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QZ analysis noted that Masayoshi Son had publicly linked SoftBank's AI investment thesis to the OpenAI listing, and that Vision Fund 2 holds OpenAI equity at marks based on expected IPO valuations. The delay creates direct NAV pressure and raises questions about Son's ability to declare AI returns ahead of the 2026-2027 fundraising cycle.

“SoftBank's Masayoshi Son had linked the AI investment thesis to the OpenAI listing; the delay creates NAV pressure and complicates fundraising timing.”