of live-fire exercises in parts of the Taiwan Strait near Fujian's Dongshan Island on July 23, 2026, one day after US Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi met on the sidelines of the ASEAN Foreign Ministers' Meeting in Manila [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-iran-b1-cia-0723 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-iran-b1-cia-0723 Wed, 29 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The US military used B-1 Lancer heavy bombers against Iran on July 23, the first deployment of the aircraft in 12 days since fighting resumed, as Trump told Axios he is 'close to a decision' on an unprecedented 'massive attack' if Iran refuses to negotiate; US intelligence is separately probing whether Russia supplied targeting data for Iranian drone strikes on CIA facilities in Saudi Arabia and Iraq; the US House of Representatives passed a new troop-withdrawal resolution [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/houthi-saudi-tanker-attack-0723 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/houthi-saudi-tanker-attack-0723 Wed, 29 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Houthi forces struck two Saudi-owned oil tankers in the Red Sea on July 22-23, the first confirmed attacks on Saudi vessels since the naval blockade declaration of July 20; the ENCELIA vessel caught fire, crew safe; Brent crude crossed US$100 per barrel for the first time since May; US President Trump threatened major military punishment for Iran and the Houthis [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-larak-strike-0722 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-larak-strike-0722 Fri, 24 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iranian state media reported a US missile strike on Larak Island at the mouth of the Strait of Hormuz on July 22; Washington did not confirm the attack; the US deployed B-1 Lancer bombers against Iran for the first time since the war resumed; Trump warned of a 'massive attack' if Iran fails to negotiate and threatened to bomb bridges in Tehran; Defense Secretary Hegseth told US senators the conflict has cost US$37.5 billion [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-bab-mandeb-closure-0722 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-bab-mandeb-closure-0722 Wed, 29 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Tankers are turning back in the Red Sea after Yemen's Houthis threatened to enforce a blockade of the Bab al-Mandeb strait, while the Strait of Hormuz remains shut to commercial shipping as the US-Iran war continues; US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth told senators the war has cost the United States US$37.5 billion so far, and Iranian forces have struck US military sites in the Gulf and Jordan [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/romania-blacksea-ship-0721 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/romania-blacksea-ship-0721 Wed, 22 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT An LPG tanker, the Gas Lisbon under Liberian flag, was attacked and exploded approximately 30 km from the Romanian port of Sulina outside Romanian territorial waters on the night of July 20 to 21 while sailing from Egypt to Ukraine; three crew members were wounded, and Romanian President Nicusor Dan called the strike 'most likely' a Russian attack and launched a probe [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/asean-59th-amm-manila-0721 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/asean-59th-amm-manila-0721 Fri, 24 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The 59th ASEAN Foreign Ministers' Meeting convened in Manila on July 20 with US Secretary of State Rubio, China's Wang Yi and other major-power counterparts present; Southeast Asian ministers voiced serious concern over Middle East hostilities and called for safe, unimpeded passage through the Strait of Hormuz, while Myanmar's stalled peace process and South China Sea tensions also featured [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/blacksea-russia-merchant-attacks-0720 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/blacksea-russia-merchant-attacks-0720 Wed, 22 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Russia stepped up strikes on merchant vessels and ports near Odesa in the Black Sea in late July 2026, killing at least ten people and disrupting Ukraine's grain export corridor; European wheat prices climbed above 230 euros per tonne at the Paris Euronext, with some readings reaching 240 euros, as traders priced in a sustained disruption to Black Sea grain shipments [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-iran-hormuz-0720 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-iran-hormuz-0720 Thu, 23 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The US military completed its 11th consecutive night of strikes on Iran on July 22 as the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab al-Mandeb were both reported closed; Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth disclosed the war has cost the Pentagon $37.5 billion; Iran's IRGC claimed it hit radar sites inside Kuwait; and Brent crude rose to near $95 per barrel as Secretary of State Marco Rubio said the US would continue strikes while remaining open to negotiations [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-gulf-allies-strikes-0720 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-gulf-allies-strikes-0720 Thu, 23 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iranian missiles and drones hit civilian infrastructure in Kuwait and Bahrain on July 19-20, including a fire at a Kuwait power plant; Jordan intercepted three Iranian missiles; CNN confirmed a third US service member was killed in the campaign on July 20, bringing total American combat deaths to three; Washington has said its main objective is keeping oil and gas flowing through the Strait of Hormuz; a German outlet cited an Iranian insider saying mediators are pushing a 10-day ceasefire [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-ph-scs-second-thomas-0720 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-ph-scs-second-thomas-0720 Fri, 24 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A Chinese coast guard officer physically struck a Philippine navy sailor and damaged a rubber boat during a resupply mission to the BRP Sierra Madre at Ayungin Shoal on July 20; at least one sailor was injured; the incident happened hours after Manila announced that Philippine and Chinese foreign ministers would hold a bilateral on the sidelines of the ASEAN foreign ministers' meeting in Manila [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/houthi-saudi-blockade-0720 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/houthi-saudi-blockade-0720 Fri, 24 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The Houthi group declared an immediate maritime embargo on Saudi Arabia on July 20, citing what it called an