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AMTI / CSIS · United States · Liaoning CSG returns, Philippines faces PLA warships at Scarborough, Antelope Reef grows
Satellite analysis of Antelope Reef (Paracels): ~1,490 acres reclaimed by March 2026, matching Mischief Reef in scale; 50+ structures, helipad, jetties, and foundations for what analysts assess as a 9,000-foot runway, the largest Chinese island-building since 2017, proceeding while the US is focused on the Iran war.
“Antelope Reef may now match Mischief Reef in area, the largest Chinese reclamation since 2017, built while US attention is on Iran.”