geopolitical analysis
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GIS Reports · Liechtenstein · A Gen Z uprising and a mutinous army unit topple Rajoelina in Madagascar
Assesses the post-coup landscape, the 24-month transition to 2027 elections, and early warning signs — Randrianirina's unpopular PM pick and abrupt cabinet firings — that the new leader may not cede power on schedule.
“Unilateral actions question Randrianirina's commitment to the transition, including his abrupt firing of the new prime minister and entire cabinet.”