unjust Saudi siege on Yemen, a move that analysts say threatens Saudi oil export routes and draws the Houthi conflict closer to the global energy market [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ph-seafarers-blacksea-0720 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ph-seafarers-blacksea-0720 Tue, 21 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Drone strikes on cargo ships navigating the northern Black Sea on July 20 killed two Filipino crew members, injured 12 others, and left one missing; the Philippines Department of Migrant Workers (DMW) Secretary Hans Leo Cacdac confirmed the casualties and said the ships were operating in waters near southern Ukraine when attacked [disrupted] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/kazakhstan-cpc-tanker-0719 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/kazakhstan-cpc-tanker-0719 Mon, 20 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukrainian drones struck the tankers Asia and Nissos Ios at the Caspian Pipeline Consortium's marine terminal off Russia's Black Sea coast near Novorossiysk on Sunday, forcing a suspension of oil loadings; Kazakhstan condemned the attacks; no casualties were reported and CPC said an oil spill was prevented. [disrupted] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-odessa-port-jul18 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/russia-odessa-port-jul18 Mon, 20 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Russian forces struck port infrastructure in Ukraine's Odessa and Chernomorsk overnight July 17-18, hitting fuel storage and lubricant facilities at Odessa used by Ukraine's military and striking two vessels at Chernomorsk; an Antigua and Barbuda-flagged commercial ship was hit, killing one crew member and injuring three others [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-iran-strikes-bandar-jul17 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-iran-strikes-bandar-jul17 Mon, 20 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The US military struck road bridges connecting Bandar Abbas, Iran's main southern port, to Shiraz overnight July 17, the seventh consecutive night of bombing; Iran widened its retaliation to Bahrain, Qatar, Oman, Kuwait, Jordan and Syria, including its first direct attack on a Syrian base in this conflict, while US President Donald Trump signalled openness to diplomacy [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iraq-syria-pipeline-jul17 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iraq-syria-pipeline-jul17 Mon, 20 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iraq's Oil Minister Bassem al-Abadi signed an agreement with Syria on July 17 to rebuild the long-dormant Kirkuk-to-Baniyas pipeline during Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi's Washington visit; the US-backed project would create a Mediterranean export route bypassing the Strait of Hormuz and is part of a broader Chevron-anchored package of oil deals [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-gulf-retaliation-jul16 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-gulf-retaliation-jul16 Mon, 20 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran's army announced on July 16 that it had targeted US military installations across three countries, Jordan, Bahrain, and Kuwait, in retaliation for a new US strike wave that included the first US attack on targets near Tehran in the current conflict [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-iea-warning-jul17 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-iea-warning-jul17 Sun, 19 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT International Energy Agency Executive Director Fatih Birol warned on July 17 that oil markets are 'nervous' and the world should be 'worried' if US-Iran efforts to restore Hormuz flows do not succeed in the near term [disrupted] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-seafarer-ban-hormuz-jul16 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-seafarer-ban-hormuz-jul16 Sat, 18 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT India's Directorate General of Merchant Marine Affairs ordered ship owners and recruitment agencies on July 16 not to deploy Indian nationals on vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz, citing the deaths of at least two Indian seafarers and three more feared dead after Iranian attacks on international shipping in recent days [disrupted] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-energy-threat-jul15 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-energy-threat-jul15 Mon, 20 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps declared Operation Nasr 2 on July 15, claiming strikes on US military facilities in Kuwait, Bahrain and Jordan, and threatened to halt all energy exports from the Middle East if the US naval blockade continues; Brent crude rose above US$85 as the US reimposed its Hormuz blockade and redirected two commercial vessels [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/wheat-blacksea-vessel-attacks-jul16 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/wheat-blacksea-vessel-attacks-jul16 Sun, 19 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukraine's nine-day shadow-fleet campaign struck 116 Russian vessels; Russia struck civilian cargo ships under Tanzania, Liberia and Marshall Islands flags; the Kerch Strait has been closed since July 10 and EU wheat hit its highest price since February 2025 [disrupted] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/trump-hormuz-fee-reversed-jul14 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/trump-hormuz-fee-reversed-jul14 Thu, 16 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT US President Donald Trump reversed his July 13 decision to impose a 20% levy on all cargo transiting the Strait of Hormuz on July 14, announcing instead that Gulf states would make investment deals in the US, and declaring the strait open to all traffic except Iran; shipping companies and legal experts had called the toll plan legally baseless and economically counterproductive [disrupted] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-us-strikes-bushehr-jul15 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-us-strikes-bushehr-jul15 Fri, 17 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT US forces hit Bushehr on July 15 and reimposed a naval blockade on Iran while Kuwait and Bahrain confirmed intercepting a new wave of Iranian aerial attacks, widening the Gulf confrontation beyond the Strait of Hormuz [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/trump-hormuz-levy-jul13 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/trump-hormuz-levy-jul13 Wed, 15 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT US President Donald Trump on July 13 reimposed a naval blockade on the Strait of Hormuz and declared a 20% levy on all commercial cargo passing through the strait, calling the US the 'Guardian of the