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Disputes & Conflicts

Active wars, standoffs and disputes — tracked by where each is heading.

127 live threads · updated 6월 25일 · follow (RSS)

state of play

The dominant thread is the US-Iran 14-point memorandum signed 17 June: the Burgenstock road map June 22 agreed a 60-day window for a final deal, a Hormuz deconfliction cell, and Iran's acceptance of IAEA inspectors back in-country; Tehran immediately disputed what it agreed to. On June 25 the IRGC Navy rejected the Oman-IMO transit corridor, calling it "unacceptable," signalling Iran still controls the valve even as the strait reopens.

Gaza's phase two is stuck on Clause 8: 73,001+ killed, famine confirmed (43,400 children at severe malnutrition risk), and the Board of Peace "recalibrating" at a Cyprus resort June 24-25 after Hamas's June 12 compromise offer was rejected June 16. Only $17B was pledged in February; 1% has transferred.

In the Ukraine-Russia energy strike war, Ukraine's SOF struck the Orenburg Gas Processing Plant (45 bn m³/year, 60% of Gazprom Pererabotka output) and Russia's only helium facility June 23-24, plus the Dubna satellite communications centre. The June 25 Krasnodar depot strike was the third hit on the same facility in three weeks. The Geneva talks track has swaps but no substance: Putin proposed Anchorage, Zelensky insists on neutral ground.

India-Pakistan tensions escalated rhetorically: Pakistan Defence Minister Khwaja Asif threatened war over the Indus Waters Treaty on June 22; India Water Minister Patil: "not a single drop" to Pakistan. The RSF assault on El Obeid has 563,000 residents under siege. The Venezuela twin earthquakes (M7.2 + M7.5 June 24) have confirmed 164+ dead; USGS red-alert projects 1,000+. Watch the Iran IAEA inspection timeline, the Cyprus Board of Peace outcome, and the Hormuz corridor standoff.

tracking

Active wars
Ukraine–Russia6 escalating젤렌스키, 우크라이나 드론이 전선에서 1,500km 떨어진 우파 바시네프트 정유소 2곳 타격 확인 Iran / Gulf39 escalating백악관, 이란 전쟁 비용 충당 위해 의회에 876억 달러 긴급 추경 요청 Gaza / Israel2 activeBoard of Peace 'recalibrates' at Cyprus as Gaza phase two stalls on Clause 8 Sudan3 activeUAE re-routes its weapons airbridge to Sudan's RSF through Ethiopia Sahel2 escalatingJNIM hits Niamey's airport, the junta's own command hub DR Congo / M233 active프랑스, 첫 에볼라 확진 사례 확인, DRC 발병 1,000건 초과 Myanmar1 activeChina splits Myanmar's rebel alliance as the Kachin hold the rare-earth belt Somalia1 escalatingAl-Shabaab claws back the Shabelle gains as AUSSOM hemorrhages support Yemen2 activeYemen's quiet catastrophe: 18 million food-insecure as funding cuts shut hundreds of clinics Syria2 activeSyria and Israel circle a security pact while Israeli strikes hit Damascus Haiti1 activeHaiti's UN-backed Gang Suppression Force begins, under-manned and under-funded Ethiopia2 activeFano war grinds across Amhara as Tigray's election standoff festers Nigeria1 escalatingISWAP's June killing spree in Borno exposes Tinubu's security claims Mozambique1 activeISIS-Mozambique mauls Rwandan patrols and circles back to Macomia Colombia1 escalatingCauca highway bombing kills ~20 as FARC dissidents open a pre-election offensive Pakistan insurgency1 escalatingPakistan fights a two-front war as the BLA and TTP strike in tandem Central African Rep.1 activeCAR's eastern front flares as the AAKG fights on past the disarmament deals Cameroon1 activeAmbazonia fighters overrun a gendarmerie as Biya's eighth term begins Mexico (cartels)1 activeThe Tapalpa raid that killed El Mencho triggers nationwide CJNG retaliation
Standoffs & frozen
Taiwan Strait1 activePLA grey-zone pressure on Taiwan normalises as Lai's defence budget stays blocked South China Sea2 escalatingClosest Scarborough naval encounter in three years as PLAN frigates shadow a Philippine warship India–Pakistan2 activeIndia holds the Indus Waters Treaty in abeyance; Pakistan warns of 'water war' Korea3 stableSeoul eases border curbs while the North walls and mines the DMZ to its edge Armenia–Azerbaijan2 stableThe US-run 'Trump Route' through Armenia advances as Iran and Russia object Israel–Hezbollah — quiet India–China border — quiet Serbia–Kosovo1 frozenThe Belgrade-Pristina dialogue is effectively frozen, 691 days since the last summit Essequibo1 frozenICJ hears Essequibo merits as Venezuela installs a 'governor' and vows to ignore any ruling Western Sahara1 frozenAfter the UN tilt to Rabat, Washington pushes a Morocco-Algeria reconciliation Cyprus3 worseningErdogan calls the new East-Med energy bloc an 'illusion' aimed at encircling Turkey Thailand–Cambodia1 de-escalatingThailand–Cambodia ceasefire holds, barely: closed crossings, trades of blame, stalled talks Egypt–Ethiopia1 stableEthiopia begins the GERD's fourth filling; Egypt calls it 'irresponsible' Morocco–Algeria1 frozenAfter the UN tilt to Rabat, Washington pushes a Morocco-Algeria reconciliation Greece–Turkey1 escalatingTurkey's draft EEZ law revives the Aegean standoff with Greece Venezuela (internal)1 escalatingUS airstrike kills Tren de Aragua chief Niño Guerrero, 'coordinated' with Caracas
Coups & state collapse
Ceasefires & peace processes
Proxy & arming dynamics

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