rbtfl

A global electoral pattern since 2024 in which governing parties of every ideology have lost vote share, driven by inflation, housing costs, and collapsing institutional trust.

full dossier ›
Colombia's conservative president Abelardo De La Espriella took office in Cali on August 7 in the first presidential inauguration outside Bogotá in modern Colombian history; outgoing president Gustavo Petro did not attend, a break with tradition; Spain's King Felipe VI, Argentina's Javier Milei and FIFA president Gianni Infantino were among those present; De La Espriella pledged to govern from the regions under the banner of the 'Patria Milagro'
Who Decides ·56 takes ·Aug 10
Mateusz Morawiecki, Poland's former prime minister, confirmed on August 4, 2026 that his breakaway parliamentary group will formally launch a new party by October; PiS leader Jarosław Kaczyński responded by ordering party members to sign a loyalty pledge disavowing external groupings; Morawiecki ruled out any cooperation with Prime Minister Donald Tusk, describing opposition to Tusk as a key organising principle
The Quiet Shift ·5 takes ·Aug 6
Oscar Bula, a former Colombian diplomat with UN experience, was confirmed as chancellor designate on July 28 as president-elect Abelardo de la Espriella's formal handover process with the Petro government continued; Cali, the site of the August 7 inauguration at the USC Arena, bolstered its military presence for the ceremony, a politically notable choice as the city is a stronghold of the outgoing leftist coalition
Who Decides ·8 takes ·Jul 30
Keiko Fujimori, leader of Fuerza Popular, is set to be inaugurated as Peru's first woman president on July 28, Peru's national independence day, after winning the June runoff by under 50,000 votes; her party has already secured the Senate presidency, a US delegation from President Trump has arrived in Lima, and the incoming government faces immediate pressure on economic policy and political stability after five years of revolving-door leadership
Who Decides ·36 takes ·Jul 30
An INSA poll published July 23 placed the AfD first among parties in Berlin's Abgeordnetenhaus (city-parliament) race for the first time, weeks before the city-state election; the CDU collapsed after mayor Kai Wegner withdrew his candidacy, while the SPD fell to 13%; despite the AfD's lead, coalition arithmetic still allows a three-way SPD-Greens-Left government to form a majority
Who Decides ·8 takes ·Jul 25
Colombia's Senate approved on July 22, 2026, by 55 votes to 32, that president-elect Abelardo De la Espriella will be inaugurated on August 7 in the Cauca department rather than in Bogotá, his first congressional victory of the new legislative term; the Chamber of Representatives must also vote to confirm the transfer, and the new Congress opened with tension over a contested comptroller election
Who Decides ·27 takes ·Jul 29
Abelardo De la Espriella gave his first major policy address on July 20, Colombia's Independence Day, pledging to restore aerial fumigation of coca crops and aerial bombardments halted under Gustavo Petro; Colombia's new Congress for the 2026-2030 legislative term was sworn in the same day with a majority coalition backing De la Espriella's agenda
Who Decides ·6 takes ·Jul 22
Barisan Nasional won 48 of 56 seats in the 16th Johor state assembly election on July 11, 2026, its biggest majority in Johor since 2004 and an improvement on its 40-seat result in 2022; Pakatan Harapan won 8 seats and Perikatan Nasional was eliminated from the state assembly entirely; voter turnout reached 56.77 per cent by 3pm with more than 1.52 million ballots cast from the 2.7 million eligible voters
Who Decides ·24 takes ·Jul 13
A tactic in which losing candidates reject certified election results to obstruct transfers of power, documented in the US, Venezuela, Colombia, Peru, and Guinea-Bissau since 2020.
·4 takes ·Jul 3

The briefing, by email