Strait'; ABC News reports the move erases the last concession in the preliminary Iran-US peace deal and inverts Iran's own earlier toll demands [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-kuwait-bahrain-jul14 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-kuwait-bahrain-jul14 Thu, 16 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Kuwait's air defences intercepted 33 drones and six missiles in a July 14 Iranian salvo that struck one navy vessel; Bahrain sounded air raid sirens as the Iran-US conflict widened across the Gulf [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-us-strikes-jul14 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-us-strikes-jul14 Sun, 19 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT US forces carried out a third consecutive night of strikes across a broad swath of Iran early on July 14, US officials said, as Tehran struck back against international shipping and US allies in the Persian Gulf; CNN's live feed confirmed the strikes, which coincide with US President Donald Trump's reimposition of a naval blockade and a 20% Hormuz shipping levy [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-us-strikes-jul13 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-us-strikes-jul13 Wed, 15 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT US President Donald Trump said on July 13 that the US would 'take out Pickaxe Mountain', the underground nuclear facility near Natanz, and announced a reinstatement of what he called an Iranian blockade through the [[strait-of-hormuz]]; earlier that day US forces had struck Iranian targets for the third consecutive day, [[irgc]] forces struck US military facilities in Kuwait, Bahrain and Oman in a third retaliatory wave, and Brent crude climbed above US$75 a barrel; Iran and Oman said they would continue political and technical talks on Hormuz management [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-hormuz-seafarer-jul14 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-hormuz-seafarer-jul14 Thu, 16 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iranian missiles struck two UAE-flagged oil tankers transiting the Strait of Hormuz on July 14, killing one Indian crew member and injuring up to ten others among 46 crew, prompting New Delhi to summon the Iranian diplomat in its strongest public rebuke of Tehran's Hormuz campaign [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-gulf-oman-protest-beidou-jul12 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-gulf-oman-protest-beidou-jul12 Mon, 13 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Oman's Ministry of Foreign Affairs summoned Iranian Ambassador Mousa Farhang on July 12 and handed him a note of protest after Iranian drones struck facilities in Oman's Musandam and Al Wusta governorates; Iran separately reported new attacks on military targets on its largest island near the [[strait-of-hormuz]], which the [[irgc]] has again declared closed 'until the end of US interference'; a defence technology report said Iran's Zolfaghar ballistic missiles, guided by China's BeiDou-3 satellite system, are maintaining 98 percent accuracy despite US Patriot and THAAD jamming attempts, while both interceptor stockpiles are described as depleted [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/yemen-sanaa-airport-strikes-jul13 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/yemen-sanaa-airport-strikes-jul13 Wed, 15 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Yemen's internationally recognised government said on July 13 it struck the runway at Houthi-controlled Sanaa International Airport to prevent an Iranian aircraft from landing; the Houthis accused Saudi Arabia of the strike and fired missiles at southern Saudi Arabia in retaliation, breaking the 2022 ceasefire between the two sides; Saudi Arabia said it intercepted the missiles; the UN warned Yemen risks full-scale conflict [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-hormuz-closure-jul12 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-hormuz-closure-jul12 Mon, 20 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps declared the Strait of Hormuz closed to all shipping on July 12, hours after fresh US airstrikes hit the Iranian port cities of Bandar Abbas, Sirik, Chabahar, Qeshm Island, Bushehr and Asaluyeh; Iran launched missile and drone attacks on Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Oman, Jordan and the UAE; three people were injured in Qatar by falling shrapnel; ceasefire talks in Muscat the previous day had ended without agreement; US envoys were headed back to Oman even as fighting intensified [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-araghchi-oman-ceasefire-jul11 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-araghchi-oman-ceasefire-jul11 Mon, 13 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi led a delegation to Muscat on July 11 for talks with Omani officials centred on reopening the [[strait-of-hormuz]], even as US President Donald Trump had declared the June ceasefire 'over'; the US demanded [[iran|Iran]] publicly state that Hormuz is open and pledge to stop firing on commercial ships; analysts said the door to diplomacy remained open despite the exchange of attacks, while a pre-visit briefing noted Araghchi would hold Hormuz-specific talks with Oman [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-azov-kerch-drone-blockade-jul11 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-azov-kerch-drone-blockade-jul11 Wed, 15 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces struck 90 Russian vessels, including oil tankers, ferries and tugboats, in the Sea of Azov between July 6 and July 12, prompting Russia to temporarily suspend commercial navigation through the Kerch Strait and the Don-Azov Canal; wheat prices rose after the campaign disrupted a shipping corridor that carries about a quarter of Russia's grain exports; Russia's Rostov regional governor confirmed a tanker was struck entering the Azov-Black Sea Canal on July 12 [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/typhoon-bavi-japan-china-jul11 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/typhoon-bavi-japan-china-jul11 Mon, 13 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Typhoon Bavi made landfall in the coastal city of Taizhou in eastern China's Zhejiang province at 23:20 local time on July 11, with nearly 2 million people evacuated across the region ahead of the storm; it weakened to a severe tropical storm after landfall with maximum sustained winds of around 101 kph; the Philippines death toll from the typhoon's earlier passage rose to 18; Taiwan reported 134 injured; heavy rain struck 29 Thai provinces with waves topping four metres [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-hormuz-us-demand-jul10 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-hormuz-us-demand-jul10 Mon, 13 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Senior US