Somalia's largest armed insurgency and al-Qaeda's primary East African affiliate, controlling southern territory and pushing toward Mogadishu as of mid-2026.

该组织逆转了政府2022至2023年在中沙贝利、下沙贝利及希兰地区的攻势成果，势力范围向摩加迪沙延伸；6月的空袭击毙28名武装人员，但战略态势正向叛乱者倾斜