# 鲁比奥称以黎谈判接近"意向承诺"，双方否认其余内容
> 华盛顿结束三天直接谈判，美方乐观评估遭以色列和黎巴嫩官员驳斥；纳巴提亚附近无人机袭击造成2人死亡

**Meta:** type: story · date: 2026-06-25 · heads: 战争究竟如何收场, 他们没说的 · 7 takes · 4 lenses · 5 regions

## 摘要

美国国务卿[Marco Rubio](/zh/entity/marco-rubio)6月25日在巴林表示，华盛顿"非常接近"在[Israel](/zh/entity/israel)和[Lebanon](/zh/entity/lebanon)之间达成"意向承诺"，并以30年来两国政府间首次直接对话为据。美国斡旋的三天华盛顿谈判于周四结束。但以色列和黎巴嫩官员双双否认一名美国官员的说法，即以色列国防军已从黎南部部分地区撤军作为对贝鲁特的善意姿态；以色列国防军和黎巴嫩政府均表示未发生任何撤军。同日，以色列无人机在纳巴提亚附近造成2人死亡，使外交叙事更加复杂。

## 重要性

即便是有限的以黎正式协议，如将以军控制区域移交黎巴嫩军队，也将检验真主党缴械是否能在无美国主动军事支持下得以落实。谈判失败将使Israel Hezbollah停火线持续脆弱，并为真主党"不能单方面缴械"的论点提供依据。

## 关注要点

- 谈判结束后数日内是否有书面"意向声明"交换，以及各方究竟承诺了什么。
- 黎巴嫩境内真主党残余政治机构的反应，这些机构未参与华盛顿谈判。
- 纳巴提亚无人机袭击是否引发黎方正式抗议，进而被利用来拖延进程。

## Regional takes (batched by bias / lens)

### Israeli liberal daily; makes the IDF-withdrawal denial the headline, not Rubio's optimism
- **Times of Israel** (Israel, en) — 报道称以色列和黎巴嫩官员分别否认美国官员关于以军从黎巴嫩南部撤军以示诚意的说法。
  > "以色列和黎巴嫩官员周四分别否认以色列军队从以军控制的黎南部撤出的说法。"
  Source: https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog-june-25-2026/

### Lebanon's main English-language outlet; describes the round as "the least productive to date" while flagging Rubio's Bahrain framing
- **L'Orient Today** (Lebanon, en) — 黎巴嫩立场明显比鲁比奥更为审慎；将本轮谈判描述为'迄今最不富有成效的一轮'。
  > "据消息人士透露，黎以谈判周四预计将发表意向声明，但官员将本轮描述为迄今最不富有成效的一轮。"
  Source: https://today.lorientlejour.com/article/1539316/declaration-of-intent-expected-from-lebanon-israel-talks-thursday-says-issa-iran-warns-no-passage-through-hormuz-without-its-approval-live.html

### Saudi state-aligned; links Rubio's Israel-Lebanon optimism to Gulf states' broader interest in regional de-escalation
- **Arab News** (Saudi Arabia, en) — Embeds the Israel-Lebanon progress within Rubio's Bahrain visit and Gulf diplomacy, connecting it to Oman's parallel move to rule out Hormuz transit fees; frames the two tracks as linked steps toward post-war regional order.
  > "Rubio praises progress in Israel-Lebanon talks as he tours Gulf capitals seeking to align ceasefire conditions with regional partners."
  Source: https://www.arabnews.com/node/2648545/middle-east

### unlabelled
- **Naharnet** (Lebanon, en) — 
  Source: https://www.naharnet.com/stories/en/320929-rubio-says-lebanon-and-israel-very-close-to-very-positive-declaration-of-intent
- **Gulf News** (UAE, en) — 
  Source: https://gulfnews.com/world/mena/oman-rules-out-hormuz-transit-fees-as-rubio-warns-iran-tolls-risk-global-shipping-chaos-1.500586042
- **Fox News** (United States, en) — 
  Source: https://www.foxnews.com/live-news/us-iran-peace-deal-nuclear-talks-israel-lebanon-conflict-june-25-2026
- **US State Department** (United States, en) — Official US-Lebanon-Israel joint statement from the high-level trilateral meeting; the primary record of what was formally agreed versus what Rubio described at the Bahrain press conference.
  Source: https://www.state.gov/releases/office-of-the-spokesperson/2026/06/joint-statement-of-the-united-states-of-america-republic-of-lebanon-and-state-of-israel-on-the-latest-high-level-trilateral-meeting

## Across the graph
- Related: [[iran-israel-ceasefire-fraying]], [[iran-us-ceasefire-mou]], [[irgc-oman-hormuz-route-rejection-2026-06-25]], [[syria-israel-security-pact-strikes]]
- Entities: Israel, Lebanon, Benjamin Netanyahu, Marco Rubio, Iran Israel Ceasefire Fraying

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