officials told reporters on July 10 that Washington is demanding Iran issue a public statement that all channels of the Strait of Hormuz are open to shipping and that Tehran will not attack transiting civilian vessels, with Axios reporting a Saturday (July 11) deadline; Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi flew to Oman on July 11 and issued a joint statement with Muscat committing to 'costs associated with navigation' rather than the toll-free passage the US demanded; Iran's new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei said in his first public statement that the closure of the Strait of Hormuz must remain a priority [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-gulf-strikes-jul9 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-gulf-strikes-jul9 Mon, 13 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The United States launched new airstrikes against Iran early Thursday, and Tehran responded by targeting Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar and Jordan, a crossfire that again threatened the June 2026 interim deal; the IRGC said it fired 10 missiles at Jordan's Al-Azraq military air base; NATO chief Mark Rutte called US attacks 'absolutely necessary' as Trump threatened a naval blockade and to 'take over' Kharg Island; both sides accused the other of violating the June memorandum of understanding [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-shadow-fleet-azov-jul9 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-shadow-fleet-azov-jul9 Sat, 11 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukraine's military says 35 vessels from Russia's sanctioned shadow fleet were struck in the Sea of Azov over 96 hours through July 9, including 14 ships in a single overnight wave; Ukraine also hit 45 military targets in occupied Crimea; Bloomberg reports Russian fuel shortages are worsening as the campaign intensifies [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-iran-strikes-jul8-second-wave https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/us-iran-strikes-jul8-second-wave Sat, 11 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT US Central Command launched additional airstrikes against Iran on July 8 to 'further degrade Iran's ability to threaten freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz'; military analysts described the new strikes as significantly stronger than the July 7 initial retaliation; Iran's IRGC escalated by targeting US Navy warships; the US reinstated oil sanctions [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/typhoon-bavi-china-0710 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/typhoon-bavi-china-0710 Sun, 12 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Typhoon Bavi made landfall late on July 11 in the coastal city of Taizhou in Zhejiang Province, eastern China, at 23:20 local time with maximum sustained winds of 144 km/h; nearly 2 million people were evacuated ahead of landfall; the Philippines death toll from monsoon-amplified landslides rose to 17 with Malapatan, Sarangani province recording the highest toll; Japan and Taiwan also experienced impacts before Bavi struck the Chinese coast [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-bahrain-kuwait-jul8 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-bahrain-kuwait-jul8 Sat, 11 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps launched a joint missile and drone operation on July 8 against US military sites at Bahrain's Bandar Salman base and Kuwait's Ali Al Salem Air Base, claiming 85 installations targeted; a Qatari LNG vessel, the Al-Rekayyat, was struck in the Strait of Hormuz, prompting Qatar to hold Iran legally responsible [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-hormuz-ship-attack-jul7 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-hormuz-ship-attack-jul7 Sat, 11 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iranian forces hit three commercial vessels near the Strait of Hormuz on July 7, including Qatar's Al-Rekayyat tanker; the US launched retaliatory airstrikes; Iran then claimed strikes on 85 military sites in Bahrain and Kuwait; US President Trump declared the June MoU 'over' [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/houthi-red-sea-cargo-attack-jul5 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/houthi-red-sea-cargo-attack-jul5 Thu, 09 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Armed attackers in a skiff traded gunfire with security guards aboard a bulk carrier off Houthi-controlled Hodeidah on July 5; UKMTO advised all ships to transit with caution as the attack ended a roughly three-month commercial shipping ceasefire [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-gulf-strikes-jul13 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-gulf-strikes-jul13 Wed, 15 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps launched missile and drone strikes on US military positions in Jordan, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Oman early on July 13, the third exchange of attacks between Iran and the US in one week; US President Trump announced he was reinstating what he called an 'Iranian blockade' and said the US would act as 'Guardian of Hormuz' with a 20% toll [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-gulf-expanded-strikes-jul12 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-gulf-expanded-strikes-jul12 Wed, 15 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran launched missile and drone attacks on Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Oman, Jordan and the UAE on July 12, expanding beyond the four states it struck earlier in the day, after the US carried out a third round of airstrikes against Iranian targets in retaliation for attacks on commercial shipping; Qatar's military intercepted incoming Iranian fire and three people were injured by shrapnel in Doha; the UAE said missiles fired at Gulf states did not enter its territory; the [[strait-of-hormuz]], formally closed by the [[irgc]] earlier the same day, was physically open to traffic but shipping was warned of a severe threat level [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-azov-drone-vessels-jul11 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/ukraine-azov-drone-vessels-jul11 Mon, 13 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ukraine's military claimed 21 oil tankers, four tugboats, two dry cargo vessels and one specialized vessel were struck by drones in the Sea of Azov overnight on July 10-11, recording 73 hits; Russia halted commercial navigation through the Kerch Strait and the Don-Azov Canal in response; Russian authorities separately confirmed four vessels hit in Taganrog Bay including a methanol tanker, with one sailor killed; Russia's air defenses claimed to have downed 178 Ukrainian drones overnight [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-oil-glut-risk-jul2 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-oil-glut-risk-jul2 