US think-tank / Red Sea access
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Atlantic Council · United States · Ethiopia and Eritrea mass forces toward Assab as the Horn edges to war
Argues the two are on the brink again, with Abiy needing a unifying national cause as June elections loom and increasingly signalling that regaining Red Sea access could be it, reading the buildup as domestically driven.
“Ethiopia and Eritrea are on the brink of war again.”