independent / statistical-credibility sceptic

Argues the base-year overhaul nudged FY25-26 up and FY24-25 slightly up but sharply revised FY23-24 down, leaving the core credibility questions — deflator, jobs, Census-vintage multipliers — unresolved rather than answered.

“The numbers have changed, but some questions have not… 2025-26 appears marginally stronger, 2024-25 nudged upward, and 2023-24 has seen a sharp downward reset.”