Wed, 08 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Traffic through the Strait reached roughly 32-42% of pre-war normal by early July; Morgan Stanley cut oil forecasts twice in two weeks, citing a supply overhang as Middle Eastern crude floods back into a market weakened by Chinese demand softness [disrupted] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-doha-talks-conclusion-jul2 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-doha-talks-conclusion-jul2 Thu, 09 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The largest US-Iran exchange since the January ceasefire erupted as Trump arrived at the NATO summit; Guardian Council begins succession proceedings today with Khamenei's burial in Mashhad; the July 11 Doha round is now the line between de-escalation and a new war [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/turkish-straits-fee-jul1-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/turkish-straits-fee-jul1-2026 Thu, 09 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The annual Montreux Convention indexation pushed fees from $5.83 to $6.70 per net tonne; a 10,000-tonne vessel now pays roughly $25,000 per passage, compounding post-Iran-war shipping costs as Turkey hosts the NATO summit [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/mh370-search-extended-2027 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/mh370-search-extended-2027 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Malaysia's Cabinet approved a one-year extension of its 'no find, no fee' agreement with marine robotics firm Ocean Infinity on June 26, with Transport Minister Anthony Loke announcing on June 29 that the search will continue through June 30, 2027, covering 7,428 square kilometres still unsearched in the southern Indian Ocean. [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/japan-arctic-policy-revision-jun30 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/japan-arctic-policy-revision-jun30 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Prime Minister Takaichi told a meeting of the Headquarters for Ocean Policy on Monday that rising geopolitical concern and the potential of Arctic resources and shipping routes justified the first revision of Japan's Arctic framework since it was drawn up eleven years ago [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/uae-lebanon-travel-ban-lifted-jun29 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/uae-lebanon-travel-ban-lifted-jun29 Thu, 09 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The UAE Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced June 29 that Emirati citizens may travel to Lebanon, ending a ban imposed April 30 amid the Iran war; the ban on Iran remains, and Tawajudi registration is mandatory for all Lebanese-bound travelers [de-escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/tehran-dubai-flights-resume-jun29 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/tehran-dubai-flights-resume-jun29 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Flight IS 7352 touched down at Dubai International's Terminal 2 at 13:18 local time on Monday, opening a route that had been severed since hostilities began; UAE carriers have not yet returned, and full bilateral service is expected to resume July 1 [open] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-oman-hormuz-committee-jun29 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-oman-hormuz-committee-jun29 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Deputy FM Gharibabadi and Oman's Abdulaziz Al-Hinai held the inaugural session of the bilateral governance body, exchanging views on coastal-state sovereign rights and the strait's future management, separate from the concurrent US-Iran Doha track [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-us-doha-talks-jun29 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-us-doha-talks-jun29 Wed, 08 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT After two days of exchanges in which IRGC drones struck four US Gulf bases and Washington hit Iranian coastal radar and missile sites, both sides stopped firing Monday morning; Trump said Iran 'requested talks'; Iran's Deputy FM Gharibabadi said Doha talks were 'not confirmed' [de-escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-russia-crude-record-jun29 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/india-russia-crude-record-jun29 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT India is on track to import 2.35 million barrels per day of Russian crude in June 2026, topping the May 2023 record, as the Strait of Hormuz disruption forces refiners to replace Gulf supply with Russian barrels at a $4-$5/bbl discount; the US sanctions waiver on Russian seaborne oil sales lapsed June 17 without renewal [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-bahrain-kuwait-strikes-jun28 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-bahrain-kuwait-strikes-jun28 Thu, 02 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran's IRGC launched coordinated strikes on the Ali Al Salem air base in Kuwait and the US Fifth Fleet facilities in Bahrain early June 28 in retaliation for US attacks on five Iranian coastal sites; Tehran threatened to halt all diplomatic processes if Washington keeps striking [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-mou-violation-jun27 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-mou-violation-jun27 Mon, 29 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran's Foreign Ministry called June 26 US strikes on coastal radar and missile sites a breach of the June 17 Islamabad memorandum; the IRGC denied any deconfliction channel exists; Qatar confirmed Al Udeid was hit, making it the fourth Gulf base struck in the June 27 response [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-vlcc-kiku-strike-jun27 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-vlcc-kiku-strike-jun27 Mon, 29 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT At 08:00 UTC on June 27, an unidentified projectile hit the 300,866-tonne crude carrier Kiku, laden with 2 million barrels of oil; the crew escaped injury but the bridge sustained damage, and the UK maritime agency upgraded the waterway's threat rating within hours [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/aramco-ras-tanura-crash-jun28 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/aramco-ras-tanura-crash-jun28 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A company helicopter went down at 03:00 GMT Sunday at the world's largest oil loading terminal, two days after Ras Tanura reopened to tankers following a four-month halt; all 14 passengers were Saudi nationals, and Riyadh opened an investigation [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/korea-hormuz-vessels-clearing-jun27 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/korea-hormuz-vessels-clearing-jun27 Sat, 27 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT