Bolivia

态势 · 债务

Venezuela's twin June 24 earthquakes have pushed the country to the top of the debt cluster: 1,943 confirmed dead, 43,000 still missing, USGS models projecting a final toll above 100,000. Acting President Delcy Rodriguez announced a $200 million reconstruction fund on June 30, but Venezuela has no external borrowing access, no standing IMF relationship, and faces outstanding sanctions. The US Treasury General License permitting humanitarian transactions is the first meaningful bilateral economic opening since the Maduro era; whether it widens into a formal multilateral channel is the key watch. UN OCHA's July 1 bulletin marked the formal shift from rescue to recovery; Simón Bolívar Airport's main runway cleared to reopen July 2. Oil tanker seizures and the La Guaira port workers' dispute complicate the revenue picture further. Senegal remains the other live case: roughly $13bn in undisclosed borrowing pushed debt near 132% of GDP, with Dakar in a standoff with the IMF over restructuring terms. Watch whether emergency multilateral channels open for Venezuela reconstruction and whether Senegal's IMF talks resume in Q3.

Bolivia's natural-gas-funded state model collapsed after 2014, leaving the Andean nation with near-depleted reserves and Latin America's most acute fiscal crisis as of mid-2026.

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