Ethiopia

Fighting between Fano militias and federal forces hit 22+ districts across nine Amhara zones in mid-June; Addis pushed June parliamentary elections in disputed Tigray areas over TPLF objections

Addis has redeployed heavy weaponry and mechanised units to Afar within striking distance of Eritrea's Assab port; Abiy's Red Sea ambition and a fractured TPLF turn an old enmity into a powder keg