With Saturday's clearances, 23 of the 26 South Korean-linked ships stranded since February have exited the strait; HMM Namu is undergoing hull repairs in Dubai after taking an Iranian missile hit; 43 Korean seafarers remain in the zone [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-bahrain-drones-jun27 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-bahrain-drones-jun27 Mon, 29 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Hours after Washington's June 26 retaliation strikes on Iran's missile and radar sites, the IRGC targeted the 5th Fleet base in Manama and a tanker transiting the Strait of Hormuz, pushing the US-Iran MoU to the edge of collapse [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-mines-imo-estimate-jun26 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-mines-imo-estimate-jun26 Sat, 27 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The UN's maritime agency counted roughly 80 explosives in the Traffic Separation Scheme; two alternative corridors have formed, one US-coordinated along Oman's coast, one Iran-controlled closer to the Iranian shore [disrupted] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-imo-evacuation-pause-jun25 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-imo-evacuation-pause-jun25 Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The International Maritime Organization halted plans to evacuate 11,000 stranded sailors from the Strait of Hormuz after the M/V Ever Lovely was hit while following the IMO's southern route; Iran explicitly declared the corridor unauthorized and warned it would target non-compliant ships [disrupted] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/saudi-ras-tanura-restart-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/saudi-ras-tanura-restart-2026 Mon, 29 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The world's biggest oil port reopens to tankers as the Gulf supply shut-in unwinds [easing] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-taiwan-blockade-rehearsal-jun25 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/china-taiwan-blockade-rehearsal-jun25 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT PLA maneuvers around Taiwan ended with a carrier strike group transit and coast-guard challenges on multiple approaches, which US analysts say match the template for a maritime quarantine [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/oil-hormuz-recovery-slide-2026-06-25 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/oil-hormuz-recovery-slide-2026-06-25 Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Crude had fallen 40% from its wartime peak by June 25, then a projectile hit an Evergreen container ship in Hormuz and war-risk premiums snapped back [disrupted] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/peace-cable-red-sea-cut-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/peace-cable-red-sea-cut-2026 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A break ~1,450km from Zafarana, Egypt, hits Asia-Europe-Africa traffic; a global cable-ship shortage stretches the fix and re-routes capacity [disrupted] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/bab-el-mandeb-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/bab-el-mandeb-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The 29-kilometre chokepoint between Yemen and Djibouti carrying 12% of global maritime trade, where Houthi attacks since 2023 halved oil transit and redrawn Asia-Europe shipping routes. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/baltic-dry-index-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/baltic-dry-index-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The London Baltic Exchange's daily benchmark for shipping dry bulk commodities is the market's clearest real-time signal of global trade demand, with no speculative content. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/cape-of-good-hope-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/cape-of-good-hope-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT South Africa's rocky southern cape where the Atlantic meets the Indian Ocean, the primary bypass route when Suez or Hormuz close, carrying 11% of global seaborne oil. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/cma-cgm-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/cma-cgm-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT France-based CMA CGM is the world's third-largest container carrier by capacity, controlling ~12% of global box shipping and shaping freight rates on every major trade lane. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/container-rates-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/container-rates-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The weekly spot price for shipping a 40-foot steel container across major global trade lanes, the fastest-moving public indicator of disruption to seaborne trade. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/cosco-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/cosco-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT China's state-owned shipping giant, the world's largest carrier by fleet capacity, controls ports across six continents and is central to US-China competition over maritime infrastructure. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/danish-straits-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/danish-straits-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The three waterways between Denmark and Sweden that are the sole marine exit from the Baltic Sea, through which Russia's sanctioned shadow-fleet tankers pass almost daily. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hapag-lloyd-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hapag-lloyd-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Hamburg-based Hapag-Lloyd AG is Germany's largest container line and the world's fifth-largest, whose fleet routing decisions at Suez and Hormuz transmit directly into global freight costs. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The Islamic Republic of Iran controls the northern shore of the Strait of Hormuz and holds the world's second-largest natural gas reserves and third-largest proven oil reserves, placing it at the center of Middle East conflict, global energy markets, and US-led sanctions regimes. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/kerch-strait-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/kerch-strait-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The sole water link between the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov, under Russian control since the 2014 annexation of Crimea and a flashpoint in the Russia-Ukraine war. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/korea-strait-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/korea-strait-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Between the Korean Peninsula and Japan, this passage carries over 90% of Japan's energy imports and is a contested naval transit route for US, Chinese, and Russian forces. