# African swine fever declines in European wild boars in 2026 but Spain detects its first wild boar case since 1994 > WOAH's mid-2026 report shows a 16% drop in European wild boar ASF cases versus 2025, yet Spain's first wild boar case in 30 years and a 21,000-pig Poland outbreak highlight continued westward spread **Meta:** type: story · date: 2026-07-01 · heads: 什么崩了, 谁的钱 · 6 takes · 3 lenses · 4 regions ## Summary [[African-swine-fever]] outbreaks in European domestic pig farms declined in the first half of 2026, continuing a trend that began in August 2025, according to the World Organisation for Animal Health. Wild boar cases, which had peaked between October 2025 and January 2026, also began falling: European wild boar outbreaks in the first quarter of 2026 dropped 16% compared to the same period in 2025 (3,760 versus 4,481 cases), with significant reductions in Poland and Germany. In May 2026, 32 new domestic pig outbreaks were reported globally (29 in Europe) and 478 wild boar outbreaks, with 1,167 domestic pigs lost. Despite the headline decline, two developments point to ongoing westward spread: Spain recorded its first ASF case in wild boars since 1994 on November 28, 2025, marking the disease's return to the Iberian Peninsula after three decades, and Poland reported its first 2026 domestic pig outbreak affecting over 21,000 animals. ## The split European livestock industry media, particularly in Poland, Germany, Belgium and the Netherlands, tracked the outbreak data against pig prices and trade restrictions, as ASF-affected countries face automatic export bans from major markets including China, Japan and South Korea. Spanish agricultural press covered the wild boar detection as a supply-chain risk for Spain's globally significant pork industry, including Iberian cured pork products. Chinese state media tracked the disease because China's massive domestic pig sector was devastated by a previous ASF wave in 2018-19. WOAH and European Commission coverage focused on containment measures and the science of potential vaccine candidates, noting that no fully licensed commercial vaccine is yet available. ## By the numbers - 32, domestic pig outbreaks globally in May 2026 - 478, wild boar outbreaks in Europe in May 2026 - 1,167, domestic pig losses in May 2026 - 16%, reduction in European wild boar outbreaks in Q1 2026 versus Q1 2025 - 30 years, Spain's gap between wild boar ASF cases (1994 to November 2025) - 21,000+, pigs affected in Poland's first 2026 domestic pig outbreak ## Why it matters [[African-swine-fever]] has no commercially licensed vaccine, meaning stamping-out culling and movement restrictions are the only confirmed tools for managing outbreaks. Spain's return to the affected zone threatens pork export revenues for one of Europe's largest pig producers. Poland remains one of the worst-affected EU member states, with cumulative domestic and wild boar losses that weigh on the country's significant pork export trade. Any ASF spread to France, the Netherlands, Germany or Denmark would trigger major trade disruptions affecting global pig meat markets, given those countries' export volumes to Asia. ## What to watch - Whether ASF spreads from Spain's Iberian wild boar population into domestic pig farms - Progress on candidate ASF vaccines entering later-stage trials in 2026 - Whether declining European wild boar cases in 2026 represent a genuine containment trend or a seasonal fluctuation - China's domestic ASF surveillance and the effect of any new waves on global pork prices ## Regional takes (batched by bias / lens) ### unlabelled - **WOAH (World Organisation for Animal Health)** (International, en) — WOAH global disease monitoring: African swine fever outbreaks in domestic pigs have been on a decreasing trend since August 2025. May 2026: 32 new outbreaks in domestic pigs and 478 in wild boars globally, with 1,167 domestic pig losses. Europe accounted for 29 of the 32 domestic pig outbreaks and all 478 wild boar cases. Source: https://www.woah.org/en/disease/african-swine-fever/ - **UK APHA (UK Animal and Plant Health Agency)** (United Kingdom, en) — Source: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/69a579f3bc86a487b52c7161/African_swine_fever_in_Europe_-_updated_outbreak_assessment_24_Feb_2026.pdf - **European Commission (Food Safety)** (Europe, en) — Source: https://food.ec.europa.eu/animals/animal-diseases/diseases-and-control-measures/african-swine-fever_en - **EFSA** (Europe, en) — Source: https://www.efsa.europa.eu/en/topics/topic/african-swine-fever ### livestock industry - **The Pig Site / WOAH** (International, en) — The Pig Site reports WOAH's mid-2026 assessment: domestic pig outbreaks declining since August 2025; wild boar cases peaked October 2025 to January 2026 and are also declining. Spain reported its first ASF case in wild boars since 1994 on November 28, 2025. Poland's first 2026 domestic pig outbreak affected more than 21,000 pigs. > "Global African swine fever outbreaks decline, WOAH reports." Source: https://www.thepigsite.com/news/2026/07/global-african-swine-fever-outbreaks-decline-woah ### European pig sector - **Pig333** (Spain / International, en) — Pig333 analysis of Q1 2026 European ASF data: wild boar outbreaks down 16% versus Q1 2025 (3,760 vs 4,481 cases); significant reductions in Poland (from 1,465 to 921) and Germany (from 885 to 260); January 2026 had 1,119 cases and February 752. Spain's appearance in the wild boar data is flagged as a new geographic risk. > "Evolution of ASF cases in Europe in the first quarter of 2026." Source: https://www.pig333.com/latest_swine_news/evolution-of-asf-cases-in-europe-in-the-first-quarter-of-2026_22440/ ## Across the graph - Entities: African Swine Fever --- Canonical: https://rbtfl.xyz/zh/n/african-swine-fever-europe-2026