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A low-pressure area inside the Philippine Area of Responsibility developed into Tropical Depression Luis on August 1, the Philippines' twelfth tropical cyclone of 2026; PAGASA said Luis could intensify into a tropical storm and make landfall in Northern Luzon on the afternoon or evening of August 3, though the track remained highly uncertain; the system was bringing heavy rain to Luzon and enhancing the southwest monsoon
How Life Changes ·8 takes ·Aug 3
China published new operational rules for Huangyan Dao (Scarborough Shoal) on or around August 1, banning unauthorised fishing, mining and other activities in the zone; the Philippines accused China of violating its maritime sovereignty under a 2016 international tribunal ruling; China's PLA Southern Theater Command separately conducted joint maritime and air drills around the shoal, state media reported
Who Decides ·4 takes ·Aug 2
Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. delivered his fifth State of the Nation Address on July 27, his longest and most populist to date, announcing that his cousin and House Speaker Martin Romualdez would face charges over flood-control corruption; Marcos said 'I am not the president of my family', drawing a visible line between himself and a key political ally
Who Decides ·28 takes ·Jul 28
China's coast guard blasted Philippine government ships with water cannons at Scarborough Shoal (Bajo de Masinloc) on July 23 and 24, 2026, the second straight day of confrontation; a CNN crew was on board a Philippine vessel on July 24, providing the first Western eyewitness account at the shoal; Beijing launched military drills near Hainan Island as Manila and Beijing traded blame
How Wars Actually End ·14 takes ·Jul 27
Tropical Depression Kiyapo intensified into a tropical storm and made landfall in extreme Northern Luzon, the Philippines, in the early hours of July 24, 2026, PAGASA's 8 AM advisory confirmed; the storm crossed the 63 km/h sustained wind threshold after tracking northwestward over the Philippine Sea on July 23 with 14 provinces under Signal No. 1
How Life Changes ·22 takes ·Jul 25
Chinese Coast Guard personnel physically assaulted Philippine Navy sailors stationed at the grounded BRP Sierra Madre at Ayungin (Second Thomas) Shoal on July 20; the Philippines and China summoned each other's envoys the following day, President Ferdinand Marcos Jr met China's ambassador directly, and the Armed Forces of the Philippines rejected Beijing's account of the confrontation as 'false and misleading'
Who Decides ·10 takes ·Jul 22
The 59th ASEAN Foreign Ministers' Meeting convened in Manila on July 20 with US Secretary of State Rubio, China's Wang Yi and other major-power counterparts present; Southeast Asian ministers voiced serious concern over Middle East hostilities and called for safe, unimpeded passage through the Strait of Hormuz, while Myanmar's stalled peace process and South China Sea tensions also featured
Who Decides ·35 takes ·Jul 24
A Chinese coast guard officer physically struck a Philippine navy sailor and damaged a rubber boat during a resupply mission to the BRP Sierra Madre at Ayungin Shoal on July 20; at least one sailor was injured; the incident happened hours after Manila announced that Philippine and Chinese foreign ministers would hold a bilateral on the sidelines of the ASEAN foreign ministers' meeting in Manila
The Long Game ·28 takes ·Jul 24
On the tenth anniversary of the Permanent Court of Arbitration's ruling against China's expansive South China Sea claims, the US, UK, Australia, Japan, Germany, Canada, and nine other nations issued a joint statement reaffirming the ruling as final and binding under UNCLOS; China rejected it as illegal and demanded the Philippines abandon the tribunal award; Beijing's competing claims remain the core friction in the region
The Long Game ·24 takes ·Jul 16
Typhoon Bavi made landfall in the coastal city of Taizhou in eastern China's Zhejiang province at 23:20 local time on July 11, with nearly 2 million people evacuated across the region ahead of the storm; it weakened to a severe tropical storm after landfall with maximum sustained winds of around 101 kph; the Philippines death toll from the typhoon's earlier passage rose to 18; Taiwan reported 134 injured; heavy rain struck 29 Thai provinces with waves topping four metres
How Life Changes ·41 takes ·Jul 13
Typhoon Bavi made landfall late on July 11 in the coastal city of Taizhou in Zhejiang Province, eastern China, at 23:20 local time with maximum sustained winds of 144 km/h; nearly 2 million people were evacuated ahead of landfall; the Philippines death toll from monsoon-amplified landslides rose to 17 with Malapatan, Sarangani province recording the highest toll; Japan and Taiwan also experienced impacts before Bavi struck the Chinese coast
What Broke ·30 takes ·Jul 12
A 12-member Indo-Pacific free trade pact built on the US-abandoned Trans-Pacific Partnership, covering roughly 15% of global GDP and now expanding to Europe and the Gulf.
·4 takes ·Jul 3
Pacific island arcs stretching from Japan through Taiwan to the Philippines, hosting US forward military bases that form the primary US-China deterrence architecture in the Indo-Pacific.
·4 takes ·Jul 3
The western North Pacific's annual typhoon season, the world's most active tropical cyclone basin, generates roughly 26 named storms per year and drives disaster preparedness across 14 nations.
·4 takes ·Jul 3
A 3.5-million-km² marginal sea bordered by six governments whose competing claims, backed by China's military build-up and an unenforceable 2016 international ruling, have made it the world's foremost maritime flashpoint.
·4 takes ·Jul 3

The briefing, by email