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/lombok-strait-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/lombok-strait-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A deep-water Indonesian passage between Bali and Lombok that carries post-Malaccamax supertankers and serves as Southeast Asia's primary submarine transit corridor. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/maersk-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/maersk-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Denmark's A.P. Møller - Mærsk is the world's second-largest container carrier and the industry's bellwether for how chokepoints, freight rates, and logistics integration interact. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/msc-shipping-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/msc-shipping-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The world's largest container carrier by fleet capacity, privately held in Geneva, Switzerland, and a bellwether for how chokepoint crises transmit into global freight costs. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/panama-canal-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/panama-canal-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The 80-kilometre lock canal across Panama's Isthmus connecting the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans, carrying roughly 5% of global seaborne trade and a quarter of all US container traffic. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/red-sea-cables-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/red-sea-cables-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The narrow Red Sea passage carries 17 percent of global internet traffic on 17-plus cable systems, making it the world's most strategically exposed internet chokepoint. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/scfi-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/scfi-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT China's weekly spot-freight benchmark for containerized exports from Shanghai, the world's largest container port, serving as the de facto global shipping-rate barometer. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/shadow-fleet-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/shadow-fleet-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Russia's network of roughly 600 aging tankers that moves sanctioned crude oil outside G7 oversight, funding the war in Ukraine. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/shipping-chokepoints-chokepoints-backgrounder https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/shipping-chokepoints-chokepoints-backgrounder Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Eight narrow passages where geography concentrates enough energy and cargo that a single closure cascades into higher freight rates and global supply disruption. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/shipping-chokepoints-container-freight-backgrounder https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/shipping-chokepoints-container-freight-backgrounder Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Five carriers control two-thirds of global box capacity; spot rates tracked weekly by the Shanghai index ripple into the price of virtually every traded good. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/south-china-sea-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/south-china-sea-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A 3.5-million-km² marginal sea bordered by six governments whose competing claims, backed by China's military build-up and an unenforceable 2016 international ruling, have made it the world's foremost maritime flashpoint. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/spr-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/spr-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Emergency crude oil stockpiles held by governments worldwide under IEA rules, led by the US SPR, which acts as the primary global buffer against oil supply shocks. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/strait-of-dover-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/strait-of-dover-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The narrowest English Channel crossing between the UK and France, carrying over 400 commercial vessels daily and roughly one-third of UK goods trade with the EU. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/strait-of-gibraltar-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/strait-of-gibraltar-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Between Spain and Morocco, this 14-kilometer gap is the only western sea route to the Mediterranean, moving over 100,000 ships a year and anchoring the UK's disputed Gibraltar enclave. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/strait-of-hormuz-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/strait-of-hormuz-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The narrow channel between Iran and Oman's Musandam Peninsula is the world's single most critical oil shipping chokepoint, carrying roughly 20 million barrels per day, and its security status in 2026 became the defining variable in global energy markets. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/strait-of-magellan-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/strait-of-magellan-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A 570-kilometre sea passage through southern Chile linking the Atlantic and Pacific, and the sole sheltered alternative to the Drake Passage for vessels unable to use the Panama Canal. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/strait-of-malacca-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/strait-of-malacca-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Shared by Malaysia, Singapore, and Indonesia, the Strait of Malacca carries 23 million barrels of oil daily, more than any other chokepoint, linking Middle Eastern suppliers to Asian markets. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/strait-of-tiran-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/strait-of-tiran-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The 6-km passage between the Sinai Peninsula and the Arabian Peninsula that is the sole Red Sea gateway to Israel's port of Eilat and Jordan's port of Aqaba, and whose disputed islands are a lever in Saudi-Israeli normalization talks. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/subsea-cable-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/subsea-cable-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The fiber-optic cables on the world's seabeds carry over 99% of international internet traffic, and concentrated chokepoints in the Red Sea, Hormuz, and Taiwan Strait face rising deliberate disruption. