The Anti-Incumbency Wave

tracked under Leaders ▸ Elections & the ballot

state of play · Leaders

In Belgrade, Aleksandar Vučić said he will resign within weeks and call early elections after 18 months of student-led protests, hinting he could return as prime minister, the clearest people-power concession in the region this year. In the Indian Ocean, Modi closed a three-day Seychelles state visit with nine agreements, a patrol vessel and a Rs 1,250cr credit line, becoming the first Indian leader to address the island's parliament as Delhi races Beijing's port footprint. In London, Keir Starmer resigned June 22, giving Britain its seventh prime minister in a decade; Andy Burnham leads the Labour succession race with nominations opening July 9. The Iran MoU places Pezeshkian in the position of defending a deal his own IRGC is actively undermining, a test of whether civilian government can hold against the Guards on a live issue. Delcy Rodriguez's interim government is managing a catastrophic earthquake response with degraded infrastructure and US sanctions in the background, Trump's aid pledge notwithstanding. In the Indo-Pacific, Tarique Rahman's 13 MoUs with Beijing mark the clearest pivot away from India Dhaka has signalled in years. Xi's Pyongyang visit and his Myanmar engagement continue Beijing's dual-track of shoring up buffer states while managing two troubled dependencies. The NATO Ankara summit July 7-8 arrives with the 5% GDP defence pledge pre-agreed by the E5.

Starmer quits, handing Britain its seventh prime minister in a decade

Less than two years after a landslide, Keir Starmer resigns amid Reform UK's surge; Burnham is frontrunner; nominations open July 9

Who Decides ·4 takes ·Jun 25

Colombia swings right by a whisker in the tightest runoff in its history

A Trump-aligned lawyer edges leftist Iván Cepeda by under 1%, ending the Petro era and realigning Bogotá toward Washington; post-election clashes in three cities

Who Decides ·4 takes ·Jun 25

Peru's eighth president in a decade to be picked in a Fujimori–Sánchez runoff

Months after Congress ousted Boluarte, a fragmented 35-candidate field narrows to far-right Keiko Fujimori versus the left's Roberto Sánchez

Who Decides ·9 takes ·Jun 24

BJP takes West Bengal for the first time; the wider 2026 verdict is anti-incumbent

Modi's party ends Mamata's 15-year rule and wins a third Assam term, but Vijay's TVK seizes Tamil Nadu and Congress sweeps Kerala, three of four states change hands

Who Decides ·15 takes ·Jun 24

Magyar's Tisza ends Orbán's 16-year rule with a two-thirds majority

An 11 April landslide hands the EU a new Budapest, unblocking Ukraine aid while refusing to fast-track Kyiv's accession

Who Decides ·12 takes ·Jun 24

BNP sweeps Bangladesh's first post-Hasina vote; Tarique Rahman to be PM

Yunus's interim government hands over after a February landslide; Jamaat-e-Islami a distant second, the student NCP nearly shut out

Who Decides ·6 takes ·Jun 24

Anutin's Bhumjaithai wins Thailand's snap vote as voters back a new charter

The royalist-military-favoured party tops the 8 February poll on nationalism and stimulus; a referendum approves scrapping the 2017 constitution

Who Decides ·7 takes ·Jun 24