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/suez-canal-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/suez-canal-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Egypt's 193-kilometer artificial waterway connecting the Mediterranean to the Red Sea, carrying 12-15 percent of global trade and the world's most strategically contested shipping chokepoint. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sunda-strait-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/sunda-strait-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The narrow Indonesian waterway between Sumatra and Java links the Indian Ocean to the Java Sea, serving as the secondary bypass route when the Strait of Malacca is congested or contested. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/taiwan-strait-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/taiwan-strait-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The 180-kilometer channel separating Taiwan from China's Fujian Province, where People's Liberation Army exercises and US Navy transits define Asia's most consequential territorial dispute. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/turkish-straits-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/turkish-straits-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The Bosphorus and Dardanelles, governed by Turkey under the 1936 Montreux Convention, are the only maritime passage between the Black Sea and the Mediterranean. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/vlcc-rates-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/vlcc-rates-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Spot freight rates for the supertankers that move Persian Gulf crude in 2-million-barrel loads, the market signal that fastest reflects sanctions, war-risk, and chokepoint closures. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/war-risk-premium-dossier https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/war-risk-premium-dossier Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT The additional charges ship owners pay to insure vessels transiting conflict zones, and the London market's real-time signal for how insurers price the threat of war at sea. https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-ever-lovely-attack-jun25 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-ever-lovely-attack-jun25 Sat, 27 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT A projectile hit the Ever Lovely's bridge at 14:10 UTC on June 25; US Central Command struck Iranian missile and radar sites in retaliation on June 26, Trump called it a "foolish violation" of the ceasefire MoU, and the IRGC denied involvement [disrupted] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-kuwait-bahrain-strikes-jun28 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/iran-irgc-kuwait-bahrain-strikes-jun28 Mon, 29 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Iran's Revolutionary Guard fired on Ali Al Salem airbase in Kuwait and the 5th Fleet's Port Salman in Bahrain on Sunday, the sharpest escalation since the Islamabad MoU; air defenses intercepted most projectiles and no deaths were reported, but Tehran warned of a 'complete halt' to negotiations [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/scarborough-naval-standoff-june-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/scarborough-naval-standoff-june-2026 Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT Chinese and Philippine vessels manoeuvre within ~90m off Scarborough Shoal on 23 June, days after Beijing's floating platform and buoys reopened the standoff [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-cape-diversion-freight https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-cape-diversion-freight Mon, 22 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT With Hormuz restricted and the Red Sea still avoided, carriers reroute via the Cape, lifting spot rates 29-129% on key lanes [disrupted] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/qatar-lng-ras-laffan-explosion https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/qatar-lng-ras-laffan-explosion Wed, 08 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A 21 June fire at Ras Laffan's Barzan treatment plant left 13 dead, 66 hurt, 18 missing; weekly throughput fell to a fifth of normal [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-oil-supply-shock https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-oil-supply-shock Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Brent peaked near $118 in March; post-ceasefire normalisation has it at $75.57 by June 24, but a 500-vessel queue and the Qatar LNG explosion keep markets unsettled [de-escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/merz-iran-hormuz-bundeswehr-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/merz-iran-hormuz-bundeswehr-2026 Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT With a US–Iran framework deal, Berlin readies the Bundeswehr, under three conditions [pending-decision] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/north-korea-maritime-oil-evasion-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/north-korea-maritime-oil-evasion-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Ship-to-ship transfers and AIS-spoofing tankers keep breaching the petroleum cap a vetoed UN body once policed [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/taiwan-pla-east-maritime-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/taiwan-pla-east-maritime-2026 Fri, 26 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT PRC coast guard vessels asserted jurisdiction in the Pacific waters beyond Taiwan's eastern coastline, interfering with commercial ships and triggering joint statements from the AIT, UK, France and Germany [escalating] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/france-shadow-fleet-tanker-seizures-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/france-shadow-fleet-tanker-seizures-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT The French navy boards the 'Tagor' in the Atlantic as Paris, London and partners shift from blacklisting ships to taking them [worsening] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-digital-chokepoint-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/hormuz-digital-chokepoint-2026 Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT Emboldened by its wartime shipping blockade, Tehran signals it could charge tech firms tolls, or disrupt traffic, on cables that feed the Gulf's AI boom [active] https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/qatar-lng-ras-laffan-2026 https://rbtfl.xyz/en/n/qatar-lng-ras-laffan-2026 Fri, 03 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT A March 2, 2026 drone strike on Ras Laffan forced Qatar to halt LNG production at the facility responsible for roughly 10% of global LNG supply; QatarEnergy pushed its North Field East expansion to at least 2027 [active]